Capability in Complexity SHOAL-REPORT J590

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Transcription:

Capability in Complexity SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590

From Aerospace Futures to Employed (and back again) Nikita Sardesai & John Furness 13 July 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590

Overview Introductions and our experience Who is Shoal & what we do Systems Engineering Life Advice Model-Based Systems Engineering Modelling, Simulation and Analysis Research and Development Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590 3

Company Overview SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590

Our people Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590 5

Aerospace Futures alums Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590 6

Our culture Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590 7

What we do Shoal is a systems engineering firm, based in Australia and USA. Capability Design Modelling Simulation & Analysis Model-Based Systems Engineering Research & Development Systems Engineering Training Conceptual Design Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590 8

Systems Engineering Capability SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590

Holistic system view The ideal missile design from the viewpoint of various specialists Source: Systems Engineering Principles and Practice, Kossiakoff et al. 2011 Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590 10

Concept development focus Our area of focus Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590 11

Conceptual design examples at Shoal Ground Based Air and Missile Defence Fire and Emergency Services Future Submarine & Frigate Counter Improvised- Explosive Devices Land Combat Vehicle System Defensive cyber operations Future joint space/cyber concepts Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590 12

influences Legislation / Regulation Capability Viewpoint generates Public Perception influences shapes shapes Enterprise Strategy documents documents guides Strategic Guidance Mandate guides guides Fire Department Business Requirements Database defines Project Management Module manages manages Projects Viewpoint Fire & Emergency Events responds to guides guides responsible for develops accomplished by Project Fire Capability Project Activity achieved by Operational Viewpoint defines supplied by Integrated Systems Viewpoint Enterprise Strategy Scenario decomposed by Operational Activity inputs / outputs Operational Item transfers performs Operational Interface Role results in Limitation (Constraint) results in responsible for constrains Critical Operational Issue refines Organization Operational / End-user Need refines enabled by basis of Measure of Effectiveness Functionality specified by performs Requirement specified by Capability Element connected to Interface People Assets Information Technology Knowledge Governance & Accountability guides refines guides refines guides refines guides refines guides refines guides refines People Plan Capital Asset Plan Capital Works Plan IT Plan Operating Procedures Governance Plan refined by Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590 13

Modelling, Simulation and Analysis SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590

Range Safety Template Toolkit ARAAM air-to-air missile JASSM cruise missile JAXA Hyabusa spacecraft return HIFiRE hypersonic test flights DT893 space launches FZ-90 70mm rocket Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590 15

Model development Engine performance - Thrust profile - Mass profile Failure modes - Reliability / Failure probabilities - Vehicle response to failure - Breakup characteristics Mission concept - Event sequence & timing - Launch azimuth, elevation & altitude Aerodynamics - Aerodynamic coefficients Geometry & mass properties - Masses - Center of graviities - Moments of Inertia Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590 16

17 Two-stage ballistic rocket Monte Carlo simulation Typical computational statistics: 16 million simulation runs 80 million debris impacts Three calendar days for computer runs, plus post-processing SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590

Weapon fly-out: no failure Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590 18

Weapon fly-out: fin failure, mid-flight Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590 19

Weapon fly-out: fin failure, end-flight Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590 20

Ground impact points to PDF Kernel Density Estimation Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590 21

Safety Products Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590 22

Target(s) Flight vehicle modelling Roll Law Trajectory Shaping Airframe Characteristics Wind Motor Seeker and Filter Homing Law Autopilot Control Surfaces Aerodynamics Thrust Vector Control Force Summer Vertical Launch Uplink Decoder Inertial Navigation System Accelerometer Rate Gyroscopes Dynamics Fuze Umbilical Decoder Weapon / Air Vehicle Warhead & Lethality Fire Control System Launch Rail/Tube Observers Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590 23

Research & Development SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590

Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590 25

Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590 26

Design Visualisation Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590 27

Systems Engineering Life Advice SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590

Practical systems engineering Take a holistic approach Define the problem first Develop your solution Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590 29

Practical systems engineering Take a holistic approach Define the problem first Develop your solution context requirements interfaces continuous V&V Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590 30

Practical systems engineering Take a holistic approach Define the problem first Develop your solution determine project scope verification & validation requirements expected system behaviour develop system architecture to support behaviour Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590 31

Practical systems engineering Take a holistic approach Define the problem first Develop your solution Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590 32

Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590 33

Questions and Comments Nikita Sardesai John Furness SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590

309 Angas Street Adelaide SA 5000 Tel: +61 2 6239 4288 support@shoalgroup.com www.shoalgroup.com Adelaide Canberra New York Sydney SHOAL-REPORT-599-2017-J590