STRATEGY IN ACTION BAT KOREA. Stephan Liechti Richard Bakker

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Transcription:

STRATEGY IN ACTION BAT KOREA Stephan Liechti Richard Bakker

IMPORTANT INFORMATION This presentation has been prepared by British American Tobacco Korea ("British American Tobacco") for information purposes only and does not constitute, or form part of any offer or invitation to acquire, or any solicitation of any offer to acquire any securities of British American Tobacco. The information on which this presentation is based has been obtained from sources which we believe to be reliable as at the date hereof, but we have not independently verified such information and do not guarantee that it is accurate or complete and all information and opinions are subject to update, correction, revision or amendment without notice. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is therefore made by or on behalf of British American Tobacco, its directors or employees or any other person as to, and no reliance for any purposes whatsoever should be placed on, the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information or opinions contained in this presentation and no responsibility or liability is accepted for any such information or opinions. This presentation includes certain forward-looking statements with respect to British American Tobacco's financial condition, results of operations and business and certain plans and objectives of the British American Tobacco's board of directors with respect thereto. By their nature, forward looking statements involve risks and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and British American Tobacco's actual results of operations, financial condition, liquidity, prospects, growth and strategies and the development of the industry in which the British American Tobacco operates may differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements included in this presentation. Events that may cause actual results to differ from such forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to fluctuations in the capital markets; fluctuations in interest and exchange rates; increased regulation or regulatory scrutiny; the occurrence of unforeseen disasters or catastrophes; political or economic instability in their principal markets; adverse outcomes in litigation; general local and global economic, political, business and market conditions. Except as required by its legal or regulatory obligations, British American Tobacco does not undertake any obligation to update or revise publicly any forward looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Recipients of this presentation who intend to acquire any interests in securities which British American Tobacco may issue in the future are reminded that any such acquisition should only be made on the basis of the offering document prepared in connection therewith, which may be different from the information and opinions contained in this presentation. Some of the views and opinions expressed in the following materials are those of BAT Korea only and cannot be taken as statements of fact or guidance of government authorities regarding the tobacco market in Korea.

AGENDA Strategy in Action Korea The Cigarette Market A Decade of Success The Strategy Summary and Conclusion

AGENDA Strategy in Action Korea The Cigarette Market A Decade of Success The Strategy Summary and Conclusion

Korea Population 48.7 million Democratic People s Republic of Korea Almost half of population in Seoul Area Density 98,000 km 2 (Size of Hungary) 50% Seoul Area Seoul Kyunggi Province GDP per Capita US$21,000 (2009) US$11,000 (2000) Republic of Korea Inflation 3.1% (2009) Trade / Growth Export driven 35% of GDP from export (Japan = 16%) Source: OECD Database, Korea National Statistical Office Database, BMI

Economic Outlook Strong Performance $820 Billion GDP in 2009 (15 th biggest economy) Fastest recovery amongst OECD Won appreciation Exports are recovering FDI is coming back Korea becoming a global power Samsung / Hyundai UAE nuclear power reactors deal ($40 bil) G20 in November 2010 Pitching for Winter Olympics and Football World cup in 2018 / F1 in 2010 FTA s Concerns Consumer debt ($640 bil) Global economy 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 (F) 2011 (F) *Source : BOK (Actual) / Asia Pacific Consensus Forecasts (Forecast) USD/KRW Rates 1600 1500 1400 1300 1200 1100 1000 900 GDP Growth (%, y-o-y) 800 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10(F) Jan-11(F) 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 *Source : BOK (Actual) / Bloomberg Consensus (Forecast) Foreign Direct Investment (US$ bil) 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 *Source : BOK

AGENDA Strategy in Action Korea The Cigarette Market A Decade of Success The Strategy Summary and Conclusion

A Dynamic Cigarette Market Market size and price evolution CAGR: -1.0% 104.9 106.8 CAGR: 1.5% 98.1 96.9 91.3 82.1 87.5 91.6 94.8 94.6 94.4 Size Adult Incidence 2005 82.2 billion 2009 94.7 billion 6 th largest* 21.3% 22% Billions 2500 2000 1800 1600 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Pack Price (KRW) Consumption per day Switching 19.3 sticks 19.5 sticks 23% 21%, highest globally The demand for international brands is growing Superslims 36% 38%, largest globally Share of industry shipments 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 10% 26% 37% 42% 2000 2005 2009 2010 Int l Local Premium Segment size Lights Segment Size 65% 22% 75% 34%, lightest globally * Excl. China, India and USA Source: OECD Database, Korea National Statistical Office Database, BMI, General consumer survey 2005 & 2009, Industry shipments, AC Nielsen

