Where are we now: Wireless Broadband Ecosystem

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Where are we now: Wireless Broadband Ecosystem ITU ASP COE TRAINING ON WIRELESS BROADBAND ROADMAP DEVELOPMENT 06-09 August 2016 Tehran, Islamic Republic of Iran

ICT Goals and Targets - Sustainable Development Goals - ITU 2020 Agenda

Goals for a Sustainable Future : The SDGs

Enhancing the Objectives ICTs are a key cross-cutting enablers for promoting and achieving each and every SDG. Has great potential to accelerate human progress Bridge the digital divide and to develop knowledge societies. 5

Acknowledging the Role of ICTs SDG : 4(b) Education and scholarships SDG : 5(b) Gender Empowerment SDG : 9(b) Infrastructure for Universal and Affordable access to ICTs and the Internet in the Least Developed Countries Other (health, energy, agriculture, water, climate change.) 6

Mainstreaming the 2030 Agenda The new universal agenda requires that ITU : -support governments, the UN system and sector partnership efforts effectively at the national, regional, and global levels to meet the sustainable development goals. Better inter-sectoral coordination will also be required at ITU to strengthen its related work and enhance the important role of ICTs as crosscutting enablers for the SDGs. 7

ITU CONNECT 2020 VISION GROWTH Enable and foster access to and increased use of telecommunications/icts 55% households access to the Internet 60% individuals using the Internet 40% Telecoms/ICTs be 40% more affordable (i) 50% of households access to the Internet in the developing world; 15% in LDCs (ii) 50% of individuals using the Internet in developing world; 20% in LDCs (iii) 40% affordability gap be reduced by 40% between developed and developing countries (iv) 5% Broadband services should cost no more than 5% of average monthly income in the developing countries SUSTAINABILITY Manage challenges resulting from the telecommunication/ ICT development INNOVATION & PARTNERSHIP Lead, improve and adapt to the changing telecommunication/ict environment 40% improvement in cybersecurity readiness 50% reduction in volume of redundant e-waste 30% decrease GHG emissions per device generated by the telecom/ict sector Telecommunication/ICT environment conducive to innovation Effective partnerships of stakeholders in telecommunication/ict environment Resolution on Connect 2020 Agenda Approved by the ITU Plenipotentiary Conference (PP-14): Includes measurable targets 8 ICT indicators

Some ICT Trends

ITU ASP RO

ITU ASP RO

ITU ASP RO

ITU ASP RO

ITU ASP RO

ITU ASP RO

ITU ASP RO

ITU ASP RO

ITU ASP RO

Some mobile business trends

The App Economy (cont d) Source: ITU GSR discussion paper THE RACE FOR SCALE: MARKET POWER, REGULATION AND THE APP ECONOMY Authors: Mr Simon Molloy of System Knowledge Concepts and Mr Scott W. Minehane of Windsor Place Consulting, with significant inputs from Mr Barry Burgan, Associate Dean of Bond Business School, Bond University, Gold Coast, Australia ITU ASP RO The full paper can be downloaded http://www.itu.int/en/itu-d/conferences/gsr/pages/gsr2016/papers.aspx

ITU ASP RO Source: ITU GSR discussion paper THE RACE FOR SCALE: MARKET POWER, REGULATION AND THE APP ECONOMY Authors: Mr Simon Molloy of System Knowledge Concepts and Mr Scott W. Minehane of Windsor Place Consulting, with significant inputs from Mr Barry Burgan, Associate Dean of Bond Business School, Bond University, Gold Coast, Australia The full paper can be downloaded http://www.itu.int/en/itu-d/conferences/gsr/pages/gsr2016/papers.aspx

The App Economy Source: ITU GSR discussion paper THE RACE FOR SCALE: MARKET POWER, REGULATION AND THE APP ECONOMY Authors: Mr Simon Molloy of System Knowledge Concepts and Mr Scott W. Minehane ITU ASP of Windsor RO Place Consulting, with significant inputs from Mr Barry Burgan, Associate Dean of Bond Business School, Bond University, Gold Coast, Australia The full paper can be downloaded http://www.itu.int/en/itu-d/conferences/gsr/pages/gsr2016/papers.aspx

