Digital Transformation. A Game Changer. How Does the Digital Transformation Affect Informatics as a Scientific Discipline?

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Transcription:

Digital Transformation A Game Changer How Does the Digital Transformation Affect Informatics as a Scientific Discipline? Manfred Broy Technische Universität München Institut for Informatics

... the change of the analog to digital, leading to virtual forms of information processing by application of digital technology, roll-out of digital infrastructure, development and usage of digital applications digital business models and the induced changes in economy and industry society politics science education private life Digital transformation is...

The elements of digital change Digital Technology Technology Push Information and communication technology Data and software Digital Infrastructure devices, embedded systems, networks, Digital Application Market Pull Diverse application areas (business, traffic, Medicine, Energy, Communication, entertainment, ) Digital business models Business Opportunities Digital value chains change in den enterprises Start Ups enterprise networks dynamics result of an intensive mutual reinforcement Change of individuals behavior and understanding of the world 3

Who will be transformed? Individuals new ways to manage everyday life digital literacy Economy digital transformation enterprises start ups Education Science Technology Environment Society State, politics, and governance literally everything 4

Drivers of digital change in the economy Innovative functionality high acceptance, rapid adoption Cost pressure by rationalization of services New financial models (advertising, data acquisition,...) New competitors by networking Monopoles acceleration effects by scaling Modular value chains Automation by innovative software Getting rid of locality in the market New business models by synergy, networking and composition Scaling effects the winner takes it all Breath taking speed 5

Drivers: Technology and Infrastructure

Drivers... Moore s Law: the computing power of digital hardware grows exponentially (doubling the performance all 1 1/2 years with equal cost) In 10 years: Factor 100 In 20 years: Factor 10.000 Digital networks transmission power grows exponentially the flexibility of programmable hardware: the same Hardware can by programming (by Software) be used for completely different tasks example Skype the literally unlimited range of the fields of applications In practically every area of application hardware/software systems open up new possibilities Information Systems as part the reality augmented reality 7

Key Areas of Technology and Application Technology Data Processing Embedded Systems Personalized Computation High Performance Computing Search Engines Mobile Communication Data analytics Autonomous systems Areas of application Process and Data Management Social Networks Internet search Smart phones Advanced Assistance Connected car Digital health dynamics is result of an intensive mutual reinforcement CHALMERS INITIATIVE SEMINAR DIGITALISATION, March 2017 Manfred Broy 8

Change the instruments and you will change the entire social theory that goes with them Latour, B. (2009): Tarde s idea of quantification, in: The Social after Gabriel Tarde: Debates and Assessments, Routledge, London, pp. 145 162 CHALMERS INITIATIVE SEMINAR DIGITALISATION, March 2017 Manfred Broy 9

Drivers: Applications

Das World Wide Web permits den worldwide access auf a universe of data, images, services, sounds, videos,... 11

World Wide Web World Wide Web: network of information with HTTP as protocol, for the browser getting information by calls of the Webserver HTML as document description language, for defining, how the information is structured and how the documents are related (Hyperlinks) URLs as unique address (z. B. a Web page), used in Hyperlinks. Web 2.0: interactive and collaborative elements of www - social media Web 3.0: Semantic Web Future Internet - Mobile IP Internet the Dinge and Services - CPS 12

The Internet of Things: What s that? CHALMERS INITIATIVE SEMINAR DIGITALISATION, March 2017 Manfred Broy 13

IoT: Internet of Things: Real world aware Internet: What is it? Simple idea: things get Internet addresses and connected to the Internet. More directly devices (Traffic lights, cell phones, cars, airplanes, buildings,...) will become embedded software systems directly affiliated to the Internet Exchange of mutual information and use of mutual services Direct Internet access from and to the physical world The Internet and the World Wide Web gets real world aware 14

... to the Internet of things is the network of physical objects, devices, vehicles, buildings and other items which are embedded with electronics, software, sensors, and network connectivity, which enables these objects to collect and exchange data. 15

From the Internet of things to cyber-physical systems Real world awareness Ubiquitous systems Pervasive systems Services with direct physical impact Advanced assistance Adaptivity Autonomy Real time access from devices Sensors and actuators everywhere The human in the loop it is the Internet of data and things connected to systems interacting with humans 16

Cyber Physical Systems: System interact with the Internet CHALMERS INITIATIVE SEMINAR DIGITALISATION, March 2017 Manfred Broy 17

the Internet of cyber-physical systems (IoCPS) The two sides of CPS The Internet becomes real world aware Embedded systems get connected to cloud services 18

Key technology information and cyber security Security is the most severe challenge and the largest difficulty for usage of digital technology: protecting data protecting against digital attack protecting critical infrastructure protecting privacy... CHALMERS INITIATIVE SEMINAR DIGITALISATION, March 2017 Manfred Broy 19

Challenges

Dominance: Internet enterprises CHALMERS INITIATIVE SEMINAR DIGITALISATION, March 2017 Manfred Broy 21

