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Write your name here Surname Other names Pearson Edexcel Award Statistical Methods Level 2 Calculator allowed Centre Number Candidate Number Wednesday 14 May 2014 Morning Time: 1 hour 30 minutes You must have: Pen, HB pencil, eraser, calculator, ruler, protractor. Paper Reference AST20/01 Total Marks Instructions Use black ink or ball-point pen. Fill in the boxes at the top of this page with your name, centre number and candidate number. Answer all questions. Answer the questions in the spaces provided there may be more space than you need. Calculators may be used. If your calculator does not have a π button, take the value of π to be 3.142 unless the question instructs otherwise. Information The total mark for this paper is 80 The marks for each question are shown in brackets use this as a guide as to how much time to spend on each question. Advice Read each question carefully before you start to answer it. Keep an eye on the time. Try to answer every question. Check your answers if you have time at the end. Turn over P43629A 2014 Pearson Education Ltd. 6/1/5/ *P43629A0124*

Answer ALL questions. Write your answers in the spaces provided. You must write down all stages in your working. 1 The two-way table shows some information about the numbers of customers visiting a shop. Thursday Friday Saturday Total Morning 23 44 Afternoon 20 70 Evening 35 30 102 Total 113 265 Complete the two-way table. DRAFT exemplar(total for Question 1 is 3 marks) D 2 *P43629A0224*

2 Box A contains a red counter (R), a green counter (G) and an orange counter (O). Box B contains a red counter (R), a yellow counter (Y) and a white counter (W). Jeremy is going to take at random a counter from box A and a counter from box B. (a) Complete the sample space diagram showing all possible outcomes. One has been done for you. Box B Red Yellow White Red (R, R)...... Box A Green......... (b) Find the probability that Orange (i) both the counters are red, (ii) at least one of the counters is red................ (3) (Total for Question 2 is 5 marks) *P43629A0324* 3 Turn over

3 A scientist recorded the density of air and the speed of sound in each of eight experiments. The scatter graph gives information about her results. 360 y 350 Speed of sound (y m/s) 340 (a) Describe the relationship between the density of air and the speed of sound in these experiments. (1) The mean point of the data is (1.25, 337). (b) On the grid, 330 320 310 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 x (i) plot the mean point, (ii) draw a line of best fit for the data. In a 9th experiment, the density of air is 1.37 kg/m 3. (c) Find an estimate for the speed of sound. Density of air (x kg/m 3 )... m/s (1) (Total for Question 3 is 4 marks) D 4 *P43629A0424*

4 Kolka has a biased six-sided dice. Kolka rolls the dice once. The probability that the dice lands on 5 is 3 10 (a) Work out the probability that the dice does not land on 5... Kolka is now going to roll the dice 300 times. (b) Work out an estimate for the number of times the dice will land on 5 Benny also has a six-sided dice. He wants to find out whether the dice is biased or not. Benny rolls the dice 120 times. In these 120 rolls, the dice lands on 5 a total of 12 times. (c) Is Benny s dice biased? Give a reason for your answer.... (Total for Question 4 is 6 marks) *P43629A0524* 5 Turn over

5 Sean recorded the temperature, in C, of the water on the surface of a lake at 8am on each of 30 days. Here are his results. 14.2 15.1 12.9 15.2 16.6 13.8 13.0 15.7 13.4 15.5 15.8 15.9 14.1 15.3 15.7 14.2 15.5 14.9 14.6 14.7 16.1 13.5 16.2 15.5 13.8 15.8 14.9 16.1 15.3 14.7 (a) Is temperature an example of continuous data or of discrete data? Give a reason for your answer. (1) (b) Summarise Sean s data in this grouped frequency table. Temperature (w C) 12 < w 13 13 < w 14 14 < w 15 15 < w 16 16 < w 17 (c) Write down the modal class interval. Tally Frequency... C (1) D 6 *P43629A0624*

(d) On the grid, draw a histogram for the information in your grouped frequency table. (3) (Total for Question 5 is 7 marks) *P43629A0724* 7 Turn over

6 The 3-D pie chart shows some information about the ingredients of a packet of crisps. fibre protein fat carbohydrates Write down two possible problems with this pie chart. (Total for Question 6 is 2 marks) D 8 *P43629A0824*

7 Gary wants to find out how long it takes people to travel to work. He is going to use a questionnaire. (a) Design a suitable question that Gary could use on his questionnaire to find this information out. Gary gives his questionnaire to a sample of people on a train. (b) (i) Write down one advantage of taking a sample. (ii) Write down one reason why this may not be a good sample. (Total for Question 7 is 4 marks) *P43629A0924* 9 Turn over

8 The grouped frequency table gives information about the times taken by 60 students to each do a calculation. Time taken (t seconds) Frequency 30 < t 40 3 40 < t 50 8 50 < t 60 15 60 < t 70 19 70 < t 80 12 80 < t 90 3 (a) Work out an estimate for the mean time. Give your answer correct to 1 decimal place. (b) Complete the cumulative frequency table for the students times. Time taken (t seconds) Cumulative frequency 30 < t 40 3 30 < t 50 30 < t 60 30 < t 70 30 < t 80... seconds (4) D 30 < t 90 (1) 10 *P43629A01024*