Mobile technology trends

Source: ITU-R M.2370 (07/15)

Estimation (1) of mobile subscription Source: ITU-R M.2370 (07/15)

Estimation (1) of mobile subscription Source: ITU-R M.2370 (07/15)

Estimation (2) of mobile subscription Source: ITU-R M.2370 (07/15)

Estimation of mobile traffic by different service types globally 1 Exabyte EB=10(^18) B Source: ITU-R M.2370 (07/15)

Estimate 2 1 Zetabyte =10(^21) B Source: ITU-R M.2370 (07/15)

Source: ITU-R M.2370 (07/15) Estimate 3

Source: ITU-R M.2370 (07/15) Traffic assymetry

Amount of spectrum used by radio interface. Migration to innovative, more efficient techniques such as new radio interfaces, codec improvements, use of multicast and reduction in energy consumption Spectrum availability Technical enhancements Offloading traffic New network structure / topology Off-loading of traffic onto licence-exempt frequencies frees up capacity in the macro network layer Number of radio sites and smaller cell sizes Source: ITU-R M.2370 (07/15)

Estimates of terrestrial spectrum requirement for IMT RATG 1 (i.e. pre-imt, IMT-2000, and its enhancements) and RATG 2 (i.e. IMT-Advanced) for the year 2020 Source: ITU-R M.2290 (12/2013)

IMT Spectrum after WRC-07 IMT Spectrum After WRC-07 (MHZ) 1200 1085 MHz 951 MHz 1177 MHz 1177 MHz 1000 800 600 885 951 885 859 400 200 200 292 292 0 0 Region 1 (121 Countries) Region 2 (35 Countries) Region3 (37 Countries) World <20% of countries 20 to 80 of countries 80 to 99% Countries 100% Countries

IMT Bands after WRC-15 2000 +26% IMT Spectrum After WRC-15 (MHz) +85% 1764 MHz +52% 1786 MHz +60% 1886 MHz 1800 1372 MHz 1600 1400 976 910 1200 1242 1000 800 600 1232 0 84 0 318 292 144 400 200 0 438 518 514 0 140 0 Region 1 (121 Countries) Region 2 (35 Countries) Region3 (37 Countries) World <20% of countries 20 to 80 of countries 80 to 99% Countries 100% Countries

Source: http://www.slideshare.net/yusufd/introduction-to-mobile-corenetwork-17667704

Future Mobile Generation: Enhancement of key capabilities from IMT-Advanced to IMT-2020 Source: ITU-R Recommendation M.2083-0 (09/2015)

Converged ICT Networks

A multi-tier SSC (smart sustainable city) ICT architecture from communication view (physical perspective) Regulati on Policy Standardizati on Cross-Sector Collaboration Competition Licensing HetNets Investment Spectrum Broadband Telecom/ ICT Sector Issues (examples) Cloud IoT / M2M Interoperability QoS/QoE Numbering & Addressing Big Data & Open Data Security Right of Way Green ICTs Data Centres Privacy Infrastructure Sharing e-waste Figure source: ITU-T Focus Group on Smart Sustainable Cities: Overview of smart sustainable cities infrastructure Emergency Telecommunications

Cross-Sector e-strategies: Examples of ITU experiences Implementing e-strategies requires some common requirements e.g. Cloud, Security, Privacy, Sensors, Big Data Analysis, Interoperability, Open Data, Applications Development, Digital Literacy etc.

Evolution of ICT Regulation Source: ITU Draft GSR Discussion Paper: Building Blocks for Smart Societies in a Connected World: A Regulatory Perspective on Fifth Generation Collaborative Regulation, Sofie Maddens, ITU

Building Blocks for Collaborative Regulation Source: ITU Draft GSR Discussion Paper: Building Blocks for Smart Societies in a Connected World: A Regulatory Perspective on Fifth Generation Collaborative Regulation, Sofie Maddens, ITU

SMART SOCIETY REGULATORY COLLABORATION Examples Electricity Water Telecom Transport Others C&I

ITU : I Thank U