Regulatory Environment - PPS Restrictions - Text Health Warning on Advertisements - Further PPS Restrictions - Korea Ratified FCTC - Proposals in the National Assembly - PPS Restrictions - Graphic Health Warnings - Ban of Descriptors - Advertisement Restrictions 1997 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2008 2009 - Restrictions for use of Vending Machines - Text Health Warning on Packs - Adult Verification for Vending machines - Labeling Carcinogen contents on the pack - Advertisement restrictions - Excise Increase by 500 Won

AGENDA Strategy in Action Korea The Cigarette Market A Decade of Success The Strategy Summary and Conclusion

Superior understanding of the consumer resulted in outstanding growth for BAT BAT Shipments (b`ns) 18.0 16.0 14.0 12.0 10.0 8.0 23% CAGR 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: Industry Shipments

Consistent evolution in Dunhill has resulted in 15% share growth over the last 10 years Launch Top Leaf / Cigar Flagship store Launch Dunhill Balance Orchestra Pack modification Focus Pack Change Launch 0.1mg for Dunhill KS&SS 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Launch Dunhill Lights Menthol DHL LEP World cup celebration Launch Dunhill 1mg Launch Mist/ Frost l Launch D-Series (Premium+) Launch Fine Cut SS Tribute W1&2 LEP Re-launch D-Series Launch Fine Cut 1MG Menthol & 6mg KS Menthol 1907 Flagship store My Mixture

A very successful build up of BAT in Korea 1998 British America Tobacco Korea established 1999 Merger with Rothmans Korea (Dunhill) with 200 employees Direct sales system established 2002 Construction of BATK factory 10bn off-take sales 11% share of industry with 600 employees 2003 First local production of Dunhill 2004 Began to export Made in Korea product 2006 Factory achieved 50 billion sticks (cumulative) 2007 DHL became the largest cigarette SKU in Korea BAT-KM (Factory) awarded as responsible tax-payer by the government Dunhill Superslims launched 2008 Dunhill Brand achieved 15% market share 2009 Over 18% market share 17 Billions cigarette sales Factory achieved 100 billion sticks (cumulative)

BAT A successful company in Korea and large opportunity available Unit: % Unit: % 40 30 90.60 84.80 79.20 76.70 77.10 75.12 72.06 69.06 65.50 61.00 100 80 60 20 10 10.90 5.70 16.19 13.00 12.60 13.66 6.50 7.40 8.00 8.35 2.80 3.20 3.40 17.20 17.62 18.14 11.78 14.56 9.68 6.24 4.06 5.02 40 20 0 4.10 3.80 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 BAT PMI JTI KT&G 0 Continuous decline of local brands KT&G But PMI and JTI also successful in 2008 and 2009 Source: Shipment 2000-2004, AC Nielsen 2005-2009

AGENDA Strategy in Action Korea The Cigarette Market A Decade of Success The Strategy Summary and Conclusion

Our strategy is fully aligned with the group: leadership of the tobacco industry Group Region Korea No.1 Growth Productivity Responsibility Korea Winning Portfolio Leader in Innovation World class TM&D Consumer centric local agility Leader in product quality Preferred Partner Shaping Environment #1 Reputation Pricing Leveraging global scale Winning Organisation Leading International Employer in Korea

Growth No.1 Growth Winning Portfolio Leader in Innovation World class TM&D Pricing

Dunhill - No.1 International Brand in Korea Growth Dunhill is number 1 ASU 30 with 28% share Dunhill flagship store Dunhill Lights = No.1 SKU in Korea Dunhill 1mg = No.1 SKU in 1mg segment DHL campaign Dunhill Frost = No.1 SKU in menthol segment Premium presence in retail Dunhill Fine Cut SS = No.1 SS in international SS segment

Dunhill will continue to be the premium benchmark brand in the future Growth Launch of Dunhill Nanocut Driving ASU30 inflow through innovation compact offer

Building our future with Kent Growth ASU25 wanting individual choice Innovation platform based on technology positioning Utilise global pipeline for future rollout

Direct Sales: Close To Our Consumers Growth Retail universe of 134,000 with Communication Processing Routing 90,000 customers 4.7million store visits every year BAT direct sales distribution trade coverage 74% incl. distributor (26% K/A) Sale Picking Delivery End to end supply chain managed in Korea. Source: Industry retail audit

