Global and Regional Experience on the Use of Technology in Censuses. Meryem Demirci United Nations Statistics Division

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Transcription:

1 Global and Regional Experience on the Use of Technology in Censuses Meryem Demirci United Nations Statistics Division

World Population and Housing Census Programme World Population and Housing Census Programme over six decades o 2020 Census Programme, 2015-2024 - ECOSOC approved the 2020 World Census Programme on 5 August 2015 - Urges Member States to conduct at least one census during the round taking into account international and regional recommendations - Underscores need for setting quality standards for reliable and accurate results - Emphasizes the importance of the programme to SDG s - Requests UN to develop statistical standards, methods and guidelines and to monitor the implementation of the World Programme

UNSD Methodological framework

Trends in the use of technology Before 1990 Census Rounds 1990 2000 2010 2020 Mapping Sketch Digital Sketch Digital Sketch Digital Georeferenced data Sketch Enumeration Paper questionn aire Paper questionnai re Electronic questionnaire Internet Paper questionnaire Electronic questionnaire Internet, hand-held devices and telephone Real-time monitoring Paper questionnaire Data Processing Manual data capture Optical data capture Manual data capture Optical data capture Manual data capture Optical data capture Automatic data capture (Internet and hand-held devices) Web-based manual data capture Manual data capture Disseminati on Paper publicatio n Paper publications Online / digital publications Online interactive databases Digital publications Paper publications

Growing dependency on technology Technology adoption throughout census operation Mapping Question naire design Data collection/ Field managemen t/ monitoring Data capture Coding editing/ Imputation Disseminati on Coverage, Data quality, Timeliness, Accessibility Calls for: Improving institutional capacity Building IT infrastructure Redesigning census procedures Testing Testing Testing!!!

Evaluation of 2010 Census Round Region Censuses conducted from 2005-2014 93% of world population Countries/are as census conducted Countries/areas census not conducted Percent not conducted Not conducted Africa 49 9 18 America, North America, South 36 2 5 14 - - Asia 41 8 19 Europe 49 2 4 Oceania 25 - - Total 214 21 10 Afghanistan Lebanon Uzbekistan Pakistan Iraq Jordan Syria Yemen

Evaluation of 2010 Census Round Main Census Methodology Source: UNSD survey conducted in 2013

Evaluation of 2010 Census Round Successes By Main Census Methodology

Evaluation of 2010 Census Round Challenges By Main Census Methodology

100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Census Method 2010 Round, Percent 100 16 23 33 0 100 84 0 23 67 50 100 90 80 Africa Asia Europe North America Latin America70 Traditional Fully registers Combined 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Plans for 2020 round, Percent 15 15 15 35 33 5 27 26 4 4 33 32 80 61 54 24 33 Africa Asia Europe North America South America Traditional Fully register Combined Not decided

One- method Multi-methods Practices in 2010 round and Plans for 2020 round Percentage of countries by enumeration method Not determined Self-enumeration-Paper/Others CAPI/Internet/Telephone Face-to-face-Paper/telephone/Others Face-to-face-Paper/ CAPI/Others Source: UNSD survey conducted in 2016 Self-interview-Paper Face-to-face interview-capi Face-to-face interview-paper 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 2020 round (plan) 2010 round

Use of technology for data collection-2010 round- Percent Latin America Source: UNSD survey conducted in 2016 North America Europe Asia Paper CAPI Multi-mode (Paper/Electronic) Multi-mode (Electronic) Africa 0 20 40 60 80 100

Method of data collection-plans for 2020 round South America Paper-interview North America Europe Asia CAPI Multi-mode (Electronic) Multi-mode (Paper/Electronic) Not decided Africa 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Source: UNSD survey conducted in 2016

Use of Internet in 2010 and Plans for 2020 30 25 23 26 28 20 20 15 12 14 10 5 0 7 4 3 2 2 2 1 1 0 Africa Asia Europe North America South America Total countries Countries used in 2010 Countries plans for 2020

Use of CAPI in 2010 and Plans for 2020 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 23 28 26 20 14 12 11 9 6 0 4 2 0 1 2 Africa Asia Europe North America South America Total countries Countries used in 2010 Countries plans dor 2020

Lessons learned from the 2010 round 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Percentage of countries by obstacles faced in the use of new technologies during the 2010 census round (%) Total Africa Asia Europe Ocenia North South America America Financial resources Staff resources/expe rtise Process reengineering/i nfrastructure Source: UNSD survey conducted in 2012

Lessons learned from the 2010 round 70 Benefits and risks of using new technology in census operations (%) 60 50 40 30 20 Benefits 10 0 Cost savings Time savings Improved coverage Improved data quality Increased response rate Risks Source: UNSD survey conducted in 2012

Guidelines on the Use of Electronic Data Collection o o DA10 project UNSD and UN Regional Commissions (ECLAC, ECA, ECE, ESCAP, ESCWA Aims to strength a capacity of national statistical offices on: Identifying key factors for making sound decision on the use of electronic data collection technologies Designing census processes with the use of hand-held devices and/or Internet Developing strategies for maximizing the benefits from this investment Target audience: National Statistical Offices and Census Authorities Task Force: Country Representatives, UNSD, UN Regional Commissions, UNFPA, WB

Transitioning from paper to electronic data collection Paper-and-Pencil interviewing Handheld devices Paper-based data collection Self-administrated questionnaire Internet Data collection method One collection method Multi-mode

Guidelines on the Use of Electronic Data Collection The guidelines discusses : Overview of drivers of technological innovation and data collection methods including multi-mode data collection approaches Decision-making in adoption of electronic data collection technologies Process of decision-making Key determinants: institutional, technological, operational, economic, social/cultural factors Information required for decision making (cost estimates, benefits, risks, timetable, plans for reuse/disposition, success criteria, assumptions,

Guidelines on the use of electronic data collection technologies The guidelines discuss : o Data collection with handheld devices - Important features of handheld devices - Data transmission and security - Use of geospatial technology during enumeration - Testing data collection systems - Field operation, management and monitoring - Reuse/disposition of devices

Guidelines on the use of electronic data collection technologies The guidelines will discuss : o Data collection with Internet - Requirements for adoption high literacy, internet access, public trust, quality of address frame - Data collection portal - Contact and communication strategies - Identification of respondents (unique access code) - Management and monitoring - Security - Support for respondents

Guidelines on the use of electronic data collection technologies The guidelines discuss : o Management and Planning considerations - Institutional capacity development - IT acquisition management - IT systems development - Use of geospatial technology for census preparation - Supportive systems- Call center, MIS,.. - Testing IT systems and processes - Information and system security

Guidelines on the use of electronic data collection technologies Collaborative approach for drafting the guidelines with the participation of countries and international organizations First draft by Dec-2017 Final draft by March 2018 based on regional consultations Live document be updated for: significant changes in adoption of the technology technological changes good country practices

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