Eurasian Pipelines and East Asia: A Path to Integration or A Marriage of Convenience?

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Draft Nov.28, 2006 Harriman Institute - At 60 (1946 2006) Presents a Series of Colloquia: Eurasian Pipelines Road to Peace, Development and Interdependencies 2006/2007 Second Colloquium: Eurasian Pipelines and East Asia: A Path to Integration or A Marriage of Convenience? Eurasian Oil and Gas to China, Korea and Japan Co-Sponsored by The Center of Energy, Marine Transportation and Public Policy, and The Weatherhead East Asian Institute, November 30, Thursday. 2pm December 1, 2006, Friday, 9:30am Room 1501 School of International and Public Affairs 420 West 118 th St., 15 th Floor, New York, NY 10023 Contact: Prof. Jenik Radon Jr2218@columbia.edu +1 212 496 2700

Eurasian Pipelines and East Asia: A Path to Integration or A Marriage of Convenience? Thu., Nov.30, 2006 - Day One 1:30pm - 2:00pm: Registration 2:00pm 2:20pm: Welcome: Catharine T. Nepomnyashchy, Professor of Russian Literature and Chair, Slavic Department, Barnard College; Director of Harriman Institute, Columbia University Opening: Jenik Radon, Assistant Adjunct Professor, Harriman Institute, School of International and Public Affairs (SIPA), 2:20pm - 2:50pm: I. Introduction: How does the West View the Eurasian East-West Tie-Up and Where does it fit in? Moderator: Adam L. Shrier, Adjunct Professor of International and Public Affairs, School of International and Public Affairs, Speaker: Albert Bressand, Director, Center for Energy, Marine Transportation and Public Policy; Professor of Professional Practice, School of International and Public Affairs, Columbia University 2:50pm 3:15pm: II. Are Pipelines Pipelines? The Difference between Oil and Gas. Moderator: Jenik Radon, Assistant Adjunct Professor, Harriman Institute, School of International and Public Affairs (SIPA), Ed C. Chow, Senior Fellow, Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), Washington, DC 2

3:20pm 4:20pm: III. Can East Asia Dare to Tie its Energy Security to an Evolving Russia and Kazakhstan? Moderator: Daniel H. Rosen, Principal, China Strategic Advisory; Visiting Fellow, Institute for International Economics; Adjunct Assistant Professor, Stephen Blank, Research Professor of National Security Affairs, Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College, Carlisle, Pennsylvania Tatsuo Masuda, Professor, Tokyo Institute of Technology (SIMOT); former Vice President, Japan National Oil Corporation, Tokyo, Japan 4:25pm 5:40pm: IV. For the Buryats and the Host of Other People Along Pipeline Right-of- Ways --- Have They Been Forgotten? What Is In It For Them? What is the Role of NGOs? Moderator: Catharine T. Nepomnyashchy, Professor of Russian Literature and Chair, Slavic Department, Barnard College; Director of Harriman Institute, Elena Agarkova, Senior Legal Fellow, Berman Environmental Law Clinic, University of Washington School of Law, Seattle, Washington Fidanka Bacheva-McGrath, Coordinator for Southeast Europe, CEE Bankwatch Network, Bulgaria Nicolas Dutreix, Founding Partner, Nomadéis, Consulting & Research Services, Paris, France 5:45pm 6:15pm: V. Sacred Architecture, Buryat and Russian, in the Baikal Territory, the Land of the Potential Pipelines: A Photographic Essay by William C. Brumfield Moderator: Catharine T. Nepomnyashchy, Professor of Russian Literature and Chair, Slavic Department, Barnard College; Director of Harriman Institute, 3

Speaker: William Craft Brumfield, Honorary Member, Russian Academy of the Arts; Member, State Russian Academy of Architecture and Construction Sciences; Professor of Slavic Studies Tulane University, New Orleans, Louisiana 6:15pm 7:30pm: Reception at conference -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Fri., Dec. 1, 2006 - Day Two 9:00am 9:30am: Registration/Breakfast Buffet 9:30am 9:45am: Welcome by Prof. Jenik Radon 9:45am 11:00am: VI. Eurasian Oil and Gas Pipelines: The Glue for the Economic and Political Integration of Central Asia and East Asia? What Makes the Eurasian Pipeline Terrain Special? Moderator: Timothy Frye, Professor of Political Science, Columbia University Jeremy Maxie, Consultant, PFC Energy, Washington, DC Keun-Wook Paik, Associate Fellow, Energy, Environment and Development Programme, Chatham House, London, UK 11:05am 12:25pm: VII. The East Siberian - Pacific Ocean (ESPO) Oil Pipeline from Taishet to Kozmino Bay The New Zero Sum Competition for East Asia (China, Korea and Japan)? Moderator: Xiaobo Lü, Professor of Political Science, Barnard College, Ed C. Chow, Senior Fellow, Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), Washington, DC 4

J.Robert Garverick, Foreign Service and Economic/Energy Officer, Bureau of Economic and Business Affairs (EB/ESC/IEC/EPS), U.S. Department of State, Washington, DC; former Chief Macroeconomist, U.S. Embassy in Kiev, Ukraine Lifan Li, Deputy Secretary-General, Center for Shanghai Cooperation Organization; Assistant Professor for Eurasian Studies, Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences, Shanghai, China Armen Safaryan, Ph.D., Deputy Director, Center for Strategic Energy Research and Geopolitics, International Institute for Energy Policy and Diplomacy of MGIMO-University, Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Russia, Moscow, Russia (cancelled due to his appointment to the Judge Board of the Russian Gaz Society Tretriary Court) 12:30pm 1:00pm: VIII. The Energy Charter Treaty --- Can It Make a Contribution to East Asia and Eurasia? Moderator: Albert Bressand, Director, Center for Energy, Marine Transportation and Public Policy; Professor of Professional Practice, School of International and Public Affairs, Speaker: Tim Gould, Senior Advisor, Energy Charter Treaty Secretariat, Brussels, Belgium 1:00pm 2:30pm: Lunch Break 2:30pm 3:45pm: IX. Can Eurasian Pipelines (Oil and/or Gas) and Nature Coexist and at What/Whose Cost? Moderator: Jonathan E. Schrag, Executive Director, Lenfest Center for Sustainable Energy, The Earth Institute, Jürgen Brauer, Professor of Economics, James M. Hull College of Business, Augusta State University, Augusta, Georgia Gary Cook, Director of the Russian Programs, Earth Island Institute, San Francisco, California 5

Sergei G. Shapkhaev, Director, Buryat Regional Department on Lake Baikal, Ulan-Ude, Russia 3:50pm 5:00pm: X. Eurasian Pipelines: The Political and Economic Gordian Knot for Russia and Kazakhstan? Moderator: Kimberly Marten, Professor of Political Science, Barnard College, New York; Harriman Institute Richard E. Ericson, Professor and Chair, Department of Economics, East Carolina University, Greenville, North Carolina; Former Director of Harriman Institute, Ailuna R. Utegenova, Ph.D., Senior Teacher, Chair and Deputy Dean, Department of International Relations and Foreign Policy of the Republic of Kazakhstan, Al-Farabi Kazakh National University, Almaty, Kazakhstan 5:00pm 5:20pm: XI. Closing Remarks: Where Do We Go From Here? Jenik Radon, Assistant Adjunct Professor, Harriman Institute, School of International and Public Affairs (SIPA), 5:20pm 6:30pm: Reception at conference 6