CASH DEPARTMENT COUNTERFEIT CURRENCY REPORT January December 2017 January 2018
Contents: 1 Expertise of dinar banknotes... 2 2 Expertise of foreign currency banknotes... 4 3 Ratio of dinar to foreign currency counterfeit banknotes... 6 1
1 Expertise of dinar banknotes In 2017, expertise of suspected counterfeit banknotes showed that a total of 5,834 notes were indeed counterfeits, which is 5.5% less than in the same period last year, when a total of 6,171 false banknotes were detected. The face value of the counterfeits detected fell by 22% (RSD 7,126,600.00 from January to December 2017 vs. RSD 9,133,400.00 in the same period of 2016). Table 1 shows the denomination structure of detected dinar counterfeits. Table 1 Dinar banknote counterfeits, January December 2017 Denomination 5000 2000 1000 500 200 100 50 20 10 Total Pieces 129 1,510 2,770 1,372 7 38 8 0 0 5,834 Share in % 2.2 25.88 47.48 23.5 0.1 0.7 0.14 0 0 100 Within the structure of detected dinar counterfeits, it was the 1000-, 2000- and 500-dinar banknotes that were the most common fakes (Chart 1). Percentage-wise, these three denominations made up 96.9% of the overall number of dinar counterfeits. Chart 1 Denomination structure of dinar banknote counterfeits, January December 2017 25.88% 2.2% 0% 0% 0.14% 0.7% 0.1% 23.5% 47.48% 10 20 50 100 200 500 1000 2000 5000 Chart 2 illustrates the trends observed over the last eight years in terms of the number of detected counterfeits of these three denominations. 2
Chart 2 The most frequent dinar counterfeits 8000 7000 7,213 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 2,531 2,330 2,106 2,087 1,590 1,562 1,382 1,267 860 1,729 1,114 1,435 725 741 350 2,808 2,115 2,770 1,510 964 1,372 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 500-dinar 1000-dinar 2000-dinar In value terms, the 2000-dinar banknote took up the largest share of the dinar counterfeit structure, followed by 1000-, 500- and 5000-dinar banknotes (Table 2 and Chart 3). In percentage terms, these four denominations accounted for 99.9% of all dinar counterfeits. Table 2 Dinar banknote counterfeits, January December 2017 (RSD thousand) Denomination 5000 2000 1000 500 200 100 50 20 10 Total Amount 645 3,020 2,770 686.0 1.4 3.8 0.4 0 0 7,126.6 Share in % 9.05 42.37 38.87 9.63 0.02 0.05 0.01 0 0 100 Chart 3 Denomination structure of dinar banknote counterfeits, January December 2017 (nominal value) 9.05% 0% 0% 0.01% 0.05% 0.02% 9.63% 42.37% 38.87% 10 20 50 100 200 500 1000 2000 5000 3
When comparing the number of detected dinar counterfeits with that of genuine dinar banknotes currently in circulation, which counted 331.06 million pieces as at 31 December 2017 (amounting to RSD 197.93 billion, as shown in Table 3), we arrive at a conclusion that 17.6 banknotes in every 1 million of genuine circulating banknotes were fake i.e. RSD 36,006 worth of counterfeits in every RSD 1 billion. Table 3 Circulating banknotes as at 31/12/2017 Denomination Pieces Amount 5000 3,417,977 17,089,885,000 2000 50,344,093 100,688,186,000 1000 58,226,193 58,226,193,000 500 23,359,484 11,679,742,000 200 22,150,166 4,430,033,200 100 27,126,437 2,712,643,700 50 29,181,260 1,459,063,000 20 46,802,331 936,046,620 10 70,451,595 704,515,950 Total: 331,059,536 197,926,308,470 2 Expertise of foreign currency banknotes From January to December 2017, expertise of foreign currency banknotes revealed 945 pieces of counterfeits, which is 2.2 times less than in 2016, when 2,095 such counterfeit notes were detected. Their currency and denomination structure is presented in Table 4. Table 4 Foreign currency banknote counterfeits, January December 2017 Currency ЕUR USD Total EUR Denomination 500 200 100 50 20 10 5 100 50 20 1 Total USD Other Total Pieces 32 40 323 299 74 8 2 778 141 2 2 1 146 21 945 Share in % 3.4 4.2 34.2 32 7.8 0.8 0.2 82.3 15 0.2 0.2 0.1 15.5 2.2 100 A total of 778 euro counterfeit notes were detected during the period observed, which is two and a half times less than in the same period last year, when 1,971 of such notes were detected. Movements in the number of the most frequently detected euro counterfeits 50- and 100-euro banknotes over the last eight years are presented in Chart 4. 4
Chart 4 The most frequent euro counterfeits 1,200 1,000 966 1,081 1,023 800 600 511 535 734 400 200 0 295 323 133 227 159 118 243 299 197 129 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 50-euro 100-euro In 2017, a total of 146 counterfeit US dollar banknotes were detected, which is 31.5% higher than last year, when 111 dollar banknotes were established to be counterfeits. Of this, it was almost exclusively the 100-dollar note that was falsified. Chart 5 shows the trend in the number of 100-dollar counterfeits over the last eight years. Chart 5 The most frequent US-dollar counterfeit 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 1,572 1,193 504 266 94 107 141 74 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 100-dollar The item Other in Table 4 refers to fake banknotes in four different currencies the Swiss franc (three pieces), German mark (ten pieces), pound sterling (seven pieces) and Australian dollar (one piece). In nominal value terms, the share of individual currencies in total detected foreign currency counterfeits and their percentage vis-à-vis the figures from a year earlier are best illustrated if expressed in euros, 1 as shown in Chart 6. 1 For conversion of other currencies into euros, for the years of 2016 and 2017, we used the middle exchange rate as at 3 January 2018. 5
Chart 6 Foreign currency banknote counterfeits, January December 2016 and 2017 (EUR thousand) 250 200 195.0 150 100 I-XII 2016 72.8 I-XII 2017 50 0 9.0 7.1 11.8 3.2 EUR USD Other EUR USD Other 3 Ratio of dinar to foreign currency counterfeit banknotes Chart 7 shows the ratio of dinar to foreign currency detected counterfeits (in terms of the number of pieces) in 2017. Chart 7 Currency structure of banknote counterfeits detected in January December 2017 778 146 21 RSD EUR USD Other 5,834 As shown, the share of fake dinar banknotes (86.1%) exceeds the share of all foreign currency counterfeits. However, in nominal value terms, the share of individual currencies in total counterfeits in 2017 is best illustrated if expressed in euros, 2 as shown in Chart 8. 2 For conversion of other currencies into euros, we used the middle exchange rate as at 3 January 2018. 6
Chart 8 Currency structure of banknote counterfeits detected in January Decembre 2017 (EUR) 11,809 3,158 60,220 72,820 RSD EUR USD Other The euro (49.2%), the dinar (40.7%) and the US dollar (8%) took up the dominant share in total discovered counterfeits. 7