THE GLOBAL SERVICE ROBOTICS MARKET

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Transcription:

THE GLOBAL SERVICE ROBOTICS MARKET INDEX Index Table of Contents Table of Contents... i List of Figures... viii Executive summary... 1 1 Introduction to service robotics... 3 1.1 Definitions and classifications... 3 1.1.1 Level of autonomy... 3 1.1.2 Service robot segments included in this study... 4 1.2 Brief history of service robotics... 5 1.3 Current state of the service robotics market... 7 1.4 Government and industry robotics initiatives... 9 1.4.1 National Robotics Initiative (US)... 9 1.4.2 SPARC (EU)... 10 1.4.3 Industrie 4.0 (Germany)... 11 1.4.4 Robot Revolution Initiative (Japan)... 11 1.4.5 Made in China 2025 (China)... 11 1.4.6 South Korean government initiatives... 12 1.5 Investments and company transactions... 13 1.5.1 Investments and venture capital... 13 1.5.2 Mergers and acquisitions... 16 2 Robotic concepts and components... 19 2.1 Robotic architectures... 19 2.1.1 Hardware... 19 2.1.2 Software... 20 2.2 Operating Systems... 20 2.2.1 Robot Operating System (ROS)... 21 2.3 Sense-Plan-Act paradigm... 22 2.4 Sensing... 22 2.4.1 Laser range sensor (lidar)... 23 STRATEGIC M2M RESEARCH SERIES i

INDEX THE GLOBAL SERVICE ROBOTICS MARKET 2.4.2 Ultrasonic range sensor... 24 2.4.3 Infrared sensor (IR)... 24 2.4.4 Camera sensors... 24 2.4.5 Inertial navigation systems... 25 2.5 Planning... 25 2.5.1 On-board computing... 25 2.5.2 Cloud robotics... 26 2.5.3 Computer vision... 26 2.5.4 Simultaneous localization and mapping (SLAM)... 28 2.5.5 Artificial Intelligence (AI)... 28 2.5.6 Machine learning... 30 2.5.7 Deep learning... 30 2.6 Acting... 33 2.7 Mobile Connectivity... 34 2.7.1 Cellular M2M/IoT from 2G to 4G and beyond... 34 2.7.2 WLAN/WPAN technologies... 36 3 Service robot segments... 39 3.1 Floor cleaning robots... 39 3.1.1 Product segment overview... 40 3.1.2 Current and future market applications... 42 3.2 Robot lawn mowers... 43 3.2.1 Product segment overview... 44 3.2.2 Current and future market applications... 46 3.3 Milking robots... 47 3.3.1 Product segment overview... 48 3.3.2 Current and future market applications... 50 3.4 Humanoid robots, assistant robots and companion robots... 50 3.4.1 Product segment overview... 52 3.4.2 Current and future market applications... 53 3.5 Telepresence robots... 54 3.5.1 Product segment overview... 56 3.5.2 Current and future market applications... 57 ii STRATEGIC RESEARCH SERIES M2M RESEARCH SERIES

THE GLOBAL SERVICE ROBOTICS MARKET INDEX 3.6 Powered human exoskeletons... 58 3.6.1 Product segment overview... 59 3.6.2 Current and future market applications... 61 3.7 Surgical robots... 63 3.7.1 Product segment overview... 65 3.7.2 Current and future market applications... 67 3.8 Automated guided vehicles (AGVs)... 69 3.8.1 Product segment overview... 71 3.8.2 Current and future market applications... 73 3.9 Autonomous mobile robots (AMRs)... 75 3.9.1 Product segment overview... 77 3.9.2 Current and future market applications... 78 3.10 Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs)... 80 3.10.1 Product segment overview... 83 3.10.2 Current and future market applications... 84 4 Company profiles and strategies... 91 4.1 Floor cleaning robots... 91 4.1.1 irobot... 91 4.1.2 Neato Robotics... 92 4.1.3 Samsung Electronics... 93 4.1.4 LG Electronics... 94 4.1.5 Ecovacs Robotics... 94 4.1.6 Dyson... 95 4.1.7 Yujin robot... 96 4.1.8 Miele... 96 4.1.9 Cleanfix... 97 4.1.10 Taski Intellibot (Sealed Air Diversey Care)... 97 4.2 Robot lawn mowers... 98 4.2.1 Husqvarna... 98 4.2.2 Robomow... 100 4.2.3 Honda... 101 4.2.4 Zucchetti Centro Sistemi (Ambrogio Robot)... 101 STRATEGIC M2M RESEARCH SERIES iii

