Integrated Energy Services Data Pack. 25 June 2013

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Transcription:

Integrated Energy Services Data Pack 25 June 2013

Important Notice This document has been prepared by Petrofac Limited (the Company) to assist analysts and investors in understanding the key operational activities and earnings drivers of the Integrated Energy Services (IES) division over the period to 2015. It is not designed to provide guidance in respect of new projects. We may update this document to reflect any new projects and changes in our expectations of current projects. The information in this document has not been independently verified and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or opinions contained herein. None of the Company or any of its affiliates, advisors or representatives shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss whatsoever arising from any use of this document, or its contents, or otherwise arising in connection with this document. This document does not constitute or form part of any offer or invitation to sell, or any solicitation of any offer to purchase any shares in the Company, nor shall it or any part of it or the fact of its distribution form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment or investment decisions relating thereto, nor does it constitute a recommendation regarding the shares of the Company. Certain statements in this presentation are forward looking statements. Words such as "expect", "believe", "plan", "will", "could", "may", "project" and similar expressions are intended to identify such forward-looking statements, but are not the exclusive means of identifying such statements.by their nature, forward looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties or assumptions that could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward looking statements. These risks, uncertainties or assumptions could adversely affect the outcome and financial effects of the plans and events described herein. Statements contained in this presentation regarding past trends or activities should not be taken as representation that such trends or activities will continue in the future. You should not place undue reliance on forward looking statements, which only speak as of the date of this presentation. The Company is under no obligation to update or keep current the information contained in this presentation, including any forward looking statements, or to correct any inaccuracies which may become apparent and any opinions expressed in it are subject to change without notice. 2

Purpose of this presentation To assist the capital markets in understanding the key operational activities and earnings drivers of the IES division over the period to 2015 It is not designed to provide guidance in respect of new projects This document will be updated periodically to reflect new projects and changes in expectations for current projects 3

IES updated earnings guidance At the IES Capital Markets Day held in June 2011, we gave the following guidance: In 2015, IES will generate net income of around US$200m from projects in operation/under development with the potential to grow this by at least 50% from new opportunities Our existing portfolio of projects, including projects won since June 2011, is currently expected to deliver net income in the range US$223m to US$290m in 2015, with the potential for new projects to add to this Net income evolution 1 New projects US$300m Projects at June 2013: (PM304, Chergui, Ticleni, Berantai, Greater Stella Area development Magallanes, Santuario, Pánuco, Arenque) US$89m US$38m US$23m 2010 2011 2012 2015 1 Net income from FPSO Berantai, FPF3 (Jasmine Venture), FPF5 (Ocean Legend), Training and IES consultancy businesses is approximately matched by overheads 4

IES earnings guidance what s changed? Changes between the June 2012 and June 2013 IES data pack include: We have added the earnings contribution from the Pánuco and Arenque PECs in Mexico We believe we can capture more value from the optimisation of our operating model on the existing PECs We are encouraged by the near field appraisal drilling on Block PM304 in Malaysia, which has the potential to significantly extend plateau production beyond 2015 5

Key IES projects Production Enhancement Contracts (PEC) Ticleni, Romania TRANSITION PERIOD Magallanes and Santuario, Mexico TRANSITION PERIOD END DATE 2025 (+10 YR EXTENSION OPTION) 2037 TRANSITION PERIOD Pánuco, Mexico* 2043 TRANSITION PERIOD Arenque, Mexico 2043 Risk Service Contracts (RSC) Berantai development, Malaysia Bowleven Etinde permit development, Cameroon** 2020 Life of field Equity Upstream Investments Block PM304, Malaysia Chergui gas plant, Tunisia Greater Stella Area, UK 2026 2031 Life of field * In joint venture with Schlumberger ** Subject to Final Investment Decision (FID), and therefore not yet included within our earnings guidance 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 6

Information provided for each commercial model The following slides describe the following for each of the three commercial models: A A reminder of how the commercial model works B The current projects within each portfolio C The key facts pertaining to those projects D The key operational activities we expect to undertake over the period to 2015 on those projects E The shape of the earnings drivers for the projects in aggregate 7

