Reliability Data Collection and Analysis

Reliability Data Collection and Analysis

EURO COURSES A series devoted to the publication of courses and educational seminars organized by the Joint Research Centre Ispra, as part of its education and training program. Published for the Commission of the European Communities, Directorate General Telecommunications, Information Industries and Innovation, Scientific and Technical Communications Service. The EUROCOURSES consist of the following subseries: - Advanced Scientific Techniques - Chemical and Environmental Science - Energy Systems and Technology - Environmental Impact Assessment - Health Physics and Radiation Protection - Computer and Information Science - Mechanical and Materials Science - Nuclear Science and Technology - Reliability and Risk Analysis - Remote Sensing - Technological Innovation RELIABILITY AND RISK ANALYSIS Volume 3 The publisher will accept continuation orders for this series which may be cancelled at any time and which provide for automatic billing and shipping of each title in the series upon publication. Please write for details.

Reliability Data Collection and Analysis Edited by J. Flamm and T. Luisi Commission of the European Communities, Joint Research Centre, Institute for Systems Engineering and Informatics, lspra, Italy SPRINGER-SCIENCE+BUSINESS MEDIA, B.V.

Publication arrangements by Commission of the European Communities Directorate-General Telecommunications, lnformation Industrias and lnnovation, Scientific and Technical Communication Unit, Luxembourg EUR 14205 1992 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht Originally published by Kluwer Academic Publishers in 1992 Softcover reprint of the hardcover 1st edition 1992 LEGAL NOTICE Neither the Commission of the European Communities nor any person acting on behalf of the Commission is responsible for the use which might be made of the following information. ISBN 978-94-010-5075-3 ISBN 978-94-011-2438-6 (ebook) DOI 10.1007/978-94-011-2438-6 Ali Rights Reserved No part of the material protected by this copyright notice may be reproduced or utilized in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording or by any information storage and retrieval system, without written permission from the copyright owner.

CONTENTS Preface List of Contributors vii ix 1. Presentation of EuReDatA. H. Procaccia 2. Needs and use of data collection and analysis. H.l. Wingender 15 3. Reliability - availability - maintainability - definitions. Objectives of data collection and analysis. A. Lannoy 45 4. Inventory and failure data. T.R. Moss 61 5. Reliability data collection and its quality control. T.R. Moss 73 6. FACTS - a data base for industrial safety. L.l.B. Koehorst 89 7. Reliability data collection system in the telecommunication field. N. Garnier 105 8. The Component Event Data Bank - A tool for collecting and organizing information on NPPs component behaviour. s. Balestreri 125 9. Prediction of flow availability for offshore oil production platforms. G.F. Cammack 145 10. An analysis of accidents with casualties in the chemical industry based on the historical facts. L.l.B. Koehorst 161 11. Systematic analysis and feedback of plant disturbance data. K. Laakso, P. Pyy and A. Lyytikainen 181 12. Procedures for using expert judgment in risk analysis. R.M. Cooke 193

vi 13. On the combination of evidence in various mathematical frameworks. D. Dubois and H. Prade 14. Failure rate estimation based on data from different environments and with varying quality. S. Lydersen and M. Rausand 15. Operation data banks at EDF. L. Piepszownik and H. Procaccia 213 243 257 16. RCM - Closing the loop between design and operation reliability. H. Sandtorv and M. Rausand 17. EuReDatA benchmark exercise on data analysis. A. Besi 18. Demonstration of failure data bank, failure data analysis, reliability parameter bank and data retrieval. R. Leicht and H.J. Wingender 265 283 299

PREFACE The ever increasing public demand and the setting-up of national and international legislation on safety assessment of potentially dangerous plants require that a correspondingly increased effort be devoted by regulatory bodies and industrial organisations to collect reliability data in order to produce safety analyses. Reliability data are also needed to assess availability of plants and services and to improve quality of production processes, in particular, to meet the needs of plant operators and/or designers regarding maintenance planning, production availability, etc. The need for an educational effort in the field of data acquisition and processing has been stressed within the framework of EuReDatA, an association of organisations operating reliability data banks. This association aims to promote data exchange and pooling of data between organisations and to encourage the adoption of compatible standards and basic definitions for a consistent exchange of reliability data. Such basic definitions are considered to be essential in order to improve data quality. To cover issues directly linked to the above areas ample space is devoted to the definition of failure events, common cause and human error data, feedback of operational and disturbance data, event data analysis, lifetime distributions, cumulative distribution functions, density functions, Bayesian inference methods, multivariate analysis, fuzzy sets and possibility theory, etc. Improving the coherence of data entries in the widest possible sense is paramount to the usefulness of such data banks for safety analysts, operators, legislators as much as designers and it is hoped that in this context the present collection of state-of-the-art presentations can stimulate further refinements in the many areas of application. T. LUISI G. VOLTA vii

LIST OF CONTRIBUTORS S. BALESTRERI CEC, JRC Ispra, Institute of Systems Engineering and Informatics SER Division, 1-21020 Ispra (VA) G.F. CAMMACK British Petrolium International Ltd, Britannic House, Moor Lane London EC2Y 9BU, UK R.M.COOKE Dept. of Mathematics and Informatics, Delft University of Technology P.O. Box 5031, NL-2600 GA Delft, The Netherlands D. DUBOIS Inst. de Recherche en Informatique de Toulouse Universite Paul Sabatier 118 route de Narbonne, F-31062 Toulouse Cedex N.GARNIER Centre National d'etudes des Telecommunications B.P.40, F-22301 Lannion U.B. KOEHORST TNO, Div. of Technology for Society, Dept. of Industrial Safety P.O. Box 342, NL-7300 AH Apeldorn K. LAAKSO Technical Research Centre of Finland (VTTISAH), Laboratory of Electrical Engineering and Automation Technology, SF-021SO Espoo, Finland A.LANNOY EDF - Group Retour d'experience, Dept. REME 25, allee privee, Carrefour Pleyel, F-93206 Saint-Denis Cedex 1 S. LYDERSEN SINTEF, Division of Safety and Reliability N-7034 Trondheim, Norway A. L YYTIKAINEN Technical Research Centre of Finland (VTT/SAH), Laboratory of Electrical Engineering and Automation Technology, SF-021SO Espoo, Finland T.R. MOSS R.M. Consultants Ltd, Suite 7, Hitching Court, Abingdon Business Park Abingdon, Oxon OX141RA, UK H. PROCACCIA EDF, Direction des Etudes et Recherches, Dept. REME, 25, allee privee, Carrefour Pleyel, F-93206 Saint-Denis Cedex 1 ix

x P. pyy Technical Research Centre of Finland (VITIS.AH), Laboratory of Electrical Engineering and Automation Technology, SF-021 SO Espoo, Finland M. RAUSAND Norwegian Institute of Technology, Division of Machine Design N-7034 Trondheim, Norway H.A. SANDTORV SINTEF, Division of Safety and Reliability N-7034 Trondheim, Norway H.J. WING ENDER NUKEM GmbH, P.O. Box 13 13 D(W)-Alzenau, F.R.G.