Status of the CCI Programme

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Status of the CCI Programme Pascal Lecomte CCI TO Meeting Oxford, 25 March 2019 ESA UNCLASSIFIED - For Official Use

Climate Change Initiative - objective Realise the full potential of the long-term global EO archives that ESA, together with its Member states, has established over the last thirty years.... as a significant and timely contribution to the ECV databases required by the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change cci.esa.int @esaclimate Our Success Measures à ECV products accessible to operational environments (C3S etc.) à Generation of peer-reviewed publications cited in IPCC reports Slide 2

CCI achievements to date 178 22 13 450 133 100+ 4.2 635 28 15 Slide 3

CSAB Terms of Reference The Climate Science Advisory Body (CSAB) shall ensure scientific liaison with the Global Climate Observing System (GCOS) during the implementation of the ESA Initiative on Climate Change as described in the programme proposal ESA/PBEO( 2008)37, rev. 1. The Executive will seek advice concerning: Critical objectives, scientific challenges, major undertakings and key milestones of international climate research programmes, that are salient to this programme Potential impact and relative importance, for climate research and modelling programmes, of the satellite-based ECV data products and Fundamental Climate Data records that fall within the scope of this programme Mechanisms by which the feedback loops necessary to achieve the GCOS objectives can be implemented and improved through this programme Mechanisms by which this programme can further enhance interactions between EO data communities and climate research communities How best to facilitate the use of the programme results within the IPCC process Ensuring the scientific integrity of climate-related information for the general public and decision makers via programme outreach activities Slide 4

CSAB Membership As defined in the Terms of Reference Dr. Michel Rixen WCRP Chair Dr. Olivier Boucher LMD Secretary Dr. Andy Brown ECMWF Prof. Konrad Steffen TOPC Dr. Kenneth Holmlund AOPC / Eumetsat Dr. Stephen Briggs GCOS Dr. Fabio Rocca ACEO ESA Participation Maurice Borgeaud H/EOP-S Pascal Lecomte EOP-SC Programme Manager Simon Pinnock EOP-SC Stephen Plummer EOP-SC Slide 5

CCI+ Objectives & Scope CCI+ Objectives: research, development, qualification and delivery to users of pre-operational ECV products definition, sizing and demonstration of ECV processing systems transfer of ECV production to operational entities outside ESA Driven by climate user requirements defined by GCOS, under authoritative advice from CSAB, and strong coordination with the international Space Agencies response to GCOS via the Joint CEOS/CGMS Working Group on Climate (WGClimate). CCI+ Scope: 1. Development of new ECVs (i.e. ECVs that were not started in CCI so far) 2. New R&D on Existing ECVs (started in CCI) 3. Cross-ECV scientific exploitation 4. Knowledge exchange (outreach and communication) NB: CCI+ will not build operational processing systems è Coordination with ECMWF / C3S is essential Slide 6

(ii) New R&D on ECVs already started in CCI Further R&D on ECVs is needed in CCI+ to: Improve quality of ECV products closer to meeting GCOS goals (e.g. accuracy, spatial resolution, long term stability), and improve cross-ecv consistency. Develop algorithms for "difficult" ECV variables required by GCOS, e.g. regional sea-level, coastal ocean colour, aerosol absorption, sea-ice drift,... Extend ECV length by developing methods to bring older less well-calibrated satellite instruments into the time series (e.g. ATSR- 1, AVHRR), and develop corrections for future instrument degradation. Fully exploit the new capabilities of Sentinel and Earth Explorer instruments, e.g. new types of measurement, new spectral bands, wider swaths, higher resolution. Develop climate-quality methods to join-up multi-mission time series, especially where there are gaps, e.g. Envisat to Sentinel-1 & -3. Increase maturity of ECV product uncertainty estimates. Develop better merged ECV products (e.g. polar + geostationary) Perform algorithm round-robins to objectively assess promising new ECV retrieval techniques. Slide 7

