Prognostics and Health Management for Electronic Systems Workshop August 24, 2004 I have but one lamp by which my feet are guided, and that is the lamp of experience. I know no way of judging of the future but by the past. Patrick Henry, Speech in the Virginia Convention, March, 1775 CALCE Electronic Products and Systems Center University of Maryland College Park, MD 20742 Phone: (301) 405 5323 Fax: (301) 314 9269 http://www.calce.umd.edu
Workshop Objectives Views on the potential value/benefits Logistics cost reduction Deferred and scheduled maintenance Reduction in NFF/CND Better availability of functions and assets More realism in safety assessments Reduced redundancy Update on state of the art Methods, tools and implementations Identify R&D needs for implementation Sensors Models Identify critical performance parameters Accuracy and timeliness Cost 24th August 2004 Electronics PHM Workshop 2
Questionnaire Results will be posted on the CALCE website (http://www.calce.umd.edu) Presentations will be posted (with author permission) 24th August 2004 Electronics PHM Workshop 3
8:00 AM Welcome & Introduction Chris Wilkinson 8:15 AM Prognostic Technology Development Issues and the Current State of Play Paul L. Howard Paul Howard Enterprises 8:45 AM US Army Prognostics Efforts for Wheeled-Ground Vehicles Thomas Stadterman, George White, Alan Peltz US Army AMSAA 9:15 AM Prognostic Techniques and Critical Data Elements for Patrick Kalgren, Carl Byington 9:45 AM Prognostics for Power Supply Failures Rolf Orsagh, Douglas Brown, Michael Roemer, Carl Byington 10:15 AM Break 10:45 AM Health and Life Consumption Monitoring of Electronic Devices Nikhil Vichare, Peter Rodgers, Michael Osterman, Michael Pecht 11:15 AM Canary Prognostics for Electronics Systems Ross Wilcoxon, Jim Wooldridge Rockwell Collins 11:45 AM Prognostics for Electronic Power Supplies Loren Nasser Vextec Corp 12:15 PM Lunch 1:15 PM Electronic Prognostics for Switch Mode, DC to DC Power Conversion Systems Doug Goodman Ridgetop Group 1:45 PM SavantSense Platform For Prognostics and Condition Based Maintenance of Systems Martin Tanenhaus System Excelerator 2:15 PM Intelligent Tools for PHM and their Application to Ana Del Amo Smiths Aerospace 2:45 PM A Decision Support Model for Determining the Applicability of PHM Approaches to Electronic Systems Peter Sandborn 3:15 PM Panel Session 4:15 PM Workshop Close Poster DEVELOPMENT AND USE OF A MINIATURIZED HEALTH MONITORING DEVICE Bruno Foucher, Vincent Rouet EADS, France 24th August 2004 Electronics PHM Workshop 4
Electronics Prognostics Methods There are 3 main methods Life Models Canary Fuses Precursor Monitors and reasoning Prediction uncertainty increases the more we predict into the future Q. What are the prediction timescales for the 3 methods? 24th August 2004 Electronics PHM Workshop 5
An ephm Concept Materials & Properties Repair History Sensor Network Life Models Environment Local Monitors Precursors Remaining Life Estimation Time to Failure Forecast Canaries 24th August 2004 Electronics PHM Workshop 6
8:00 AM Welcome & Introduction Chris Wilkinson 8:15 AM Prognostic Technology Development Issues and the Current State of Play Paul L. Howard Paul Howard Enterprises 8:45 AM US Army Prognostics Efforts for Wheeled-Ground Vehicles Thomas Stadterman, George White, Alan Peltz US Army AMSAA 9:15 AM Prognostic Techniques and Critical Data Elements for Patrick Kalgren, Carl Byington 9:45 AM Prognostics for Power Supply Failures Rolf Orsagh, Douglas Brown, Michael Roemer, Carl Byington 10:15 AM Break 10:45 AM Health and Life Consumption Monitoring of Electronic Devices Nikhil Vichare, Peter Rodgers, Michael Osterman, Michael Pecht 11:15 AM Canary Prognostics for Electronics Systems Ross Wilcoxon, Jim Wooldridge Rockwell Collins 11:45 AM Prognostics for Electronic Power Supplies Loren Nasser Vextec Corp 12:15 PM Lunch 1:15 PM Electronic Prognostics for Switch Mode, DC to DC Power Conversion Systems Doug Goodman Ridgetop Group 1:45 PM SavantSense Platform For Prognostics and Condition Based Maintenance of Systems Martin Tanenhaus System Excelerator 2:15 PM Intelligent Tools for PHM and their Application to Ana Del Amo Smiths Aerospace 2:45 PM A Decision Support Model for Determining the Applicability of PHM Approaches to Electronic Systems Peter Sandborn 3:15 PM Panel Session 4:15 PM Workshop Close Poster DEVELOPMENT AND USE OF A MINIATURIZED HEALTH MONITORING DEVICE Bruno Foucher, Vincent Rouet EADS, France 24th August 2004 Electronics PHM Workshop 7