Social Collective Intelligence Combining the Powers of Humans and Machines to Build a Smarter Society

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Computational Social Sciences Daniele Miorandi Vincenzo Maltese Michael Rovatsos Anton Nijholt James Stewart Editors Social Collective Intelligence Combining the Powers of Humans and Machines to Build a Smarter Society

Computational Social Sciences A series of authored and edited monographs that utilize quantitative and computational methods to model, analyze, and interpret large-scale social phenomena. Titles within the series contain methods and practices that test and develop theories of complex social processes through bottom-up modeling of social interactions. Of particular interest is the study of the co-evolution of modern communication technology and social behavior and norms, in connection with emerging issues such as trust, risk, security, and privacy in novel socio-technical environments. Computational Social Sciences is explicitly transdisciplinary: quantitative methods from fields such as dynamical systems, artificial intelligence, network theory, agent-based modeling, and statistical mechanics are invoked and combined with state-of-the-art mining and analysis of large data sets to help us understand social agents, their interactions on and offline, and the effect of these interactions at the macro level. Topics include, but are not limited to social networks and media, dynamics of opinions, cultures and conflicts, socio-technical co-evolution, and social psychology. Computational Social Sciences will also publish monographs and selected edited contributions from specialized conferences and workshops specifically aimed at communicating new findings to a large transdisciplinary audience. A fundamental goal of the series is to provide a single forum within which commonalities and differences in the workings of this field may be discerned, hence leading to deeper insight and understanding. Series Editors Elisa Bertino Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN, USA Jacob Foster University of California, Los Angeles, CA,USA Nigel Gilbert University of Surrey, Guildford, UK Jennifer Golbeck University of Maryland, College Park, MD, USA James A. Kitts University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA, USA Larry Liebovitch Queens College, City University of New York, Flushing, NY, USA Sorin A. Matei Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN, USA Anton Nijholt University of Twente, Entschede, The Netherlands Robert Savit University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA Alessandro Vinciarelli University of Glasgow, Scotland More information about this series at http://www.springer.com/series/11784

Daniele Miorandi Vincenzo Maltese Michael Rovatsos Anton Nijholt James Stewart Editors Social Collective Intelligence Combining the Powers of Humans and Machines to Build a Smarter Society 123

Editors Daniele Miorandi CREATE-NET Trento, Italy Michael Rovatsos School of Informatics The University of Edinburgh Edinburgh, UK Vincenzo Maltese University of Trento Trento, Italy Anton Nijholt Faculty EEMCS University of Twente Enschede, The Netherlands James Stewart The University of Edinburgh Edinburgh, UK ISBN 978-3-319-08680-4 ISBN 978-3-319-08681-1 (ebook) DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-08681-1 Springer Cham Heidelberg New York Dordrecht London Library of Congress Control Number: 2014947873 Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2014 This work is subject to copyright. All rights are reserved by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed. Exempted from this legal reservation are brief excerpts in connection with reviews or scholarly analysis or material supplied specifically for the purpose of being entered and executed on a computer system, for exclusive use by the purchaser of the work. Duplication of this publication or parts thereof is permitted only under the provisions of the Copyright Law of the Publisher s location, in its current version, and permission for use must always be obtained from Springer. Permissions for use may be obtained through RightsLink at the Copyright Clearance Center. Violations are liable to prosecution under the respective Copyright Law. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. While the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication, neither the authors nor the editors nor the publisher can accept any legal responsibility for any errors or omissions that may be made. The publisher makes no warranty, express or implied, with respect to the material contained herein. Printed on acid-free paper Springer is part of Springer Science+Business Media (www.springer.com)