Production Enhancement Contracts A Commercial Model Under the PEC commercial model we are paid a tariff per barrel for production and therefore have no direct commodity price exposure PECs are appropriate for mature fields which have a long production history Our contracts are long term We deploy capital on production enhancing activities, recovered over the life of the contract B Projects Our current portfolio includes the following PECs: Ticleni oil field, Romania Magallanes and Santuario oil fields, Mexico Pánuco field, Mexico Arenque field, Mexico 8

Production Enhancement Contracts C Key Facts Ticleni, Romania Petrofac is providing production enhancement services to Petrom (the concession holder) for the Ticleni oilfield and its eight satellite fields in Romania The contract was signed in July 2010 and Petrofac took over field operations in November 2010 The contract has a 15-year term, with an additional ten-year extension option At the time of award, Ticleni had more than 1,000 wells, of which around 300 were producing approximately 3,300 barrels of oil per day Petrofac is managing all aspects of the fields activity on behalf of Petrom 9

Production Enhancement Contracts C Key Facts Magallanes and Santuario, Mexico Petrofac is providing production enhancement services to PEMEX (the concession holder) for the Magallanes and Santuario blocks in Tabasco State, central Mexico The contract was signed in October 2011 and Petrofac took over field operations in February 2012 The contracts have a 25-year term At the time of taking over operations, the two blocks had almost 1,000 wells of which around 100 were producing approximately 12,000 barrels of oil per day PEMEX has retained a 10% economic interest in the PECs 10

Production Enhancement Contracts C Key Facts Pánuco, Mexico Petrofac is providing production enhancement services to PEMEX (the concession holder) for the Pánuco block in Veracruz State, eastern Mexico This is the first award in conjunction with Schlumberger under the co-operation agreement The contract was signed in August 2012 and Petrofac took over field operations in March 2013 The contract has a 30-year term At the time of taking over operations, the block had over 1,600 wells of which around 200 were producing approximately 1,800 barrels of oil per day 11

Production Enhancement Contracts C Key Facts Arenque, Mexico Petrofac is providing production enhancement services to PEMEX (the concession holder) for the Arenque block, located 30 kms from Tampico on the Mexican continental shelf, eastern Mexico The contract was signed in November 2012; Petrofac expect to take over field operations in July 2013 The contract has a 30-year term 12

Production Enhancement Contracts D Operational Activities Key work items for the boosting of production include the drilling of new wells, and the completion of well sidetracks and well workovers There are circa 30 rig years assumed in the period 2014-2015 on these projects E The below table shows our projection for net annual production and net income per barrel on the Ticleni, Magallanes, Santuario, Pánuco and Arenque* oil fields taken in aggregate Earnings Drivers Net annual production (mmboe) 2014 2015 13.7 15.7 14.0 18.0 Net income per barrel US$4.00 US$5.00 * Pending taking over the operations and establishing the starting volumes on Arenque, we have not included any production contribution from Arenque in 2014 There is no direct net income sensitivity to oil price given the fixed tariff structure but a substantial fall in the oil price could defer cost recovery Net income per barrel increases as additional incremental production comes onstream and we optimise our operating model on these assets 13

Risk Service Contracts A Commercial Model Under the RSC commercial model we develop, operate and maintain a field, while the resource holder retains ownership and control of their reserves Our interests are aligned: we fund the development and are reimbursed (typically from production cash flows) and receive a remuneration fee based upon our performance B Project Our current portfolio includes the Berantai oil & gas field, Malaysia FID on the Etinde permit development in Cameroon not expected until later in 2013 C Key Facts Berantai oil & gas field, Malaysia Petrofac is leading the fast-track development of the Berantai field for PETRONAS The contract was signed in January 2011 The Berantai partners are Petrofac and SapuraKencana Petroleum Berhad, each having a 50% interest in the RSC The Berantai partners are developing the field and are operating the 1 st phase of the development for a period of seven years following first gas production in October 2012 Phase 1 included the installation of a wellhead platform to support the drilling of 13 wells, with the wellhead platform connected to the FPSO Berantai Subsequent phases are expected 14