Direct Sales A Real Competitive Advantage Growth Close to the consumer Direct feedback about consumer behaviour Higher trade coverage in Retail Higher distribution for BAT brands Faster speed to market than most competitors New launches and higher flexibility Improved retailer influence Relationship management Higher levels of employee loyalty Low turnover, committed energized and experienced

The Pricing Opportunity In Korea Growth Cigarettes are very affordable Cigarettes are very affordable 8,000 8,000 6.38 6.15 KRW 5,000 4,100 3,400 2,500 1,000 GBP 4.81 4.5 3.57 2.21 1.54 1.23 Cinema Ticket Imported Beer Local Beer Starbucks Coffee Big Mac Cigarettes New spaper Source: AC Nielsen Australia UK Canada France Italy Japan Malaysia Korea Source: Q4 Report Central Strategy & Planning Department Cigarettes are very affordable Relatively Low Excise 648 594 525 476 439 390 334 60 58 57 53 48 45 48 836 859 788 727 43 40 38 37 Tax incidence Excise / VAT Trade Margin 52% 1,800 935 164 63% 63% 63% 62% 62% 56% 56% 56% 2,500 2,500 2,500 2,500 2,500 2,000 2,000 2,000 62% 1,565 1,565 1,565 1,550 NIRRM 1,111 1,111 1,111 182 182 182 227 227 227 227 227 9% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Net Sales 702 707 707 707 708 708 708 723 723 29% Minimum Wage per 26 worked days Working Minutes required to buy a pack Source: Ministry of Labour 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: BAT Internal

Market Value 3.8 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.2 2.9 3.1 3.3 100 104 107 111 115 118 121 124 Total NTO (KRW in tn) CPI (base on 2000) Pack Price (KRW) 3.4 3.4 130 133 Growth 1,600 1,800 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,500 2,500 2,500 2,500 2,500 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 CPI and our cost base increased, but margin flat since 2001 100 KRW (0.05 GBP) p/p price increase will (+4%) deliver additional NTO of approx. 0.4 trillion KRW to the market CPI Source: Korea National Statistical Office Database

Productivity No.1 Productivity Consumer centric local agility Leader in product quality Leveraging global scale

Driving Productivity to Fuel Growth Productivity 2006 (Base) 2007 2008 2009 BATK Overheads Index 100 105 95 92 Consumer Price Inflation 100 103 108 111 Average Salary Increase 100 106 111 116 Leveraging global scale 2008-2009 zero base costing in Korea CPMH (Cigarette Per Million Hour) : BAT record hold by BAT Korea

Responsibility No.1 Responsibility Preferred Partner Shaping Environment #1 Reputation

Responsibility Responsibility Our objective is to continue leadership as a responsible corporation in Korea. Continuous Dialogue with Stakeholders. 5 BAT Korea case studies included in our 2009 Group Sustainability Report. CSR and CSI programs. International Marketing Standards Implementation Fully compliant result in international BAT audit in 2008. Continuous, transparent and open dialogue with government. Our Concerns : Display Ban, Plain Packaging, Total Smoking Ban, Ingredients

Recognition Responsibility NBCI Award 2009 Excellent Corporate Governance Award 2006 NCSI Award (5yrs) 2004,2005,2006 2008,2009 YSP Efforts Award 2008 Citation for Contribution to the Tobacco Industry 2006 5Mn Dollar Export Tower 2007 3Mn Dollar Export Tower Exemplary 2006 Taxpayer Award 2010 10Mn Dollar Export Tower 2008 Sincere Tax Payment Award 2007 2008 Stevie Award 2008 Sincere Local Tax Payment Award 2007

Winning Organisation No.1 Winning Organisation Leading International Employer in Korea

People: Our Winning Organisation Winning Organisation Senior management team with 120 years of international tobacco experience in 30 countries. Very strong result oriented and passionate sales force: we can, we will!! One of the best and most efficient factories in the world: people make the difference. Robust management trainee program. International company vs local chaebol. Award, Recognition and Celebration programs. Diversity : 16 nationalities

AGENDA Strategy in Action Korea The Cigarette Market A Decade of Success The Strategy Summary and Conclusion

Summary and Conclusion What will drive success? How is BAT positioned? Clear brand propositions for different consumer needs Leading in differentiated portfolio marketing International brands Innovations Customer + account management Strong brands geared for growth Kent the international innovation platform Leverage global expertise & direct sales Stakeholder engagement Sound reputation + sensible regulation People Passionate & result oriented people are a key advantage A decade of shareholder return: 23% CAGR in shipment volume