INDEX THE GLOBAL SERVICE ROBOTICS MARKET 4.2.5 Stihl (Viking)... 102 4.2.6 Global Garden Products (Stiga)... 102 4.2.7 Positec Tool Corporation (Worx)... 103 4.2.8 Bosch... 103 4.2.9 John Deere... 104 4.3 Milking Robots... 105 4.3.1 DeLaval... 105 4.3.2 Lely... 106 4.3.3 GEA Group... 108 4.3.4 Fullwood... 109 4.3.5 Hokofarm Group... 110 4.3.6 SAC... 110 4.3.7 BouMatic Robotics... 111 4.4 Humanoid robots, assistant robots and social companion robots... 112 4.4.1 Softbank Robotics... 112 4.4.2 Honda Motor... 113 4.4.3 Kompaï Robotics... 114 4.4.4 Fraunhofer IPA... 115 4.4.5 Pal Robotics... 117 4.4.6 Blue Frog Robotics... 118 4.4.7 Mayfield Robotics... 119 4.4.8 Ubtech Robotics... 120 4.5 Telepresence robots... 121 4.5.1 Camanio Care (Giraff)... 121 4.5.2 Vgo (Vecna Technologies)... 122 4.5.3 Suitable Technologies (BEAM)... 123 4.5.4 Double Robotics... 124 4.5.5 Anybots... 125 4.5.6 intouch Health (irobot)... 126 4.5.7 Inbot Technology... 126 4.6 Powered human exoskeletons... 127 4.6.1 Ekso Bionics... 127 iv STRATEGIC RESEARCH SERIES M2M RESEARCH SERIES

THE GLOBAL SERVICE ROBOTICS MARKET INDEX 4.6.2 Cyberdyne... 128 4.6.3 ReWalk Robotics... 129 4.6.4 Parker Hannifin... 130 4.6.5 Rex Bionics... 131 4.6.6 SuitX... 132 4.6.7 Hocoma... 133 4.6.8 Fourier Intelligence... 134 4.6.9 Bioservo Technologies... 134 4.7 Surgical robots... 136 4.7.1 Intuitive Surgical... 136 4.7.2 Mazor Robotics... 137 4.7.3 Medrobotics... 138 4.7.4 Stryker... 139 4.7.5 THINK Surgical... 140 4.7.6 Verb Surgical... 141 4.7.7 Medtronic... 142 4.7.8 Titan Medical... 143 4.8 Automated guided vehicles (AGVs)... 144 4.8.1 Toyota Industries Corporation... 144 4.8.2 JBT Corporation... 146 4.8.3 KION Group... 147 4.8.4 EK Automation... 148 4.8.5 Jungheinrich... 149 4.8.6 Daifuku... 149 4.8.7 ASTI... 150 4.8.8 Elettric80... 151 4.8.9 Swisslog (KUKA Group)... 152 4.8.10 Amazon Robotics... 153 4.8.11 AGVE Group... 154 4.8.12 Kollmorgen Automotion... 155 4.9 Automated mobile robots (AMRs)... 156 4.9.1 Vecna Technologies... 156 STRATEGIC M2M RESEARCH SERIES v

