Autonomy Test & Evaluation Verification & Validation (ATEVV) Challenge Area

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Autonomy Test & Evaluation Verification & Validation (ATEVV) Challenge Area Stuart Young, ARL ATEVV Tri-Chair i NDIA National Test & Evaluation Conference 3 March 2016

Outline ATEVV Perspective on Autonomy ATEVV Overview (goals, functions and milestones) ATEVV Activities Status Discussion 2

TEVV Perspective on Autonomy Unlike many other defense systems, the critical capabilities provided by autonomy are embedded in the system software. However, the traditional acquisition milestones for unmanned systems, often along with the focus of the development contractor, are dominated by hardware considerations. Autonomy software is frequently treated as an afterthought or assumed to be a component that can be added to the platform at a later date independent of sensors,,processing power, communications and other elements that may limit computational intelligence. The Task Force recommends that the Military Services structure autonomous systems acquisition iti programs to separate the autonomy software from the vehicle platform. DSB Report on Autonomy 2012 This might be hard to accomplish. Principle Question: How do we design in TEVV methods throughout the acquisition program to: Gain better insight in the autonomous software Produce V&V evidence earlier in the lifecycle Argue risk more effectively? 3

Autonomy Test & Evaluation Verification and Validation (ATEVV) Overview ATEVV Goals Goal 1 Methods & tools assisting in requirements development and analysis Goal 2 Evidence-based design and implementation Goal 3 Cumulative evidence through RD T&E, DT, & OT Goal 4 Run time behavior prediction and recovery Goal 5 Assurance arguments for autonomous systems Major Functions of the ATEVV WG -Foster community collaboration -Develop an S&T strategic roadmap -Assess current autonomy T&E and V&V standards, procedures, infrastructure and capabilities -Identify gaps where ATEVV capabilities, infrastructure, and policy are misaligned or deficient -Coordinate with Major Range Test and Facility Base (MRTFB) -produce a database baseline of T&E infrastructure -Support standards d development unique to the V&V of autonomous systems *Tri-Chairs Dr. Jeff DePriest DTRA, Matt Clark AFRL, Stuart Young ARL ATEVV Major Milestones WG Established and Meeting Monthly/Quarterly Workshops Charter Technology Investment Strategy published in Jun 2015 Develop Strategic Roadmap format and begin collaboration TRMC/GTRI Test & Evaluation Study (Initial Jan 2016) Pedigree Based Licensure Report findings (Mar 2016) Strategic Roadmap Complete (Jun 2016) Present Strategic Roadmap to OSD DoD must shift the TEVV paradigm for Autonomous capabilities, generating new evidence within design, in live and simulated environments - across all operational domains 4

OSD Autonomy COI Test and Evaluation, Verification and Validation 2014 Signed Charter TEVV charter 2015 Signed TEVV Strategy From algorithms to scalable teams of multiple agents Developing new T&E, V&V technologies needed to enable the fieldingi of assured autonomous systems Department of Defense Research & Engineering Autonomy Community of Interest (COI) Test and Evaluation, Verification and Validation (TEVV) Working Group Technology Investment Strategy 2015-2018 Initiate development of an S&T research roadmap to align DoD TEVV S&T efforts to fill capability gaps. This includes: Assess current ATEVV standards, procedures, infrastructure and capabilities along with related R&D activities Identify gaps where ATEVV capabilities, infrastructure, t and policy are misaligned or deficient Office of the Assistant Secretary of Defense For Research & Engineering May 2015 Distribution A: Distribution Unlimited 2016 Cross Service Program Plan / Portfolio Supporting Strategy 5

ATEVV Process Model, Integrated with Systems Engineering V ATEVV Goal 1: Methods & Tools Assisting in Requirements Development and Analysis: Precise, structured standards to automate requirement evaluation for testability, traceability, and de-confliction ATEVV Goal 3: Cumulative Evidence through RDT&E, DT, & OT Progressive sequential modeling, simulation, test and evaluation ATEVV Goal 4: Run Time Behavior Prediction and Recovery Real time monitoring, just-in-time prediction and mitigation of undesired decisions and behaviors Autonomy TEVV GOAL 1 Autonomy TEVV GOAL 3 Autonomy TEVV GOAL 4 Autonomy TEVV GOAL 2 Autonomy TEVV GOAL 3 Autonomy TEVV GOAL 5 ATEVV Goal 2: Evidence-Based Design and Implementation Assurance of appropriate decisions with traceable evidence at every level of design to reduce the current T&E burden ATEVV Goal 5: Assurance Arguments for Autonomous Systems Reusable assurance case based on previous evidence building blocks 6