(ii) New R&D on ECVs already started in CCI Existing ECVs 1. Cloud DWD DE Martin Steingel 2. Ozone (#) BIRA BE Michel van Roozendael 3. Aerosol (*) DLR DE Thomas Popp 4. Green House Gases (*) Univ. Bremen DE Michael Buchwitz 5. Sea Ice (*) MetNo NO Thomas Lavergne 6. Sea Level (*) CLS FR Annie Cazenave 7. Sea Surface Temperature (*) Univ. Reading UK Chris Merchant 8. Ocean Colour (#) PML UK Shubha Sathyendranath 9. Glaciers Univ. Zurich CH Frank Paul 10. Land Cover (#) Univ. Cath. Louvain BE Pierre Defourny 11. Fire (#) Univ. Alcalà ES Emilio Chuvieco 12. Soil Moisture (#) EODC AU Wouter Dorigo 13. Ice Sheet Greenland (#) DTU DK René Forsberg 14. Ice Sheet Antarctica (#) Univ. Leeds UK Andy Shepherd Slide 8

(iii) Cross-ECV Activities Cross-ECV activities are a key strength of CCI and CCI+ CCI has succeeded to build an active multi-disciplinary community fostering dialogue and cooperation between the EO and climate science as recommended by both CSAB and ESAC. 1. CCI+ CMUG-type activity providing an integrated climate user perspective across all ECVs demonstration exploitation of the CCI+ ECV products feedback to the CCI+ teams on ECV quality and consistency outreach to the wider climate modelling community 2. CCI+ Cross-ECV targeted scientific studies Demonstrate the value of the CCI and CCI+ ECVs and to strengthen uptake by the wider climate community. Permafrost ECV building on combined & tailored data sets from Snow, Land Cover, Lakes, LST, and other ECV projects. E.g. Analysis of multiple ECVs for IMBIE, sea-level budget closure, carbon-cycle research, etc. 3. CCI+ Young Scientist Research Fellowship Scheme To stimulate exploitation by the next generation of climate scientists. Slide 9

(iii) Cross-ECV Activities Climate Modelling User Group 1. CMUG UK Met Office UK Richard Jones CCI+ Cross-ECV targeted scientific studies 1. Sea Level Budget Univ. Dresden DE Martin Horwath 2. RECCAP-2 LSCE-IPSL FR Ana Bastos 3. Other cross ECV studies to be defined later in the programme CCI+ Young Scientist Research Fellowship Scheme 1. Grants to be awarded in 2019, 2021 and 2023 Slide 10

(iv) Knowledge Exchange Open Data Portal... to provide open, free, and easy access to the CCI+ ECVs via multiple standard climate community interfaces. Visualisation Tool... to provide interactive visualisations of the ECVs to help communicate the types of climate information satellites can provide. Software Toolbox... to equip users at all levels with the tools they require to visualise, analyse and manipulate the ECV data. GUI & Command Line Education Control Module Leverage the new availability of CCI's consistent multi-ecv database to build the user community among young scientists in the making. ECV CDR Data Sources Presentation Data Module Logic Module Module Plugin Plugin Plugin Data Output Slide 11

CCI programme status CCI CCI+ Phase 1: i) New ECV projects ii) R&D on existing ECVs iii) Cross-ECV exploitation iv) Knowledge Exchange CCI+ Slide 12

Coordination with C3S 13 CCI ECVs have transferred to C3S for operational use! Joint CCI/C3S document Cooperation between the ESA Climate Change Initiative and the EC Copernicus Climate Change Service Future coordination now moving to practicalities joint participation at meetings, tender definition/evaluation CCI Dashboard more standardised reporting between CCI/C3S feasibility of dataset mapping/links between CCI dashboard and CDS is ongoing to facilitate access to up-to-date C3S data allow access to CCI datasets and reflects heritage Proof of concept tested i.e. CCI/C3S systems can communicate C3S Climate Data Store (CDS) Slide 13

Coordination with C3S Takes place at programme management level with the following objectives: complementarity of CCI/C3S technical activities regarding ECV R&D and Operational Production CCI responds to C3S requirements for ECV data products and responds to relevant user feedback collected by C3S optimal use and value for money in the separate procurements made by CCI and C3S from the common (but limited) pool European science and technological expertise maximise interoperability between data standards, data portals and toolboxes, for the benefit of users Coordination occurs via the following mechanisms: Participation in tender definition and proposal evaluation activities Participation in annual C3S General Assembly and CCI Collocation meetings Ad-hoc bilateral meetings on specific issues, as required Participation in ECV project review, as required Slide 14

