Net Lease Investment Outlook

Similar documents
Life Sciences. An evolving industry: Today s clusters creating tomorrow s breakthroughs. New Jersey JLL Research

Life Sciences Outlook. Westchester County 2016

Life Sciences Outlook. New York City 2016

Life Sciences. An evolving industry: Today s clusters creating tomorrow s breakthroughs. Long Island JLL Research

Midwest Capital Markets. Capital Markets Overview. Invested

Life Sciences Outlook. Long Island 2016

Life Sciences Outlook

Life Sciences Outlook

Finance. Midwest Capital Markets

Portland State of the Market 2016

SOLAR. Representing clients across the renewable energy industry. Troutman Sanders LLP. troutman.com

Overview of Venture Equity

STATE OF THE U.S. SALE LEASEBACK MARKET Year in Review

Dollar Tree for Sale N. Monroe St. Tallahassee, FL

KOLSRUD INVESTMENT SERVICES TEAM. Colliers International Minneapolis-St. Paul

Private Equity Market Update. February 2013

LEASE RATES UP 5.5%; WAREHOUSE VACANCY 2.9%

2016 CHINA-US INBOUND INVESTMENT CAPITAL WATCH

W H AT W E D O SPONSORS. Contents INVESTMENT TERMS SENIOR MANAGEMENT

Dollar Tree for Sale N. Monroe St. Tallahassee, FL

Dollar Tree for Sale N. Monroe St. Tallahassee, FL. Representative Photo

TEAM CAPABILITIES MUMBAI DELHI (NCR) BANGALORE KOLKATA INDIA

Growth and Complexity of Real Estate

VACANCY DECREASES TO 3.4%; RENTS UP 3.5%

Silicon Valley Venture Capital Survey Second Quarter 2018

NORTH AUSTIN II WILKE LANE PFLUGERVILLE, TX 78660

2013 venture capital trends summary

Britco Group. Transaction snapshot

Convene and RXR Realty Partner to Bring Premier Meeting Lounge, Event Space and Workplace Hospitality Services to Newly Renovated 237 Park Avenue

Real Estate Joint Ventures & Equity Investment

KOHLBERG CAPITAL CORPORATION. May 2007

KKR & Co. L.P. Morgan Stanley Financials Conference: June 13, 2018

The Changing Landscape of Commercial Real Estate Finance

Israel Venture Capital Investments Report Q3 2017

Medtech Slowdown. Life sciences venture capital funding lagged behind other industries, declining 10% in 4Q13 and 1% in 2013 over last year

Venture Capital Industry Overview. Powered By:

4 th Quarter Earnings Conference Call

KKR & Co. L.P. Goldman Sachs U.S. Financial Services Conference: December 6, 2017

Energy MLP Strategy. PORTFOLIO MANAGER COMMENTARY Fourth Quarter Key Takeaways

OFFERING MEMORANDUM. WALMART 2640 Crossing Circle, Traverse City, MI ROBERT BENDER KEVIN J. BAKER DANIEL H.

OFFERING MEMORANDUM ContMid Group Industrial Portfolio Sale Leaseback OFFERING MEMORANDUM CONTMID GROUP PORTFOLIO SALE LEASEBACK 1

Dropbox, Inc. signed a 736,000 SF lease in San Francisco s Mission Bay making it the single largest lease in the city s history.

Silicon Valley Venture Capital Survey Third Quarter 2017

PitchBook. Bet ter Data. Bet ter Decisions. 4Q 2012 Private Equity. Company Inventory. Report. Sponsored by:

S E C O N D Q U A R T E R

1h Fenwick. Trends in Terms of U.S. Life Science Venture Financings. First Half fenwick & west llp

Co C m o pa p n a y n Pr P o r f o il i e l Nove v mb m e b r r

AT&T Strip Center for Sale Value-Add Opportunity Whiskey Rd. Aiken, SC

The Tribeca Group at Morgan Stanley Smith Barney

1Q Leasing Activity 6,000,000 5,000,000 4,000,000 3,000,000 2,000,000 $25 1,000,000 $24 (1,000,000)

AT&T Strip Center for Sale 100% Leased Whiskey Rd. Aiken, SC

261 Gorham Road South Portland, ME Company Profile

PRIVATE CLIENT INVESTMENT REPORT

AFTER NEARLY 3 YEARS OF STEADY GROWTH, U.S. VENTURE INVESTMENT PULLS BACK 7% IN 1 ST QUARTER TO $6.84 BILLION

PARK ,270 SF AVAILABLE FOR LEASE EXIT 8A - NJ TURNPIKE/I-95 UNDER CONSTRUCTION 3-BUILDING MASTER-PLANNED INDUSTRIAL PARK

F O U R T H Q U A R T E R

Do Mid-Cap Private Equity Funds Have an Advantage in Today s Markets?

