EF Retief Presenter. Co-Authors MD Anderson; D Harebottle; A Jenkins; R Simmons; HA Smit; C Van Rooyen; J Smallie

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Transcription:

EF Retief Presenter Co-Authors MD Anderson; D Harebottle; A Jenkins; R Simmons; HA Smit; C Van Rooyen; J Smallie

The Wind Farm Industry in South Africa New programme in South Africa Only 8 wind turbines currently in South Africa The South African Government indicated that it is committed to clean energy The National Energy Regulator of SA approved the Renewal Energy Feed-in Tariff (REFIT1) guideline in 2009 This guideline makes provision for 700MW to be implemented by the end of 2013 Arnold vd Westhuizen

Uncertainty about the Impact on Birds in South Africa We know from experience in other countries in the world that there will be a negative impact on birds from loss in habitat or birds that are directly killed by wind turbines We do know that the impact of wind farms in the rest of the world differs from site to site. At some wind farms no fatalities and in others lots of fatalities

Uncertainty about the Impact on Birds in South Africa (Continued) Big difference between South Africa and other countries in the world in terms of: Species diversity 841 Species in South Africa 125 Endangered species Behaviour (migration) Arnold vd Westhuizen A direct comparison or prediction of what the effect will be on birds within South Africa is therefore not possible

Opportunity to be Pro-active South Africa can learn from experiences in other countries in the world and apply those lessons to minimise the effect on birds Experience in other countries showed that the correct placement of wind farms will minimise bird casualties Prevention is better than cure One way is to create an Avian Wind Farm Sensitivity Map or similar product to guide the wind farm industry, EIA practitioners and conservationists

Birds and Wind Energy Specialist Group (BAWESG) Birdlife South Africa and the Endangered Wild Trust decided to create an advisory group to guide all role players The group consists of representatives of the two organisations as well as EIA and bird specialists BAWESG is NOT AGAINST the development of wind farms but it should be implemented responsibly and in line with legislative requirements

Avian Wind Farm Sensitivity Map BAWESG decided to design an Avian Wind Farm Sensitivity Map Funding Provided by the Wildlife & Energy Programme of the Endangered Wildlife Trust Purpose of the Map: To provide an indication of the geographic areas in South Africa where the possible establishment of wind farms might have a negative impact on birds

What the map is not! Not a substitute for EIA!! The only purpose of the map is to provide guidance to the industry in the early stages of the planning process Does not indicate no go zones Only areas of sensitivity will be indicated

Phase 1 Project Phases Draft a discussion document with the aim to discuss methodology, data sources to be used, map design etc Create a basic species list to consider for inclusion on the map Draft a basic map using only SABAP2 data Define gaps in data and obtain comments on draft map Phase 2 Finalise discussion document Import species data from other data sources Finalise map Phase 3 Distribute map and make publicly available

Data Sources Numerous data sources which could be used SABAP1 and SABAP2 data Co-ordinated Waterbird Counts Birds In Reserves Project Coordinated Avifaunal Road Counts Data from Endangered Wildlife Trust (EWT) working programs Specialist reports Lesser Kestrel (Falco naumanni) and Amur Falcon (Falco amurensis) roost sites

SABAP1 and 2 SABAP1 Completed early 1990s Lists submitted per Quarter Degree Square Coverage for the whole of South Africa SABAP2 Began in July 2007 5 Degree x 5 Degree grid (Called a pentad) More than 2.5 million records submitted by 850 atlasers Data vetted against SABAP1 data and through vetting committees Strict protocol to determine for example effort Data submitted electronically

SABAP2 -Coverage

Map based on two factors The sensitivity of an area is based on two factors: Status of the land Sensitivity of the land due to the species that occur in the area

Status of the land The following can be taken into consideration Formal protected area National Parks Nature Reserves Ramsar sites Important Bird Areas

Status of the Land (2) Status of land based on congregatory species Areas where congregatory species occur Waterbirds Vulture Colonies Bald Ibis Colonies Barn Swallow Roosts Buffer zones 3km around Lesser Kestrel and Amur Falcon Roost sites

Status of the Species Species of Conservation Concern Global Conservation Status of Species (IUCN) Regional Conservation Status of Species (Red Data Book 2000) Endemic species Endemic to South Africa Breeding endemics Migratory Species