(c) On the grid, draw a cumulative frequency graph for your table. 60 50 40 Cumulative frequency 30 20 10 0 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Time taken (t seconds) (d) Using your cumulative frequency graph, find an estimate for the number of students who took more than 75 seconds to do the calculation.... (Total for Question 8 is 9 marks) *P43629A01124* 11 Turn over

9 The stem and leaf diagrams give information about the ages, in years, of the players in each of two hockey clubs, Fairfield United and Downton Green. Fairfield United 1 8 8 9 2 0 1 3 5 7 7 7 9 3 2 8 9 4 3 Key: 1 8 represents 18 years Downton Green 1 9 2 2 2 3 5 7 8 3 1 2 5 7 9 4 0 1 2 (a) Complete this table. Fairfield United Median 27 Interquartile range Key: 1 9 represents 19 years... Downton Green... (b) Compare the distributions of the ages of the players in each of these two clubs. 1... 2... 16 (3) D (Total for Question 9 is 5 marks) 12 *P43629A01224*

10 Silvia recorded the weights, in kg, of 65 turkeys. The table gives information about her results. Weight (w kg) Number of turkeys 2.5 < w 3.5 5 3.5 < w 4.5 9 4.5 < w 5.5 14 5.5 < w 6.5 21 6.5 < w 7.5 16 (a) Find the class interval which contains the median. (b) On the grid, draw a frequency polygon for the information in the table. Number of turkeys 25 20 15 10 5 0 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Weight (w kg) (c) Describe the skew of the distribution of the weights of these turkeys.... kg (1)... (1) (Total for Question 10 is 4 marks) *P43629A01324* 13 Turn over

11 Karl had two samples of flies, sample A and sample B. The box plot gives information about the lifetimes, in days, of the flies in sample A. Sample A Sample B 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Lifetime (in days) (a) Write down the median lifetime of the flies in sample A. (b) Work out the interquartile range of the lifetimes of the flies in sample A. The table gives information about the lifetimes, in days, of the flies in sample B. Number of days Lowest value 3 Lower quartile 9 Median 17 Upper quartile 21 Highest value 33... days (1)... days D (c) On the grid, draw a box plot for the information in the table about sample B. 14 *P43629A01424*

(d) Compare the skews of the two distributions. (1) (Total for Question 11 is 6 marks) *P43629A01524* 15 Turn over

12 The table gives information about the amount of electricity used by a company each quarter in 2012 and in 2013. Year 2012 2013 Quarter 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 Amount of electricity used (in kwh) 900 750 500 650 1000 850 600 750 Some of this information is shown on the time-series graph. 1200 Electricity used (in kwh) 1000 800 600 400 200 0 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 2012 2013 Quarter and year (a) Using the information in the table, complete the time-series graph. D 16 *P43629A01624*

(b) Calculate the 4-point moving averages for the information in the table................ (3) (c) Describe what the moving averages show about the trend in the amount of electricity used during this period. (1) In 2012, the total amount of electricity used was 2800 kwh. In 2013, the total amount of electricity used was 3200 kwh. (d) (i) Using 2012 as the base year, work out the index number for the total amount of electricity used in 2013. Give your answer correct to 1 decimal place. (ii) Interpret your index number.... (3) (Total for Question 12 is 9 marks) *P43629A01724* 17 Turn over

13 The table gives some information about the 670 stamps in Jody s stamp collection. It shows the continents where the stamps were issued and the number of stamps from each of these continents. Continent Asia Europe America Number of stamps 48 357 265 Jody is going to take a sample of 50 of these stamps stratified by continent. Work out the number of stamps from each continent in Jody s sample. Asia... stamps Europe... stamps America... stamps (Total for Question 13 is 3 marks) D 18 *P43629A01824*

14 Here are the weights, in grams, of some mushrooms. 30 43 39 42 35 80 44 40 39 37 One of these mushrooms may be an outlier. (a) Write down the weight of this mushroom.... grams (1) Here are two bags of mushrooms, bag A and bag B. Bag A 15 mushrooms Mean 34 grams Bag A contains 15 mushrooms. These mushrooms have a mean weight of 34 grams. Bag B contains 25 mushrooms. These mushrooms have a mean weight of 39 grams. (b) Work out the mean weight of the 40 mushrooms. Bag B 25 mushrooms Mean 39 grams... grams (3) (Total for Question 14 is 4 marks) *P43629A01924* 19 Turn over

15 The probability that it will rain on Saturday is 0.65 The probability that it will rain on Sunday is 0.7 (a) Draw a probability tree diagram for this information. (b) (i) Work out the probability that it will rain on Saturday and on Sunday. (ii) Work out the probability that it will rain on Saturday and not rain on Sunday. (3)... (Total for Question 15 is 6 marks)... (3) D 20 *P43629A02024*

16 n = 15 y = 72 y 2 = 396 Calculate the standard deviation. Give your answer correct to 1 decimal place.... (Total for Question 16 is 3 marks) TOTAL FOR PAPER IS 80 MARKS *P43629A02124* 21

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