INDEX THE GLOBAL SERVICE ROBOTICS MARKET 4.9.2 Seegrid... 157 4.9.3 Otto Motors (Clearpath Robotics)... 159 4.9.4 Mobile Industrial Robots... 160 4.9.5 Magazino... 161 4.9.6 Locus Robotics... 162 4.9.7 Fetch Robotics... 163 4.9.8 IAM Robotics... 163 4.9.9 Omron Adept Technologies... 164 4.9.10 Aethon... 165 4.9.11 Savioke... 166 4.10 Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs)... 167 4.10.1 DJI... 167 4.10.2 Parrot... 168 4.10.3 Yuneec International... 169 4.10.4 GoPro... 170 4.10.5 3D Robotics... 170 4.10.6 EHang... 171 4.10.7 sensefly (Parrot)... 172 4.10.8 Intel... 173 5 Market forecasts and trends... 175 5.1 Service robotics market sizing... 175 5.1.1 Installed base... 175 5.1.2 Shipments... 176 5.1.3 Revenues... 178 5.1.4 Connectivity strategies... 179 5.2 Forecasts by service robot segment... 180 5.2.1 Market forecasts Floor cleaning robots... 180 5.2.2 Market forecasts Robot lawn mowers... 186 5.2.3 Market forecasts Milking robots... 190 5.2.4 Market forecasts Humanoid, assistant and social companion robots... 195 5.2.5 Market forecasts Telepresence robots... 200 5.2.6 Market forecasts Powered human exoskeletons... 204 vi STRATEGIC RESEARCH SERIES M2M RESEARCH SERIES

THE GLOBAL SERVICE ROBOTICS MARKET INDEX 5.2.7 Market forecasts Surgical robots... 210 5.2.8 Market forecasts Automated guided vehicles... 214 5.2.9 Market forecasts Autonomous mobile robots... 219 5.2.10 Market forecasts Unmanned aerial vehicles... 223 5.3 Market drivers and barriers... 228 5.3.1 Political factors... 228 5.3.2 Economical factors... 229 5.3.3 Social factors... 229 5.3.4 Technological factors... 229 5.3.5 Legal factors... 230 5.3.6 Environmental factors... 230 5.4 Market trends... 231 5.4.1 Increased cost of labour drives automation and service robotics... 231 5.4.2 Decreasing prices on robot tech makes service robotics more attractive... 232 5.4.3 AI increases the capabilities and potential use cases of service robots... 232 5.4.4 The future of service robotics is collaborative, not competitive... 233 5.4.5 Cloud robotics, teleoperation and IoT enabled by increased connectivity... 234 5.4.6 Open source robotic platforms speed up new development... 235 5.4.7 Increased investments in the field of service robotics... 235 Glossary... 241 STRATEGIC M2M RESEARCH SERIES vii

INDEX THE GLOBAL SERVICE ROBOTICS MARKET Index List of Figures Figure 1.1: All included service robot segments and various application areas... 4 Figure 1.2: Revenues by segment 2016 (US$ million)... 8 Figure 1.3: Robot related funding 2016... 14 Figure 1.4: Robot related M&As 2016... 17 Figure 2.1: Relationship between AI and Computer Vision... 31 Figure 2.2: Graphical representation of underfitting and overfitting... 33 Figure 3.1: Major cleaning robot actors... 40 Figure 3.2: Examples of domestic and professional floor cleaning robots... 41 Figure 3.3: Major robot lawn mower actors... 44 Figure 3.4: Examples of domestic and professional robot lawn mowers... 46 Figure 3.5: Major milking robot actors... 47 Figure 3.6: Examples of AMS and AMR milking robots... 49 Figure 3.7: Major humanoid robot actors... 51 Figure 3.8: Examples of humanoid robots, assistant robots and social companion robots... 53 Figure 3.9: Major telepresence robot actors... 55 Figure 3.10: Examples of telepresence robots... 57 Figure 3.11: Major powered human exoskeleton actors... 59 Figure 3.12: Examples of mobile and stationary exoskeletons... 61 Figure 3.13: Major surgical robot actors... 64 Figure 3.14: Examples of surgical robots... 68 Figure 3.15: Major AGV actors... 71 Figure 3.16: Examples of AGVs... 72 Figure 3.17: Major AMR actors... 76 Figure 3.18: Examples of AMRs... 78 Figure 3.19: Major UAV actors... 81 Figure 3.20: Examples of multi-rotor and fixed wing UAVs... 84 Figure 4.1: The Gardena Smart System from Husqvarna... 99 Figure 4.2: Lely Astronaut robotic arm in action... 107 viii STRATEGIC RESEARCH SERIES M2M RESEARCH SERIES