Species List Considerable debate as to which and how many species should be included on the map for consideration No experience in South Africa as to which species should be included A list was compiled by studying literature and studies outside of South Africa Species list decided on contains 144 species 207 Wattled Crane 195 Ludwig's Bustard 352 Bearded Vulture 79 Southern Ground-Hornbill 194 Denham's Bustard 196 Kori Bustard 203 White-bellied Korhaan 205 Grey Crowned Crane 206 Blue Crane 355 White-backed Vulture 357 Cape Vulture 358 Lappet-faced Vulture 362 Southern Banded Snake-Eagle 364 Bateleur 366 African Marsh-Harrier 367 Black Harrier 387 Tawny Eagle 394 Martial Eagle

Species Priority Levels How to determine which priority value to assign to each species? Species Priority Levels 100 90 High Priority Species Conservation importance 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 Low Priority Species Score = 1 Score = 10 Medium Priority Species Score = 5 10 0 Low Probability Medium Probability High Probability Probabilityof species to be affected by a windfarm (collision and displacement

Conservation Status Levels Species of Conservation Concern Globally Critical Endangered: 100 Species of Conservation Concern Nationally Critical Endangered: 100 Species of Conservation Concern Globally Endangered: 90 Species of conservation Concern Nationally Endangered: 90 Species of Conservation Concern Globally Vulnerable : 70 Species of Conservation Concern Nationally Vulnerable: 70 Species of Conservation Concern Globally Near-threatened: 50 Species of Conservation Concern Nationally Near-threatened: 50 Breeding Endemic Species: 30 Endemic Species: 20 Near-Endemic Species: 15 All other species: 10

Conservation Status Levels (2) Global Threatened Status Regional Threatened Status Breeding Endemics Near- Endemi cs Other Species Conservation Value Common Names Endemics Risk Factor 2 0 7Wattled Crane 100 10 100 High Risk 100 10 1 9 5Ludwig's Bustard 90 70 10 90 High Risk 100 10 3 5 2Bearded Vulture 90 10 90 High Risk 100 10 7 9Southern Ground-Hornbill 70 70 70 High Risk 100 10 1 9 4Denham's Bustard 50 70 10 70 High Risk 100 10 1 9 6Kori Bustard 70 10 70 High Risk 100 10 2 0 3White-bellied Korhaan 70 10 70 High Risk 100 10 2 0 5Grey Crowned Crane 70 70 10 70 High Risk 100 10 2 0 6Blue Crane 70 70 10 70 High Risk 100 10 3 5 5White-backed Vulture 50 70 10 70 High Risk 100 10 3 5 7Cape Vulture 70 70 10 70 High Risk 100 10 3 5 8Lappet-faced Vulture 70 70 10 70 High Risk 100 10 3Southern Banded Snake- 6 2Eagle 50 70 10 70 High Risk 100 10 3 6 4Bateleur 50 70 10 70 High Risk 100 10 3 6 6African Marsh-Harrier 70 10 70 High Risk 100 10 3 6 7Black Harrier 70 50 15 10 70 High Risk 100 10 3 8 7Tawny Eagle 70 10 70 High Risk 100 10 3 9 4Martial Eagle 70 10 70 High Risk 100 10 Risk Score Species Priority Score

Map Sensitivity Calculation How is the sensitivity level of an area calculated? Status of the land Status based on the species that occur at a specific locality Obtain data where all the species to be consider have been recorded in South Africa Obtain the species priority score for each species Count the priority scores together Calculate a sensitivity value for the geographic area

Data Manipulation Geographic Information System MS Access Species data Lookup tables Calculations ArcView10 Link with MS Access Display data in map format

Using SABAP2 Data Darker areas indicate where lots of priority species have been recorded

Using SABAP2 Data

Using SABAP1 Data Darker areas indicate where lots of priority species have been recorded

Challenges Experienced During the process to create the map a number of problems were encountered mostly relating to the available data sources: Different resolution levels Point Data Quarter Degree Square Pentad (5 minute x 5 minute) Different time periods 1990s Current Different protocols (Time period used to collect the data) Different levels of coverage So it is difficult to combine all the data into one sensitivity map without distorting the data

GIS Interactive System The focus has moved away from a single Avian Sensitivity map Create an interactive GIS system which can be queried on an individual basis With a GIS system data can be used with its strengths and weaknesses in mind

GIS Interactive System Process to be followed: Shapefile will be received of proposed wind farm development A report will be created indicating the status of land as well as the species that have been recorded taking into consideration all the available data sources Where sufficient data are available sensitivity levels will be indicated Limitations of the data sets used will be clearly indicated This report will provide developers, EIA specialists and the general public with a tool which can be used to make an informed decision as to where to place a wind farm

Thank You