Presents: Atlanta Industrial Market Overview Third Quarter 2016
The Atlanta Distribution Market
The Atlanta Industrial Market PinPoint sm Technology 10 Regions (distribution & service) 681 million sq. ft. 14,013 buildings 23,735 businesses Source data compiled from PinPoint sm, a proprietary database owned by King Industrial Realty, Inc. Every effort has been made to provide accurate information, but no liability is assumed for errors and omissions.
Distribution Inventory 1996-2016 700 600 500 Total Inventory In Millions of Sq. Ft. 656 400 300 323 Availability 200 100 13.0% 12.5% 0 3Q96 3Q97 3Q98 3Q99 3Q00 3Q01 3Q02 3Q03 3Q04 3Q05 3Q06 3Q07 3Q08 3Q09 3Q10 3Q11 3Q12 3Q13 3Q14 3Q15 3Q16 *Analysis expanded to include 8 additional counties. *
Absorption & Activity Total Inventory - Million Square Feet 70,000,000 323 411 484 589 656 60,000,000 50,000,000 40,000,000 30,000,000 20,000,000 Activity 10,000,000 0 (10,000,000) (20,000,000) Net Absorption (30,000,000) Numbers represent four rolling quarters as of 3Q 2016.
Activity 70,000,000 60,000,000 50,000,000 40,000,000 30,000,000 20,000,000 Activity 1996-2016 10,000,000 0 3Q96 3Q97 3Q98 3Q99 3Q00 3Q01 3Q02 3Q03 3Q04 3Q05 3Q06 3Q07 3Q08 3Q09 3Q10 3Q11 3Q12 3Q13 3Q14 3Q15 3Q16 Numbers represent four rolling quarters as of 3Q 2016. = US Recessions
Absorption 25,000,000 20,000,000 15,000,000 10,000,000 5,000,000 0 (5,000,000) (10,000,000) (15,000,000) (20,000,000) Net Absorption 1996-2016 (25,000,000) 3Q96 3Q97 3Q98 3Q99 3Q00 3Q01 3Q02 3Q03 3Q04 3Q05 3Q06 3Q07 3Q08 3Q09 3Q10 3Q11 3Q12 3Q13 3Q14 3Q15 3Q16 Numbers represent four rolling quarters as of 3Q 2016. = US Recessions
New Construction: 2007-2016 Square Feet 25,000,000 20,000,000 15,000,000 10,000,000 5,000,000 0 3Q07 3Q08 3Q09 3Q10 3Q11 3Q12 3Q13 3Q14 3Q15 3Q16 Build-to-suit Spec Construction Numbers represent four rolling quarters as of 3Q 2016.
4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 10 Year Cumulative Net Absorption vs. Construction 80,000,000 75,000,000 70,000,000 65,000,000 60,000,000 55,000,000 50,000,000 45,000,000 40,000,000 35,000,000 30,000,000 25,000,000 20,000,000 15,000,000 10,000,000 5,000,000 0-5,000,000-10,000,000-15,000,000-20,000,000-25,000,000-30,000,000 73.5 million sq. ft. 48.7 million sq. ft. Net Absorption New Construction
Deals Completed 9.6% 4.0% 1.7% 1.2% 3.5% 79.9% Under 19,999 SF 2,239 Deals 20,000-39,999 SF 268 Deals 40,000-59,999 SF 113 Deals 60,000-79,999 SF 49 Deals 80,000-99,999 SF 35 Deals 100,000 & up 99 Deals Numbers represent four rolling quarters as of 3Q 2016.
In Millions Square Feet Leased 24.4 14.3 7.3 5.4 3.4 3.1 6,380 27,242 47,890 68,522 88,030 246,458 Under 19,999 SF 20,000-39,999 SF 40,000-59,999 SF 60,000-79,999 SF 80,000-99,999 SF 100,000 SF & Up Numbers represent four rolling quarters as of 3Q 2016.
Distribution Hot Markets 2016 Activity 23.8% 19.6% 15.5% Numbers represent four rolling quarters as of 3Q 2016.
Distribution Hot Markets Distribution Hot Markets 2016 Net Absorption 2016 Absorption The only region to report negative absorption for the 4 rolling quarters was I-75 North. 13.6% 23.6% 12.1% Numbers represent the percentage of the market s negative net absorption for four rolling quarters as of 3Q 2016.
Conclusion Conclusion Jeepers Creepers! 57.7 million sf of activity, 11 consecutive quarters above 53 million sf 17.5 million sf of positive net absorption, 18 consecutive quarters of positive net absorption with 11 consecutive quarters above 15 million sf 15.1 million sf of construction 81% Spec, 19% BTS Availability rate lowest in 21 years (since 4Q95) at 12.5% 2+ years of record breaking numbers in activity, absorption & construction Sublease spaces rose slightly to 7% (up 1%) of all available space Lending environment is business friendly Declining unemployment rates Atlanta 5.0%, Georgia 4.9%, US 4.9% (August reports - US Bureau of Labor Statistics) Housing market continues to improve, still room for improvement National and international uncertainty still persists (taxes, health care, border crisis, November election, issues with the Euro-Zone, the Middle East & China)
Contact Information Please Contact: Sim Doughtie, CCIM, SIOR, MCR, SLCR President Direct: 404-942-2002 Mobile: 404-281-9487 Fax: 404-942-2102 Sdoughtie@kingindustrial.com King Industrial Realty / CORFAC International Industrial, Commercial, Investment & Property Management www.kingindustrial.com Atlanta Office 1920 Monroe Drive Atlanta, GA 30324 Tel: 404-942-2000 Fax: 404-942-2100 Northwest Office 3375 Chastain Gardens Dr. Suite 140 Kennesaw, GA 30144 Tel: 404-942-2000 Fax: 378-797-0627 Loganville Office 7718-B Hampton Place Loganville, GA 30052 Tel: 404-942-2000 Fax: 678-957-6760 Southwest Atlanta Office 210 The Bluffs Suite B Austell, GA 30168 Tel: 404-942-2000 Fax: 770-739-2302