Technology Trends for Government Leaders @RajneshSingh rds@jugad.in
Where we came from
Module 4: ICT Trends for Government Leaders First edition: 2007/8 Revised: 2011 But ICT Trends are fast-evolving K New in 2015/16 M12: Emerging ICT Trends for Government Leaders
But first - let s see what s happening in the world
Source: www.itu.int/ict
Source: www.itu.int/ict
Source: www.itu.int/ict
Source: www.itu.int/ict
And in the Asia-Pacific
Source: Internet Society Global Internet Report 2015
Some trends and more numbers
Increasingly Mobile First 3+ billion Internet users by year end Mobile Internet penetration is forecast to reach 71% by 2019 Usage per device is forecast to more than triple by 2019 192 countries have active 3G mobile networks, which cover almost 50% of the global population Smartphone sales are the majority of mobile handsets sold worldwide; tablet sales soar While there are at least five mobile platforms, Android has an 84% share of smartphones, and 72% of tablets There are well over 1 million apps available, which have been downloaded more than 100 billion times Time spent using apps exceeds time spent on mobile browsers, and in the US, at least, exceeds time spent on desktop and mobile browsers combined Source: Internet Society Global Internet Report 2015
The Rise of the Planet of the Apes Planet of Data For mobile phones, values are even larger for tablets and other devices depending on capabilities: often multi-fold We are increasingly multi-device beings We are generating an incredible amount of data everyday some say 50% increase per year Even more data will be generated as IoT evolves and M2M increases in reach and complexity Role of data analytics: data is the new oil
Smart(er) Machines Internet of Things (IoT) Wearables 3D Printing Drone technology Real-time systems making real-time decisions AI, Cognitive computing + value of data analytics
Infrastructure will remain key National Optical Fibre Backbone Multiple redundant international connectivity Core Internet Infrastructure: neutral IXPs, Rootserver mirrors, IPv6 deployment (Smarter) spectrum use, infrastructure sharing (Smarter) regulations Virtual machines, SDNs Smart networks of smart things
Enabling the Digital Economy IP-based technologies permeate and power processes across sectors: from economies of scale to economies of scope Two things matter: Interconnectivity and Interoperability Sharing economy and changing business models Fostering innovation, local content and local (competitive) ICT industries: building an ecosystem Image source: Unleashing the Potential of the Internet for ASEAN Economies, Internet Society 2015
Policy Implications Users want change, and they want it now better, faster, cheaper A hyperconnected context-aware world will require smarter policymaking Security and Privacy will be important considerations at all levels: achieving balance key and collaboration critical Policymaking capacity will need to be multi-dimensional and done using a big picture view: technical, societal + progressive, innovative; sustainable development New technology will challenge traditional approaches: VoIP then and now, Uber, others today Whole of government approach: from CIO type functions to looking at implications across sectors and functions e.g. taxation + some technology will affect multiple domains e.g. drones The Digital Divide can expand quickly: technology advancement is very rapid Embracing changing times and being visionary: don t be a Kodak!
We always overestimate the change that will occur in the next two years and underestimate the change that will occur in the next ten. Don t let yourself be lulled into inaction. - Bill Gates
The 2015/16 Module
Emerging ICT Trends for Government Leaders 1. The ongoing technology revolution 1.1 Historical background (i.e. summary from Module 4 of developments till 2011) 1.2 Recent developments (i.e. 2011-current) 2. Core Technical Trends in ICTs 2.1 Processors and hardware power 2.2 Networking capabilities and devices 2.3 Telecommunications channels and Broadband Internet 2.4 Data management and processing techniques 2.5 Next generation operating systems 2.6 Real time systems, data acquisition devices and embedded systems 2.7 Big data and open data 3. Guiding principles of modern technology deployment 3.1 Transformation: Improving service delivery, empowering the user, linking governments and service providers. 3.2 Connectivity: Affordable access to broadband, Attention to gender and special needs, technology for remote and rural areas. 4. Emerging trends in new technologies 4.1 Merging the real world and the virtual world: pervasive computing, Internet of Things, smart sensors and real time systems, 3D printing, drone technology, wearable technology, telepresence and virtual presence, augmented reality 4.2 Intelligent systems: advanced data means and methods for analytics, artificial intelligence applications, smart machines 4.3 New information technologies: Cloud/client computing, software-defined applications & infrastructure, web-oriented architecture, risk and security applications 5. A hyperconnected world and the Digital Economy 5.1 The role of ICTs in the modern economy, and the need for interoperability 5.2 Innovation, evolving business models and the sharing economy (including case study on digital currency, mobile payments) 5.3 Developing an ecosystem for competitive ICT-based industries 5.4 Implications of a hyperconnected context-aware world 5.5 SDGs and the role of ICTs
Feedback welcome to your friendly UN APCICT Team Thank you!