SLIDE FOR DISCUSSION NICOLE & KATE

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Transcription:

SLIDE FOR DISCUSSION NICOLE & KATE Outline presentation Tuesday December 4 th at 1PM Hawaii time (?) 14 th US Japan Workshop on the improvement of structural design & construction practices Session 3: Risk Management and Loss Estimation Message: Will this help the engineering community Kit: GEM can be bases for new tools Outline: Risk Portrait under single scenario event for large portfolio, that includes spatial correlation Use cases: Uniform Hazard Spectra to a common standard retrofit cost benefit calculator Exposure DB (interface) Damage assessment (vulnerability, replacement cost) What can you do: be involved. ** GOOGLE BUSINESS FOR GEM

Transparent Global Earthquake Risk and Loss Estimation Nicole Keller GEM Foundation

Why GEM? advanced tools and resources for quantifying seismic hazard and risk as critical input to risk management are inaccessible to many there is a wide body of knowledge and science but it is not connected nor leveraged to the max worldwide we face similar issues, but use different approaches, tools and platforms to deal with it, and therefore cannot really share data and improve risk assessment together

A global collaborative effort driven by public private partnership (1) global data, methods, guidelines and tools (2) linking up with and facilitating regional Initiatives 15+ public agencies 10+ private organisations 8+ international bodies (3) open source platform and (software) tools (4) knowledge sharing and technology transfer

How is GEM different? Scientific Quantitative measures and outputs based on (the latest) science Humanitarian Empowering organisations and individuals at various levels to manage risk; risk transfer, building codes, planning Global A framework and platform for collaboration, sharing data and knowledge and hereby joint learning worldwide Credible Make information clear and accessible; be transparent in what we know and don t Independent open source (software) tools, transparency in methods and process, leading to independent outcomes

Working together to assess risk Organisations and individuals (data, results) Local national, regional programmes & collaborations (data, methods) OpenQuake Calculate, Share, Explore Global Framework (tools, data, methods)

One network, two interfaces data tools methods v1 in 2014 OpenQuake Expert CALCULATE MODEL VIEW EXPLORE CAPTURE OpenQuake Essential VIEW EXPLORE CAPTURE

A holistic approach: total risk

Models Seismic source models Ground motion models Physical exposure models Physical vulnerability models Composite index models (social vulnerability, resilience, indirect loss) Products (pre computed results) Hazard maps Hazard curves Stochastic event sets Risk maps (physical and total) Average annual losses (total and insured) Event loss tables Datasets Earthquake history Instrumental catalogue Geodetic strain rate Active faults Tectonic regionalisation Buildings and population Earthquake consequences Physical Vulnerability Vulnerability and resilience indicators Global by default; upload, share, use more local products

Facilitate decision making: retrofit cost benefit map

Use, share, collaborate on data

Capturing NEW data: continuous updating

Handheld and crowdsourcing devices for inventory of buildings for risk assessment or to process damage data after an earthquake