Preface Social collective intelligence is an emerging area at the intersection of collective intelligence and social informatics, where social processes between humans are being leveraged and enhanced, by means of advanced Information and Communication Technologies (ICT), to solve challenging problems using the contributions of human collectives. Rather than being a well-defined area, it presents itself at least for the time being as a mix of various methods and technologies, such as social media and social computing, human-based computation, social networks and complex systems theory, crowdsourcing, and many other areas which all somehow aim at developing or understanding collectively intelligent systems by combining advanced ICT with the powers of individual and collective human intelligence. Within this broader area, while novel applications from mobile social networking services to socially augmented reality systems are appearing (and disappearing) at an ever-increasing rate, the ability to engineer these systems to concrete design objectives remains, until now, essentially a black art. Although research in the different areas involved has produced many significant contributions, we are still far from a principled approach for designing and operating these kinds of systems. This book serves two purposes: On the one hand, while we are not yet in a position to develop textbook-like material for the field of Social Collective Intelligence, we aim to consolidate the fragmented research landscape, gathering contributions that capture the state of the art in all relevant areas, thus providing an up-to-date survey of existing research. In this respect, we put particular emphasis on giving technological and socio-technical aspects equal weight, as we believe that human factors and new technologies need to go hand in hand in developing successful future social collective intelligence systems, maybe more so than in any other area of digital technologies. On the other hand, we focus on the engineering aspect of such systems, thereby taking a distinctly different approach from much of the work done in the complex systems and related social science literature, which primarily focuses on analysis and prediction. While these aspects are also dealt with in several chapters of this book, our objective is to give an overview of appropriate v

vi Preface techniques that both scientists and practitioners can use in order to build purposeful and effective social collective intelligence systems. Based on this overall approach, we expect that this book will be of interest to different audiences: Social scientists who want to understand the computational machinery that drives such applications, and how it interacts with human-centric and societal concerns. Researchers and practitioners in information and communication technologies, who need to acquire an understanding of the socio-technical dimension of these systems, as well as a comprehensive overview of relevant computational techniques. Various stakeholders from businesses, public organisations, and the general public, who want to go beyond a naïve understanding of novel technologies emerging in this area and require adequate knowledge of theoretical foundations and technological potential to make informed decisions, whether this be for commissioning novel systems, regulating their use, or even actively participating in them as a contributor. And, finally, graduate students from various disciplines who are looking for a comprehensive treatment of all aspects of this new type of systems. This book is divided into three parts: Part I comprises of several chapters covering the foundations and theory behind Social Collective Intelligence. These provide an overview of the area, discuss opportunities and challenges, and investigate fundamental issues and problems. In Part II, we cover the some of the key technologies that are needed to develop social collective intelligence systems. This part addresses core techniques and approaches that can be useful for systems development and analysis, but also more peripheral concerns relevant to the ecosystem of social collective intelligence applications. Part III concludes the volume with descriptions of key application domains and several case studies from which insights and lessons can be learnt. Trento, Italy Trento, Italy Edinburgh, UK Enschede, The Netherlands Edinburgh, UK April 2014 Daniele Miorandi Vincenzo Maltese Michael Rovatsos Anton Nijholt James Stewart

Contents Part I Foundations Towards the Ethical Governance of Smart Society... 3 Mark Hartswood, Barbara Grimpe, Marina Jirotka, and Stuart Anderson Collective Intelligence and Algorithmic Governance of Socio-Technical Systems... 31 Jeremy Pitt, Dídac Busquets, Aikaterini Bourazeri, and Patricio Petruzzi A Taxonomic Framework for Social Machines... 51 Paul Smart, Elena Simperl, and Nigel Shadbolt The Mathematician and the Social Computer: A Look into the Future... 87 Martin Charles Golumbic Twelve Big Questions for Research on Social Collective Intelligence... 93 Stuart Anderson, Daniele Miorandi, Iacopo Carreras, and Dave Robertson Part II Technologies Privacy in Social Collective Intelligence Systems... 105 Simone Fischer-Hübner and Leonardo A. Martucci The Future of Social Is Personal: The Potential of the Personal Data Store... 125 Max Van Kleek and Kieron OHara An Auditable Reputation Service for Collective Adaptive Systems... 159 Heather S. Packer, Laura Drăgan, and Luc Moreau vii

viii Contents Part III Applications and Case Studies Surfacing Collective Intelligence with Implications for Interface Design in Massive Open Online Courses... 187 Anna Zawilska, Marina Jirotka, and Mark Hartswood Who Were Where When? On the Use of Social Collective Intelligence in Computational Epidemiology... 203 Magnus Boman Social Collective Awareness in Socio-Technical Urban Superorganisms.. 227 Nicola Bicocchi, Alket Cecaj, Damiano Fontana, Marco Mamei, Andrea Sassi, and Franco Zambonelli Collective Intelligence in Crises... 243 Monika Büscher, Michael Liegl, and Vanessa Thomas The Lean Research: How to Design and Execute Social Collective Intelligence Research and Innovation Projects... 267 Daniele Miorandi, Iacopo Carreras, and Imrich Chlamtac