Mergers and Acquisitions/ Private Equity. Providing In-Depth Deal Coverage for Buyers, Sellers, and Investors. Attorney Advertising

Textron Reports Second Quarter 2014 Income from Continuing Operations of $0.51 per Share, up 27.5%; Revenues up 23.5%

West Los Angeles Office Market Report

PART 2B FORM ADV. Updated November 4, 2015 LASALLE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, INC. 333 WEST WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 2300 CHICAGO, ILLINOIS 60606

NEW GENERATION OF VCs LEADS STARTUP CEOs BACK TO THE FOLD

Venture Capital Report

2018 PHILADELPHIA VENTURE REPORT

4 th Quarter Earnings Conference Call

Company Portrait Berlin, July 2014

Michael Klump Chairman and Co-founder

2 nd Quarter Earnings Conference Call

Helping People Worldwide Build their Financial Security

OFFERING MEMORANDUM Long Term Office & Warehouse Sale Leaseback OFFERING MEMORANDUM CIVITAS SALE LEASEBACK PORTFOLIO 1

April 25, Page 1 of 5. Michael R. Bellora Deputy Treasurer, Fixed Income Investor Relations and Banking

PACIFIC CENTER COURT. san diego, california EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AN EXCEPTIONAL REPOSITIONING OPPORTUNITY

Textron Reports Third Quarter 2014 Income from Continuing Operations of $0.57 per Share, up 62.9%; Revenues up 18.1%

The percentage of Series A rounds declined significantly, to 12% of all deals.

KKR and FS Investments Form Strategic BDC Partnership Creates the Leading $18BN Alternative Lending Platform. December 2017

4 th Quarter Earnings Conference Call

Master Class : Excellence in Private Equity & Deal Structuring

David served several years on the firm's Executive Committee and as one of the firm's first Co- Chairs of its Real Estate Group.

An Experienced Approach to Private Equity

Small Business Investment Companies

Chicago CBD 4.1% 10,900 Jobs 113,866 SF 2.5 MSF. 10 Transactions. Market Facts. Economic Overview. Third Quarter 2018 Office Market Report

Walgreens KINSON RUSSO NET LEASED TEAM. Joseph F. Russo

Colliers International Real Estate Trends2018

Invesco Real Estate signs six leases at 179 Lincoln totaling 70,000 s/f - Lyne and Howe of CBRE/New England represent the landlord

LEHIGH VALLEY COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE REPORT OFFICE & INDUSTRIAL MARKETS

3Q13. Trends in Terms of Venture Financings in Silicon Valley. Third Quarter Fenwick. fenwick & west llp

Approach A Solution-Oriented Perspective

ROSE GARDEN MEDICAL PLAZA University Blvd., Jacksonville, FL 32216

Blake Baird Chairman & Chief Executive Officer Terreno Realty Corp

Daniel Bothe

M&A Update 1H Proven. Focused. Trusted. Accounts Receivable Management Healthcare IT Revenue Cycle Management

1 st Quarter Earnings Conference Call

EQUITY STRUCTURES FOR HIGH GROWTH ENTREPRENEURIAL VENTURES

YEAR IN REVIEW G O L F & R E S O R T P R O P E R T I E S

Michael Klump Chairman and Co-founder

Intellectual Ventures

The Future of Growth and the Energy Industry

TECH START-UP CONNECTING ACROSS GEOGRAPHIES

Columbia University MsRED Career Development Program

Contact: Greg A. Smith Katja Gehrt Marshall & Ilsley Corporation Warburg Pincus

Transcription:

United States H1 2018 JLL Research Report Net Lease Investment Outlook First half of 2018 outperforms but overall selectivity prevails

