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Applied Systems Engineering Les Bordelon US Air Force SES Retired NATO Lecture Series SCI-176 Mission Systems Engineering November 2006 An Everyday Process 1

Most Acquisition Documents and Standards say: Thou Shalt Do Systems Engineering 2

Translate Operational Needs Into Stable, Affordable Programs Strike Balance Among Cost, Schedule, and Performance Given Affordability Constraints Evolve Operational Performance Requirements from Broad Needs to System-Specific Performance Requirements Major Milestone Considerations: Threat Projections Affordability Constraints Cost-Performance-Schedule Trade Offs Life Cycle Costs Risk Management Policy 3

Policy Acquiring Quality Products (Highlights) Event-Driven Acquisition Strategies, Major Commitments & Milestone Decisions Linked to Demonstrated Development & Test Accomplishments Systems Engineering Practicable Use of Commercial & Nondevelopmental Items Streamlined Solicitations and Contract Requirements Initial Broad Cost, Schedule & Performance Objectives Refined and Expanded in Program Baselines Performance Objectives Must Satisfy Operational Needs and be Verifiable by Testing 4

Policy Acquiring Quality Products (Continued) Risk Management Identify and Manage Critical Parameters Technology Demonstrations & Prototyping Test & Evaluation to Assess Maturity and Identify Risk Assess Risk In: Threat, Technology, Schedule, Cost, Manufacturing, Support, Concurrency, Design, and Engineering User Participation 5

SE Policy Applied Throughout the System Life Cycle as a Comprehensive, Iterative Technical Management Process Translate Operational Need into a Configured System Through a Systematic, Concurrent Approach to Integrated Design of the System and Its Processes Integrate the Technical Inputs and All Technical Disciplines into a Coordinated Effort to Meet Cost, Schedule, and Performance Objectives Ensure: Compatibility of All Interfaces System Definition and Design Reflect the Requirements for all System Elements Develop Risk Abatement Approaches and Characterize and Reduce Technical Risks 6

SE Procedures Performance of Key Tasks Requirements Collection & Translation Methodology Translate Operations Requirements into Design Requirements With User, Establish Feasible Operations Requirements and Identify Critical Operations Characteristics and Constraints Detailed Design Specifications Establish Process to Balance Design Specs, Conduct Trades, Studies, Optimize System Design Transition Technology Establish Approach Define Criteria & Methods 7

SE Procedures Performance of Key Tasks Manage Risks: Identify & Assess Throughout Acquisition Cycle Eliminate/Reduce via Acquisition Strategy At Milestone Start: Cost, Schedule, Risk Reduction Measures, Assumptions & Strategy Alternatives are Assessed Verify Design Meets Operational Need Integration Analysis, Simulation, Test & Demonstration All Critical Characteristics Verified by Test & Demonstration 8

SE Procedures Integration of Technical Disciplines Implementation of Planning and Control Engineering Planning Technical Performance Measures Configuration Management Technical Data Definition of a Work Breakdown Structure 9

INPUT Requirements Constraints The Customers OUTPUT Decisions Products Processes YES Requirements Analysis The Requirements Loop Systems Analysis & Control NO Schedule MET? Functional Analysis/ Allocation The Design Loop Verification Synthesis 10

GENERIC PROBLEM SOLVING TECHNIQUE PROBLEM RECOGNITION Feedback Loops Input, Requirements Analysis, Functional Analysis / Allocation OBJECTIVES REQUIREMENTS CONSTRAINTS MODEL CONSTRUCTION LIST ALTERNATIVES DATA COLLECTION Systems Analysis & Control Synthesis EVALUATE ALTERNATIVES SELECT BEST ALTERNATIVE Output 11

Inputs Define/Refine the Problem Doable? Break Down Top Level Actions How Can It Be Done? Outputs 12

Inputs Define/Refine the Problem REQUIREMENTS ANALYSIS 13

Requirements Analysis Defining the Inputs What Job(s) Do the Customers Need to Do? What Are the Customers Trying to Do? How Well Must They be Done? What Are the Environments? What Are the Boundaries (e.g., $, Time...)? How Do We Measure Goodness? What Technologies Might be Available? What Types of Information Do Decision Makers Need? What Procedures Need to be Employed to Get to a Solution (or In the Solution)? 14

Inputs Define/Refine the Problem Break Down Top Level Actions FUNCTIONAL ANALYSIS AND ALLOCATION 15