GCOS Climate Indicators Slide 15

Colocation 2019: objectives Programme Status & plans update Science Leaders meeting: e.g. GCOS response, consistency paper etc. CCI contribution and impacts to IPCC - AR6 and Special Reports Project updates, share lessons learned & best practice Coordination with C3S The Future New EO approaches e.g. AI Cross-ECV opportunities & the future Global Stocktake, Cycles/Budgets Slide 16

Day 1 agenda 26 th March Session 1 11:00-12:30- Lunch CCI programme (cont) Do s and Don ts of ESA-P for proper financial management of ESA contracts Massimo Canese Knowledge Exchange Activities Art for Climate Shane Sutton Science Leaders meeting issues arising Session 2 13:30-15:15- Tea & Biscuits Theme ii Project presentations Aerosol, cloud, GHG, Ozone, Land Cover, Fire, Soil Moisture 13:30-17:30 ESA-P Support Kiosk 1-2-1 discussion & support relating to ESA-P system 15:45- SST, Sea Level, Ocean Colour, Sea Ice, Ice Sheets Greenland, Ice Sheets Antarctica, Glaciers 17:30-19:00 Poster Session & Refreshments Theme I ECV projects, CMUG & App demos Slide 17

Day 2 agenda 27 th March Session 3 09:00- AI for CCI AI in ESA f-lab (Keynote) Sveinung Loekken AI in Climate Applying State-of-the-Art for Good Simon Jackman AI in Fire_cci Emilio Chuvieco AI in Ocean Colour_cci Carsten Brockmann AI from formula One and Financial Services to Climate Change G.Connolly & S.Ferretti 10:30- Coffee & Biscuits Session 4 11:00-12:30- Lunch 15:00- Tea & Biscuits 15:30-17:30 Session 5 13:30-18:00- GCOS and CCI Impacts on IPCC GCOS Update Stephen Briggs IPCC AR6 & Special Report Discussion Cross-ECV activities & future opportunities Session 6a DEWG Dinner in St Hugh s Session 6b Carbon Cycle Session 6c Water Cycle Find your Seminar Rooms Session 6d Energy/Radiation Budget Slide 18

Day 3 agenda 28 th March Session 7 09:00- Wrap up Breakout reports: DEWG, Carbon cycle, Water cycle, Energy/Radiation Budget LPS 2019 ESA Climate Office & CCI activity CCI Conference idea discussion 10:30- Coffee 11:00- Wrap up (cont.) C3S Update and ERA5 presentation Jean Nöel Thépaut, C3S Discussion: synergy between CCI and C3S How to handle overlapping documents, datasets on Portal vs CDS, acknowledgements etc. Concluding remarks 12:30 End of meeting Slide 19

ESA CCI who s who Pascal Lecomte Head of ESA Climate Office, CCI programme manager Simon Pinnock CMUG, Water Vapour, Cloud Aerosol Stephen Plummer CCI Knowledge Exchange, Fellowships, Fire, Lakes, LST, CSWG, RECCAP-2 Anna Maria Trofaier Glaciers, Sea Ice, Snow, Soil Moisture Christian Retscher Greenhouse Gases, Ozone Olivier Arino MR Land Cover, HR Land Cover Jéro me Benveniste Sea Level, Sea Level Budget Closure Marcus Engdahl AntarctiIce Sheets, Greenland Ice Sheets C. Donlon, P. Cipollini Ocean Colour, Permafrost, Salinity, Sea State, SST Frank Martin Seifert Biomass Michael Eisinger EarthCare Paul Fisher Communications, Website, Visualisation, Education Ed Pechorro Open Data Portal, Toolbox, CCI Data Standards Romy Schlögel ESA Research Fellow Nele Reyniers Young Graduate Trainee Vacant Future Earth Research Coordinator Slide 20