Why service robots boom worldwide IFR Press Conference, 11 October 2017 Brussels
Schedule Welcome and introduction of the panelists Global service robot market up to 2020 by Gudrun Litzenberger Dynamics of the service robotics industry Technological enablers by Martin Hägele Questions
International Federation of Robotics Representing the global robotics industry Robotics turnover 2016: $40 billion More than 50 members: National robot associations R&D institutes Robot suppliers Integrators Sponsor of the International Symposium on Robotics (ISR) Co-sponsor of the IERA Award Primary resource for worldwide data on use of robotics IFR Statistical Department
Speakers on the panel Martin Hägele Chairman IFR Service Robot Group Head of Robot and Assistive Systems Fraunhofer IPA, Stuttgart, Germany Gudrun Litzenberger IFR General Secretary Frankfurt
Gudrun Litzenberger Global Service Robot Market up to 2020
What is a service robot? Industrial Robots Service Robots Professional Use Personal/domestic Industrial environments Non-industrial environments Picture source: Goldbeck, ;KUKA AG, Bosch Bonirob, Hetwin, SMP Robotics, Omron, International Submarine Engineering, Robert Bosch Hausgeräte, Wonder Workshop
Professional service robots: significant growth 2016: almost 60,000 units, +24% Forecast 2017: +17% -almost 79,000 units Forecast 2018-2020: about 400,000 units 20% to 25% on average per year
Main drivers: logistic systems '000 of units 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 189.7 Service robots for professional use. Main applications Units sales 2015 and 2016, forecast 2017*, 2018*-2020* 37.0 25.4 46.7 19.0 11.6 11.1 11.2 27.8 Logistic Defence Field 7.1 6.0 6.6 *forecast 2018*-2020* 2017* 2016 2015 Source: World Robotics 2017
Public relation robots and exoskeletons on the rise 70 Service robots for professional use. All other applications - 1 - Units sales 2015 and 2016, forecast 2017* and 2018*-2020* 60 66.1 '000 of units 50 40 30 20 10 0 41.0 10.3 3.2 10.7 8.1 2.0 3.2 7.5 6.0 5.0 1.6 1.3 0.8 0.7 0.6 Public relation Exoskeletons Medical Construction *forecast 2018*-2020* 2017* 2016 2015 Source: World Robotics 2017
Good prospects for cleaning robots 7.0 Service robots for professional use. All other applications - 2 - Units sales 2015 and 2016, forecast 2017* and 2018*-2020* 6.0 6.1 5.0 '000 of units 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.3 1.5 1.2 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 Cleaning Inspection Mobile platforms Underwater Rescue /security All others *forecast 2018*-2020* 2017* 2016 2015 Source: World Robotics 2017
Professional service robots: increasing turnover 2016: 4.7 US$bn, +2% Forecast 2017: +12% - 5.2 US$bn Forecast 2018-2020: 26.8 US$bn 20% to 25% on average per year
Medical robots: most valuable 9,000 Service robots for professional use in main applications. Estimated values 2015 and 2016, forecast 2017*, 2018*-2020* 8,000 7,000 7,749 US$ million 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 5,845 4,231 3,566 2,000 1,000 0 1,833 1,612 1,463 1,133 992 1,104 985 1,108 780 758 775 1,038 Medical Logistic Field Defence *forecast 2018*-2020* 2017* 2016 2015 Source: World Robotics 2017
Public relation robots: significant increase of turnover US$ million 5,000 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 4,492 Service robots for professional use. All others Estimated value 2015 and 2016, forecast 2017*, 2018*-2020* 147 119 283 135 53 59 41 23 506 112 Public relation Exoskeletons All others 131 *forecast 2018*-2020* 2017* 2016 2015 Source: World Robotics 2017
Professional service robots: more than 50% from the Americas 35 Service robots for professional use Unit sales 2015 and 2016 by region of origin 30 32.5 25 25.9 '000 of units 20 15 15.9 15.6 10 11.3 5 0 Americas Europe Asia/Australia 6.6 2016 2015 Source: World Robotics 2017
Personal/domestic robots on the rise 3,500 Service robots for personal/domestic use. Unit sales 2015 and 2016 by region of origin. '000 units 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 2,979 2,402 2,766 2,213 1,000 500 0 Americas Asia/Australia Europe 991 816 2016 2015 Source: World Robotics 2017
Martin Hägele Dynamics of the service robotics industry Technological enablers
Number of service robot manufacturers of all types by region of origin (N=699) Number of service robot manufacturers of all types (professional and personal/domestic use) by region of origin Others, 30 Asia, 134 EU, 243 North America, 242 CH, IL, NO, 50 Source: World Robotics 2017
Europe fares well in service robot start-up creation 300 250 Number of service robot manufacturers (professional and personal/domestic use) by country of origin 80 80 Established number of companies 200 150 100 72 72 Start Ups Criteria for Start-Up: Product/prototype on the market Business max 5 years of age 29% share of start-ups 50 0 Source: World Robotics 2017
European strongholds in service robotics suppliers: logistics, field, inspection/ maintenance, construction number of companies 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Number of service robot manufacturers by application areas (professional use) and by region of origin Europe North America Asia Source: World Robotics 2017
75% of European service robot suppliers are SMEs number of companies 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Business sizes of service robots of all types in numbers of employees (by region of origin) Europe North America Asia small and medium sized businesses number of employees Source: World Robotics 2017
Start-up examples (I): Service robotics in agriculture Fresh fruit picking robot Platform for vineyard maintenance FF Robotics (Israel) WALL-YE (France) Robotic weeder for vegetable farms Naïo Technologies (France) Source: FF Robotics, WALL-YE, Naio Technologies
Start-up examples (II): Service robots in public-relations Unity Robotics (D) Bots and us (UK) Promobot (RU) Source: Unity Robotics, Bots and us, Promobot
Start-up examples (III): Service robots in logistics Mobile Industrial Robots MiR (DK) Fetch Robotics (USA) Robotnik (ES) Source: MiR, Fetch Robotics, Robotnik
Creating a European Eco-System in robotics Robotic key-technologies: perception, human-machineinteraction, mechatronics, safety, Software: Major cost-/performance factor in service robotics, 30+% cost share Supply industry for robotics key-components, software (computer vision, motion control, mobile navigation etc.) emerges Open Source Software systems hugely popular; e.g. >2/3 of all service robot suppliers use Robot Operating System ROS (and other OSS) With 700M in funding from EU 2014 2020, SPARC is the largest civilian-funded robotics innovation initiative in the world.
Thank you! Contact: Gudrun Litzenberger International Federation of Robotics IFR c/o VDMA Robotics+Automation 60528 Frankfurt Main, Germany Email: gl@ifr.org Phone: +49 69 6603 1502 Internet: https://ifr.org/