Break Down Top-Level Actions Turning Big Ones Into Little Ones Functional Analysis and Allocation Simplify Complex Actions Into a Set of Less Complex Actions Define the Relationships Between Actions (i.e., Inputs, Outputs, Sequences, etc.) Back to the Parent Across the Set of Less Complex Actions Across Other Sets of Actions (Including External Relationships) Spread How Well the Complex Actions Must Be Done (& Constraints) Across the Set of Less Complex Actions Summing the How Wells Across the Set of Less Complex Actions Must Equal How Well the Complex Actions Needed to be Done 16

Requirements Analysis Systems Analysis & Control The Requirements Loop Functional Analysis/ Allocation The Design Loop Verification Synthesis 17

Inputs Inputs Define/Refine the Problem Break Down Top Level Actions How Can It Be Done? Feedback Loops Confirm Completeness Have All Actions Been Addressed? Do Some Solutions Require New or Modified Actions? Define/Refine the Problem Break Down Top Level Actions How Can It Be Done? Do Solutions Still Solve the Top-Level Problem? 18

Inputs Define/Refine the Problem Break Down Top Level Actions How Can It Be Done? SYNTHESIS (Design) 19

How It Can Be Done Develop Solution(s) Synthesis (Design) Organize Lower-Level Actions Into Sets Which Can Be Accomplished by Some Form of Solution Alternative As Solution Alternatives are Defined, Identify Interfaces Between Them Define Alternative Ways of Accomplishing the Lower-Level Actions Alternative Groupings of Actions Alternative Ways of Accomplishing the Same Set of Actions Looking for Solution(s) That Best Accomplish the Actions 20

Inputs SYSTEMS ANALYSIS & CONTROL Define/Refine the Problem Doable? Break Down Top Level Actions How Can It Be Done? 21

Doable? Deconflict & Balance Requirements Systems Analysis & Control Determine Best Solution(s) Analyze Alternatives Identify & Understand Risks Involved Measure Problem Solution Progress Maintain a Master Schedule of Work to be Done Review Work Done Measure How Well Solution Solves Problem Manage Documentation Ensure EVERYTHING has Been Documented Latest Versions are Being Used 22

Inputs Define/Refine the Problem Break Down Top Level Actions Feedback Loops Confirm Completeness Have All Aspects of the Problem Been Addressed? Do Lower-Level Actions Still Add Up to Top-Level Actions? Have Any of the Lower-Level Actions Caused a New Constraint, or Modification to an Existing Constraint? Have All Defined Constraints Been Addressed in Lower- Level Actions? Did Less Complex Set of Actions Require Additional Problem Definition to Define How Well They Needed to be Done? 23

An Illustrative Example Armored Personnel Carrier (APC) Requires Oil Change 24

Customer Input Objective: Change the Oil Inputs: Spend Only a Reasonable Amount of Money Unskilled Labor Available Buy Off-the-Shelf Parts Don t Spend More Than 4 Hours 25

Identify Constraints Take No More Than 4 Hours Use Only a Reasonable Amount of $$ Use COTS Identify Top Level Actions Acquire Materials What Materials? (Define Them) Oil What Amount? (4 Quarts) What Kind? Season? (Winter, 10W30) New Filter? (Yes) Remove Old Oil Put In New Oil Define/Refine The Problem? 26

Break Down Top-Level Actions Acquire Materials Buy Oil and Filter Remove Old Oil Remove Oil Filter Remove Drain Bolt Put In New Oil Put On New Oil Filter Insert Drain Bolt Remove Oil Cap Add Oil Replace Oil Cap Turning Big Ones Into Little Ones 27

Spread How Well - Check Completeness Assign Performance (Time/Cost) to the Actions and See How We Are Satisfying the Problem. Buy Oil and Filter Remove Oil Filter Remove Drain Bolt Put On New Oil Filter Insert Drain Bolt Remove Oil Cap Add Oil Replace Oil Cap Nearest APC parts store - 45 min round trip 80% of oil drains 0.5 sec after removing oil filter. Drains 1 quart per 30 sec from oil pan drain. 5 min 28

Spread How Well - Sum How Well s time ; cost Buy Oil and Filter... 45 min; $10 Remove Oil Filter... Remove Drain Bolt... Oil Drain Time... Put On New Oil Filter... Insert Drain Bolt... Remove Oil Cap... Add Oil... Replace Oil Cap...? sec? sec 10 min? sec? sec? sec 5 min? sec Clean-Up Oil Spill... 2.5 hrs Shower with Lava... 1 hr To Date: Total Time - 4.5 hr Total Cost: $10.00 29