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Net lease transaction volume (billions $US) Transactions Top transactions what s happening and where 2 Investment Outlook United States Net Lease H1 2018 Overall Net Lease $23.7 Net Lease Industrial $11.2 Net Lease Office $7.6 6.5% Net Lease Retail $4.9 6.1% Net lease transaction volumes soften by 5.7 percent in H1 2018, with liquidity underpinned by industrial trades Overall net lease sales volumes for H1 2018 totaled $23.7 billion, marking a 5.7 percent decrease from volumes recorded in the first half of 2017. The year-over-year change mirrors combined capital markets activity across office, industrial, and retail assets as a whole. In the first half of 2018, sale leasebacks accounted for 14.4 percent of transactions by volume, or $4.1 billion, and remain a driving force of activity. Among the largest sale leaseback transactions thus far in 2018 are a Supervalu portfolio of eight distribution centers, an Albertsons portfolio spanning 23 assets, and 3M Company s campus. Net lease transactions market remains active $60.0 $50.0 $40.0 $30.0 $20.0 $10.0 $0.0 Q4 Q2 Source: JLL Research, Real Capital Analytics (transactions larger than $5.0 million, includes entity-level transactions) Q3 Q1

3 Outlook United States Net Lease H1 2018 MarketsInvestment Notable net lease transactions Office Market Property Buyer Price ($) Size (s.f.) Price (p.s.f.) New York NYU Langone Medical Center Commerz Real $332,500,000 386,000 $860 Los Angeles 2230 East Imperial Hwy Swift Realty Partners $167,500,000 562,264 $296 New York 430 West 15th Street Invesco $158,500,000 93,119 $1,702 Boston 300 Massachusetts Avenue Forest City / Madison International $134,384,328 245,000 $1,119 Industrial Market Property Buyer Price ($) Size (s.f.) Price (p.s.f.) Columbus Duke Realty (4 Buildings) Granite REIT $232,500,000 3,806,420 $61 Los Angeles Supervalu Distribution Center Rexford Industrial REIT $121,000,000 693,282 $175 Los Angeles 20333 South Normandie Avenue Morgan Stanley $102,500,000 512,490 $200 South Bay-Silicon Valley Orchard 611 Gaw Capital $93,500,000 206,488 $453 Retail Market Property Buyer Price ($) Size (s.f.) Price (p.s.f.) Silicon Valley Macy's SARES-REGIS Group / Hunter Storm $95,000,000 177,000 $537 New York Chanel Chanel $81,466,435 54,888 $1,485 All Others Marketplace at Hamden Wilder Cos / Silverpeak RE Partners $55,000,000 234,510 $235 New York AMC Ashkenazy Acquisition $53,000,000 42,713 $1,241 Primary markets accounted for 36.7 percent of net lease transactions in the first half of 2018, representing the lowest share in recent years. The proportion of activity in secondary and tertiary markets rose, signaling a shift in buyer preference towards higheryield markets. For the first time this cycle, the industrial sector accounted for a greater share of net lease transactions activity than the office sector. Flush with investor interest, transactions volumes in the industrial sector rose by 46.1 percent from H1 2017. At the same time, the office and retail sectors posted year-over-year declines in transaction volumes. Primary markets continue to account for smaller share of investment volumes as investors seek higher-yielding assets H1 2018 2017 2016 2015 36.7% 39.7% 40.7% 39.9% 33.8% 30.8% 33.1% 32.2% 29.4% 29.5% 2 27.9% 0.0% 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% 80.0% 100.0% Primary Secondary Tertiary Source: JLL Research, Real Capital Analytics (transactions larger than $5.0 million, includes entity-level transactions)

Net lease acquisitions (as a % of total) 4 Investment Outlook United States Net Lease H1 2018 capital Sources of Private investors remain the most active buyer group of net lease acquisitions in the first half of 2018; offshore activity ticks up after a slow first quarter Investment from private investors remains the most prominent source of liquidity, accounting for 37.9 percent of transaction volumes, the highest proportion this cycle. The ongoing opportunity for 1031 tax exchange transactions, an overall increase in capital allocation, and private investors abilities to nimbly place capital are the main drivers behind this uptick in activity. Purchases by REITs continue to mark declines following outlier years from 2013 to 2015, but full-year acquisition targets are healthy for 2018. Foreign investment has bounced back since the first quarter of 2018 and is in line with recent annual averages. In total, 10.4% of transactions by volume during the first half of 2018 were completed by foreign buyers. Canada leads the pack with volumes summing $854.3 in the first half, Singapore follows suit with $491.1 million in net lease acquisitions, while Germany is a close third with $419.5 million of transactions. These acquisitions predominantly consisted of industrial portfolios in secondary and tertiary markets. Net lease assets often represent offshore investors first foray outside of primary markets given the relative security of income. Private buyers are driving net lease liquidity as selectivity is impacting institutional buyers; offshore interest holding steady 100.0% 80.0% 60.0% 40.0% 20.0% 0.0% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 H1 2018 Institution-Advisor REIT-REOC User-Other Private Foreign Source: JLL Research, Real Capital Analytics (transactions larger than $5.0 million; includes entity-level transactions)