Current Working Group Activities ATEVV WG submitted seedling proposal Methods & Tools Assisting in Requirements Development & Analysis (Goal 1) Submitted ONR MURI Project Unifying i Stochastic, ti Discrete, and Continuous Dynamics in Mathematically ti Rigorous Verification Frameworks for Intelligent and Autonomous Systems supporting ATEVV investment strategy (Goal 2) DASD (T&E) in cooperation with ASD/R&E drafting recommendations on changing T&E methods, tools, processes. Change culture to accommodate autonomy (AFIT) (Goal 3) TRMC contracted study (GTRI) on the Impact of Autonomy on the DoD T&E Infrastructure. (Goal 3) ATEVV WG leading study on alternative means of autonomous agent licensure, leveraging traditional certification for non-autonomous components. Seedling (IDA) (Goal 5) Drafting Autonomy COI TEVV (ATEVV) S&T Roadmap--addresses potential solutions to challenges identified in ATEVV Technology Investment (18 projects to date) ATEVV WG collaborating with foreign partners (India, Israel, UK and Singapore) Current engagement with NRL and India CAIR center underway UK Ministry of Defense DSTL (equivalent to ASD(R&E)) adopted our Autonomy COI TEVV Technical Investment t Strategy t as baseline for the 2015 Initial findings on baseline engineering i guidance for consideration of autonomous and supporting automatic functions in manned and unmanned military systems 7

Objectives: ASD/R&E funded study - TEVV: Pedigree-Based Training and Licensure Provide insight to DoD SMEs about the challenges associated with the autonomous systems training i and licensure scheme Investigate current processes for training autonomous system operators, identifying requirements for documenting the pedigree of a learning algorithm as it relates to the pedigree or competency of a human operator Identify the technology gaps to be addressed should a certification approach be pursued w/i DoD Operational Opportunities: Establishes a rigorous TEVV process for future autonomous systems Measures the ability of new technologies to operate in dynamic, complex, and/or contested environments Establishes a comprehensive strategy that addresses both the technical factors and current policy mandates dt Technical Challenges: Provide critical information on the benefits and issues associated with pursuing a task-based licensure strategy for certifying autonomous technologies Guide future actions of the TEVV Working Group Share information with industry and academia to continue the dialog with key DoD technology development partners No plans to conduct further studies on this subject after this study is completed 88

Proposed Seedling Methods & Tools Assisting in Requirements Development & Analysis (Goal 1) Objective: This seedling effort seeks to initiate a joint DoD project to identify and develop science and technology directly focused on the current gap in Autonomy Requirements S&T. Impact: Investigate, improve, and demonstrate S&T technologies that will reduce the current V&V burden for Autonomy at the Requirements generation and analysis phase. Three subtasks: 1. Generation of Generic Set of Testable Requirements for Autonomous Systems (ONI) 2. Available Requirements Analysis Tools (NRL) 3. Verification and Validation of Performance Metrics for Autonomy Requirements (ARL) 9

Discussion Licensure Update ATEVV Seedling g( (Requirements and Use Case) Collaboration with other Autonomy Challenge Areas Partner with other agencies (e.g. NRI/NITRD) 10

BACKUPS

MURI Topic Principles for Assuring Composability and Correctness for Nondeterministic Autonomous and Learning Systems that Interact with Unstructured Physical Environments Objective: To develop new methods and principles to assure composability and correctness of nondeterministic autonomous and learning systems in unstructured and uncertain environments and rigorously balance design-time analysis under a subset of environmental conditions with real-time verification and bounding in broader, novel and unexpected situations. Impact: New methods and principles from this effort could ultimately greatly reduce the cost of development of a wide range of future autonomous and intelligent systems from vehicles to wearable devices and improve their reliability. The topic requires developing new composable frameworks, models/abstractions, and methods between the disciplines of control theory, robotics, machine learning, computational intelligence, and the computer science formal methods communities including spanning a range of formal methods. 12

Autonomy S&T Funding Distributions COI Sub-Areas Autonomy - General Human & Autonomous Interaction and Collaboration Machine Perception, Reasoning, Intelligence Scalable Teaming of Autonomous Systems Testing, Evaluation, V&V DoD PB15 FY 2015 By Component Investment 5% 13% 28% 25% 29% Air Force Army Navy DARPA Components Only 6-9% of all Autonomy development is focused on new T&E, V&V methods 13