Is It Doable? Deconflict & Balance Requirements Clean-Ups Take Too Long Potential Environmental Problems New Requirement - Disposal New & Revised Actions Catch the Oil in a Container Broke Constraint: 4.5 hr > 4 hr Remove Drain Plug & Oil, Then Remove Filter Refine Problem and Actions: Obtain 5 Quart Catch Pan (Catch Oil) Empty Gallon Milk Carton (Dispose of Oil) Plastic Bag (Dispose of Oil Filter) 30

Spread How Well Buy Oil, Filter, Pan (New)...45 min, $10.00 Remove Drain Bolt...? sec [reorder sequence] Oil Drain Time... 10 min [reorder sequence] Remove Oil Filter...? sec [reorder sequence] Put On New Oil Filter...? sec Insert Drain Bolt...? sec Remove Oil Cap...? sec Add Oil... 5 min Replace Oil Cap...? sec Clean-Ups... 1 hour [revised] To Date: Total Time - 2 hours Total Cost - $10.00 31

How Can It Be Done? Develop Solution (s) Design-to-Time Available ~ 2 hour Analysis Remove Drain Bolt: Bolt Design - 3/4 Hex Nut (Wrench Adequate, Cost = $4, R&R Time = 4 min) Remove Oil Filter: Special Tool Required (Oil Filter Wrench, Cost = $10, R&R Time = 10 min) Remove Oil Cap: Hand Tighten (3 Wrench to remove, Cost = $4, R&R Time = 1 min) Note: An adjustable wrench could work for both the drain bolt and the oil cap (Cost = $5, Savings = $3) 32

How Can It Be Done? Develop Solution (s) Problem: Mechanic doesn t fit under APC, and can t reach drain bolt & oil filter from the side. Alternatives: Get Mechanic with Longer Arms Lower the Ground Underneath Oil Pan Area Raise the APC Park APC with Front Wheels on the Curb Use Fork Lift Truck to Raise Front End ($25, 10 min) Obtain APC Ramps ($50, 30 min Set-Up Time) Take APC to Dealership ($20, Leave APC All Day) 33

Alternative #1 Get Mechanic With Longer Arms ELIMINATE: Overqualified for Job 34

Alternative #2 Lower the Ground Underneath Oil Pan ELIMINATE: Spouse Objects 35

Alternative #3 Park APC with Front Wheels on the Curb ELIMINATE: Safety Hazard 36

Candidate Alternatives Use Fork-Lift Truck to Raise Front End ($25, 10 min) Obtain APC Ramps ($50, 30 min Set-Up Time) 37

Tasks Lift Truck Ramps Dealer Buy oil, filter $10, 45 min $10, 45 min Buy pan, wrenches* $20, 45 min $20, 45 min Lift front end $25, 10 min $50, 30 min Remove/replace drain bolt 4 min 4 min Drain oil 10 min 10 min Remove/replace oil filter 10 min 10 min Remove/replace oil cap 1 min 1 min Add oil 5 min 5 min Clean-ups 1 hour 1 hour Total Time 3 hr 10 min 3 hr, 40 min 1 Day Total Cost $55 $80 $20 * One Time Cost Are Alternatives Doable? RETAIN DEALER: TOO LONG, BUT LEAST COST 38

Observations Lift Truck Best Cost and Performance that Meets Requirement Dealer option Doesn t Meet Time Requirement, but Offers Significantly Less Cost 39

Life Cycle Considerations (But How Many Times Will the Oil Be Changed?) Lift Truck Ramps Dealer One-Time Purchases $20 $20 $ 0 (Pan and wrenches) One-Time Delay 45 min 45 min 0 min (Buying materials) Recurring Costs $35 $60 $20 Recurring Time Delay 2 hr, 25 min 2 hr, 55 min 1 day 40

C u m u l a t i v e C o s t Systems Engineering Process 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Life Cycle Assessment Lift Truck Dealer Ramps 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Number of Oil Changes 41

Repair Time Assessment R E P A I R T I M E 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 RAMPS LIFT TRUCK DEALER OPTIONS 42

Know the four basic elements of the SE Process Understand Requirements Analysis Understand Functional Analysis/Allocation Understand Synthesis Understand Systems Analysis and Control Understand Feedback Loops Things To Do 43