Key innovation drivers The real world integrates part of the cyberspace Embedded systems as part of the physical use data and services from the internet Embedded systems are closely integrated with cyberspace (remote diagnosis, remote update, ) Systems of systems with the internet as integration platform Augmented reality Fusion of digital and physical world Human factors the human in the loop Advanced assistance Human centered engineering The personal data in the cloud Cyborgs augmented human identity 22

Engineering challenges Platforms Architectural concepts Service oriented architectures Mastering interoperation and integration Requirements engineering Evolution Interoperability Context aware Human centric Autonomy Data analytics Dependability Security Safety Reliability... CHALMERS INITIATIVE SEMINAR DIGITALISATION, March 2017 Manfred Broy 23

Human factors Humans in the loop human-centric cyber-physical systems (HC 2 PS) Requirements for human-centric systems design of HMI Deep assistance CPS have deep impact on human behavior Acceptance Which services to humans accept What about privacy Human social mediator networks Monitor health and emotional states Mediator of human/human interaction Integrated socio-cyber-physical systems Example. air traffic control 24

Software is everywhere CHALMERS INITIATIVE SEMINAR DIGITALISATION, March 2017 Manfred Broy 25

Software everywhere data from everywhere... Ubiquituous Intelligent Services Google glasses Smart Labels CHALMERS INITIATIVE SEMINAR DIGITALISATION, March 2017 Manfred Broy 26

Characteristics of digitisation Growing power of technology ( Moore s law ) High speed ( Die fast ) Scaling ( Minimal transaction costs, The winner takes all ) Availability ( Always on,... ) Unlocalised ( Everywhere,... ) Disruptive change( Survival of the creative ) Paradigm shift ( Software is eating the world ) Access to resources more important than ownership ( Sharing economy ) New business models ( Digital business models ) Innovative forms of cooperation ( Digital ecosystems ) Networking( Platform companies ) Gratis economy ( Zero marginal costs ) 27

Key Issues

Software as key technology: Software is Eating the World Software is auf all levels more and more key technology functionality Platform Application - Apps Nets development dependability safety, security, reliability... the mastering the software technology is to central innovation and competition success factor exploitation and penetration the application domains designing processes with connectivity between functions individualization of systems 29

Digital closer to the human Digital technology, media, data and services lie closer to the human than any other technologies. tightly coupled with central human thinking- and patterns of behavior (Communication, social relations, personal data, preferences, notions,...) high attractiveness Internet-enterprises have a more direct contact to customers how no one else Human centric engineering is the success factor Goal: shaping digital technology to create humane systems 30

SWOT analysis informatics in Europe Strengths High technical and economical impact Well established scientific discipline Fast progress Weaknesses Missing expertise in political and economical leadership Weaknesses in Europe in key areas (internet ) Informatics as a scientific discipline too unaware of the changes Role of informatics not visible enough Opportunities High interest in the field Innovation driver Importance opens new options Affects all scientific fields Interest by students increasing New research challenges Threads Field dominated by short term economical interests Other discipline form their own approaches Strong companies take over the field CHALMERS INITIATIVE SEMINAR DIGITALISATION, March 2017 Manfred Broy 31

... consequences for Informatics from software to systems engineering from conventional sequential algorithms to interactive processes from abstract, discrete, digital modeling (by two valued logics logic) to modeling interactive behavior probabilistic models discrete und continuous time continuous input/output (control theory) informatics as part of our reality effects of informatics systems in complex environments modeling of the operational contexts 32

... Consequences for Informaticians The task of informaticians changes from the design of programs on stand-alone computers and the solution medium size problems by programming to the development of huge software systems connected to the physical reality to data and services in networks in close interaction to users to designers of digital future worlds to strategic leadership in enterprises. 33

... and the Role of Informaticians from specialists for algorithms and data for programs and Software to domain experts and partners for die system design and to designer new business models strategist founder of start ups entrepreneur. 34

What has changed Informatics is a scientific discipline with perhaps the highest economic impact currently disruptive changes for the old economies economic impact of subfields so high that companies take over the field (machine learning, robotics, ) is about to change not only economy but also politics perhaps democracy and sociological structures is changing the way people organize their everyday life and their social relationships can revolutionize our education system may significantly influence the political and military power in a rapidly changing world, the role of third world countries may develop systems that overrule people and determine the work and leisure situation brings in new threads related to cyber security 35

How do we respond?

Our responsibilities as academic Informaticians Shape the interaction in interdisciplinary work Update our curricula to the new topics Provide some counterpart to the booming economy Educate our students to prepare them for economic leadership understanding the digital revolution and their impact Give advice to politics and enterprise management Contribute to the public discussion Develop an ethical position privacy autonomous systems right to informational self-determination Further develop the philosophy of science for informatics 37

Then you better start swimmin' Or you'll sink like a stone For the times they are a-changin'. Bob Dylan CHALMERS INITIATIVE SEMINAR DIGITALISATION, March 2017 Manfred Broy 38