THE GLOBAL SERVICE ROBOTICS MARKET INDEX Figure 4.3: Care-O-bot mobile service robot from Fraunhofer IPA... 116 Figure 4.4: Beam from Suitable Technologies... 123 Figure 4.5: Carbonhand for industrial use by Biservo Technology... 135 Figure 4.6: Sport Surgical System robotic arm with camera and two instruments... 143 Figure 4.7: Seegrid VGV in action... 158 Figure 4.8: Ghostdrone 2.0 from EHang... 171 Figure 5.1: Service robot installed base by region (2016 2026)... 176 Figure 5.2: Service robot sales by region (2016 2026)... 177 Figure 5.3: Service robot revenues by region (2016 2026)... 178 Figure 5.4: Service robot connectivity technologies (2016 2026)... 180 Figure 5.5: Floor cleaning robots installed base by region (2016 2026)... 182 Figure 5.6: Floor cleaning robots sales by region (2016 2026)... 183 Figure 5.7: Floor cleaning robots revenues by region (2016 2026)... 184 Figure 5.8: Floor cleaning robots connectivity technologies (2016 2026)... 185 Figure 5.9: Robot lawn mowers installed base by region (2016 2026)... 187 Figure 5.10: Robot lawn mowers sales by region (2016 2026)... 188 Figure 5.11: Robot lawn mowers revenues by region (2016 2026)... 189 Figure 5.12: Robot lawn mowers connectivity technologies (2016 2026)... 190 Figure 5.13: Milking robots installed base by region (2016 2026)... 192 Figure 5.14: Milking robots sales by region (2016 2026)... 193 Figure 5.15: Milking robots revenues by region (2016 2026)... 194 Figure 5.16: Milking robots connectivity technologies (2016 2026)... 195 Figure 5.17: Humanoid robots installed base by region (2016 2026)... 196 Figure 5.18: Humanoid robots sales by region (2016 2026)... 197 Figure 5.19: Humanoid robots revenues by region (2016 2026)... 198 Figure 5.20: Humanoid robots connectivity technologies (2016 2026)... 199 Figure 5.21: Telepresence robots installed base by region (2016 2026)... 201 Figure 5.22: Telepresence robots sales by region (2016 2026)... 202 Figure 5.23: Telepresence robots revenues by region (2016 2026)... 203 Figure 5.24: Telepresence robots connectivity technologies (2016 2026)... 204 Figure 5.25: Powered human exoskeletons installed base by region (2016 2026)... 206 Figure 5.26: Powered human exoskeletons sales by region (2016 2026)... 207 STRATEGIC M2M RESEARCH SERIES ix

INDEX THE GLOBAL SERVICE ROBOTICS MARKET Figure 5.27: Powered human exoskeletons revenues by region (2016 2026)... 208 Figure 5.28: Powered human exoskeletons connectivity technologies (2016 2026)... 209 Figure 5.29: Surgical robots installed base by region (2016 2026)... 211 Figure 5.30: Surgical robots sales by region (2016 2026)... 212 Figure 5.31: Surgical robots revenues by region (2016 2026)... 213 Figure 5.32: Surgical robots connectivity technologies (2016 2026)... 214 Figure 5.33: Automated guided vehicles installed base by region (2016 2026)... 215 Figure 5.34: Automated guided vehicles sales by region (2016 2026)... 216 Figure 5.35: Automated guided vehicles revenues by region (2016 2026)... 217 Figure 5.36: Automated guided vehicles connectivity technologies (2016 2026)... 218 Figure 5.37: Autonomous mobile robots installed base by region (2016 2026)... 220 Figure 5.38: Autonomous mobile robots sales by region (2016 2026)... 221 Figure 5.39: Autonomous mobile robots revenues by region (2016 2026)... 222 Figure 5.40: Autonomous mobile robots connectivity technologies (2016 2026)... 223 Figure 5.41: UAVs installed base by region (2016 2026)... 224 Figure 5.42: UAVs sales by region (2016 2026)... 225 Figure 5.43: UAVs revenues by region (2016 2026)... 226 Figure 5.44: UAVs connectivity technologies (2016 2026)... 227 Figure 5.45: Robot related funding (January June 2017)... 236 Figure 5.46: Robot related M&As (January June 2017)... 238 x STRATEGIC RESEARCH SERIES M2M RESEARCH SERIES

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