Average net lease cap rate (%) 5 Investment Outlook United States Net Lease H1 2018 risk Sources of Cap rates for net lease transactions overall hold steady in the first half of 2018 Capitalization rates for net lease transactions overall during the first six months of 2018 held steady on levels recorded during 2017. Industrial cap rates compressed by 20 basis points. With the number of active investors seeking industrial assets perpetually rising, the competition to acquire assets continues to drive valuations. Office pricing was within ten basis points of the levels seen last year, while retail pricing widened by approximately 30 basis points on average nationally. Compressed cap rates are intensifying the search for yield. This is taking capital deeper into secondary and tertiary markets and spurring a reevaluation of risk strategies. There is a heightened focus on critical-use assets with strong rent growth, but somewhat more flexibility on lease term, credit quality, and location. Investors will remain attracted to the sector given net lease s bond-like returns and favorable long-term performance. Amid a healthy and steady economic outlook, cautious optimism is the prevailing sentiment. Industrial cap rates continue to tighten while retail pricing marks softening 9.0% 8.0% Overall Office Industrial Retail YOY Change Flat -10 bps -20 bps +30 bps 7.0% 6.0% 5.0% 4.0% 10-Year Treasury (%) Net lease industrial Overall net lease Net lease office Net lease retail 6.5% 6.1% 3.0% 2.8% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 H1 2018 Source: JLL Research, Real Capital Analytics (transactions larger than $5.0 million, includes entity-level transactions)

Investor Research: Sean Coghlan Senior Director +1 215 988 5556 sean.coghlan@am.jll.com Lauro Ferroni Director +1 312 228 2566 lauro.ferroni@am.jll.com Office: Industrial: Multifamily: Retail: David Hoebbel +1 312 228 3017 david.hoebbel@am.jll.com Peter Kroner +1 312 228 2744 peter.kroner@am.jll.com Sean Kane +1 206 971 7010 sean.kane@am.jll.com Arielle Einhorn +1 312 228 3466 arielle.einhorn@am.jll.com Net Lease: Hotels: Debt & Equity: Anthony Josipovic +1 312 228 3787 lauro.ferroni@am.jll.com Geraldine Guichardo Ronak Sheth +1 312 228 2107 +1 312 228 3471 geraldine.guichardo@am.jll.comronak.sheth@am.jll.com About JLL About JLL Research JLL (NYSE: JLL) is a leading professional services firm that specializes in real estate and investment management. A Fortune 500 company, JLL helps real estate owners, occupiers and investors achieve their business ambitions. In 2017, JLL had revenue of $7.9 billion and fee revenue of $6.7 billion; managed 4.6 billion square feet, or 423 million square meters; and completed investment sales, acquisitions and finance transactions of approximately $170 billion. At the end of 2017, JLL had nearly 300 corporate offices, operations in over 80 countries and a global workforce of 82,000. As of December 31, 2017, LaSalle had $58.1 billion of real estate assets under management. JLL is the brand name, and a registered trademark, of Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated. For further information, visit www.jll.com. JLL (NYSE: JLL) is a leading professional services firm that specializes in real estate and investment management. Our vision is to reimagine the world of real estate, creating rewarding opportunities and amazing spaces where people can achieve their ambitions. In doing so, we will build a better tomorrow for our clients, our people and our communities. JLL is a Fortune 500 company with nearly 300 corporate offices, operations in over 80 countries and a global workforce of 83,500 as of March 31, 2018. JLL is the brand name, and a registered trademark, of Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated. For further information, visit jll.com. 2018 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved. All information contained herein is from sources deemed reliable; however, no representation or warranty is made to the accuracy thereof.