Risk Service Contracts D Operational Activities Berantai oil & gas field, Malaysia The key operational activities on the Berantai project include: 2012: achievement of first gas and the drilling of the initial phase one wells (now complete) 2013: completion of the phase one drilling campaign (now complete) and commencement of approval of the second phase 2014-16: installation of the second wellhead platform and completion of the development phase Berantai full field development plan Gas export pipeline to Angsi O&G Process Utilities FPSO LQ Oil Storage WHP1 WHP2 (FUTURE) 15

Risk Service Contracts E Earnings Drivers Under the terms of the RSC, the Berantai partners receive a rate of return linked to their performance against an agreed incentive structure, including: project costs, timing to first gas and sustained gas delivery after project completion, with an ongoing incentive structure based on operational uptime The net income profile shows an increasing earnings stream from the early stages of the project onwards, determined by: The quantum of the development expenditure The Internal Rate Return (IRR) earned on that development expenditure Recognition of Phase 2 margins from late 2014/early 2015 2014 2015 Net income US$40 50m US$40 50m 16

Equity Upstream Investments A Commercial Model Under this commercial model we take a direct interest in a field via a PSC or Concession Agreement We have production and commodity price exposure Going forward, we expect to focus more on PECs and RSCs B Projects Our current portfolio includes the following contracts: Block PM304 oil field, Malaysia Chergui gas field, Tunisia Greater Stella Area oil & gas field, United Kingdom 17

Equity Upstream Investments C Key Facts Block PM304, Malaysia Petrofac has a 30% operating interest in Block PM304 The interest was acquired in 2004 and is held through a PSC Petrofac s partners in the PSC are PETRONAS (30%), KUFPEC (25%) and PetroVietnam (15%) The first phase of development on the Block was the Cendor field, which has been producing since 2006 The second phase of development involves the replacement of the existing Cendor MOPU and FSO with a FPSO and fixed wellhead structures The third phase of development is on the West Desaru fault block, and involves introducing an Early Production System to accelerate production from Block PM304 18

Equity Upstream Investments C Chergui, Tunisia Petrofac has a 45% interest in the Chergui gas field, held through a Concession Agreement The interest was obtained in 2007 from ETAP, the Tunisian national oil company, which holds the remaining 55% interest Key Facts Greater Stella Area Development, UK Upon first production Petrofac will acquire a 20% interest in the Ithaca-operated Greater Stella Area development The interest will be acquired from the other co-venturers in the development Petrofac has sold 75% of the FPF1 to Ithaca and Dyas, ahead of its deployment on the development 19

Equity Upstream Investments D Block PM304, Malaysia 2013: West Desaru completion of the early production system and achievement of first oil, which will be exported to the Cendor phase one FSO; Cendor phase two installation of the wellhead structures (now complete); Operational Activities 2014: West Desaru diversion of processed oil to the Cendor phase two FPSO PM304 full field development plan LEGEND 8 Pipeline to be installed during early production system 6 Bonded hose to be installed temporarily for early production system West Desaru New MOPU plus conductor supported wellhead Cendor Phase 1 MOPU Export pipeline Cendor Phase 1 (existing) FSO Temporary pipeline for early production system (bonded hose) CDW A & B Tie in point Cendor Phase 2 FPSO CDW C Flexible riser Flexible riser to be installed at later stage 20

Equity Upstream Investments D Chergui, Tunisia 2012: drilling of two wells to maintain plateau (now complete) Operational Activities Greater Stella Area Development, UK 2012-15: completion of modification and upgrade of the FPF1; establishment of commerciality of Hurricane based on outcome of appraisal well (successful appraisal well drilled in 2012) and commencement of production from the Greater Stella Area 21

Equity Upstream Investments E Earnings Drivers The below table shows our projection for net annual production and net income per barrel on Block PM304, the Chergui field and the Greater Stella Area development taken in aggregate 2014 2015 Net annual production (mmboe) 3.4 5.0 4.5 6.0 Net profit after tax per barrel at US$100/bbl oil price US$25 US$25 Oil price sensitivity: broadly -US$4 net profit per barrel for every -US$10 per barrel in oil price over 2014-2015 and +US$5 net profit per barrel for every +US$10 per barrel in oil price over 2014-2015 22