VIETNAM PULP AND PAPER INDUSTRY REPORT Q2/2018

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1 VIETNAM PULP AND PAPER INDUSTRY REPORT Q2/2018 1

2 Table of contents Content Page Content Page Abbreviations Paper 25 Summary Production Business environment Consumption Macroeconomic situation Import - Export Legal framework The pulp and paper industry in some countries The world pulp and paper industry The pulp and paper industry in Vietnam Pulp History of formation and development Production Pulp Consumption Production Import - Export Consumption Import 57 2

3 Table of contents Content Page Content Page 3.3. Paper Enterprise analysis Production Introduction of enterprises Consumption Indicators of business results Export Indicators of finance Import Indicators of performance efficiency Overview of the industry Competitiveness analysis Planning 75 3

4 Abbreviations Abbreviations AEC ASEAN Economic Community GDVC General Department of Vietnam Customs CAGR Compound Annual Growth Rate GSO General Statistics Office (of Vietnam) CEPI Confederation of European Paper Industry JPA Japan Paper Association CPA China Paper Association MFN Most Favored Nation CPTPP The Comprehensive and Progressive agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership RISI Resource Information Systems Inc. (an information port of pulp and paper industry) FAO Food and Agriculture Organization SBV State Bank of Vietnam GDP Gross Domestic Product VPPA Vietnam Pulp and Paper Association 4

5 Summary Produced pulp volume in the world reached million tons in 2017 Produced paper volume in the world was nearly 432 million tons in 2017 In the 1 st quarter of 2018, export value of pulp and paper of Vietnam was million USD In 2017, the number of consumed pulp increased by 11.2% to 171,319 tons in comparison with that in 2016, Pulp import is forecast to be the main trend of manufacturers in the paper industry 5

6 Summary From 2011 to 2017, the production of paper grew at the CAGR of 6.62%. In the 1 st quarter of 2018, the quantity of produced paper reached approximately 889 thousand tons. Paper consumption in Vietnam market has been rapidly increasing at the average rate of 7.37% per year between 2011 and 2017 The number of exported paper of Vietnam in Q1/2018 was about 51 thousand tons which valued million USD, increasing by 48.2% compared with the same period of

7 Table of contents 1. Business environment 1.1 Macroeconomic situation 1.2 Legal framework 7

8 1. Business environment 1.1 Macroeconomic situation gross domestic product in the 1st quarter of 2018 was estimated to increase by 7.38% compared with the same period of 2017 GDP growth, Q1/2018 According to reports by General Statistics Office (GSO), the production index of processing and manufacturing industry in Q1/2018 increased by 113.8% in comparison with the same period of 2017 % Source: VIRAC, GSO Production index of processing and manufacturing industry, Q1/2018 Source: VIRAC, GSO 8

9 1. Business environment 1.1 Macroeconomic situation Average interest rate has tended to decrease since 2011 Average interest rate, Q1/2018 Source: VIRAC, NFSC Export value of Vietnam in Q1/2018 was estimated to reach 55 billion USD Proportion of the contribution of pulp and paper industry to Vietnam s export value, Q1/2018 Import Export value of Vietnam in Q1/2018 was about 52.8 billion USD Source: VIRAC collects 9

10 1. Business environment 1.1 Macroeconomic situation The VND/USD exchange rate is quite stable and still supported by a plentiful supply of foreign currencies The VND/USD exchange rate, 2015-Q1/2018 Source: VIRAC, NHNN The VND/CNY exchange rate, 2016-Q1/2018 Source: VIRAC collects 10

11 1. Business environment 1.1 Macroeconomic situation The young population structure creates a potential environment for the development of the paper industry million people Vietnam s population and population structure in workforce, Source: VIRAC, GSO Report on socio-economic situation in 2017 by the General Statistics Office revealed that total revenue of services and goods retails was about 3,934.2 trillion VND The current positive status of services and goods business has positively impacted the paper and pulp demand 11

12 Table of contents 1. Business environment 1.1 Macroeconomic situation 1.2 Legal framework 12

13 1. Business environment 1.2 Legal framework Group of regulations on pulp and paper business and production No. Scrap HS code 13

14 1. Business environment 1.2 Legal framework 14

15 1. Business environment 1.2 Legal framework 15

16 1. Business environment 1.2 Legal framework Allowable imported scrap Fee (thousand VND/ profile) 16

17 1. Business environment 1.2 Legal framework Energy rated consumption for paper products until the end of 2020 No Product Capacity (ton year) Rate (MJ/ton) 17

18 1. Business environment 1.2 Legal framework Group of regulations on import taxes of pulp and paper industry 18

19 Table of contents 2. The world pulp and paper industry 2.1 Pulp Production Consumption Pulp trade 2.2 Paper Production Consumption Paper trade 2.3 The pulp and paper industry in some countries 19

20 2. The world pulp and paper industry 2.1 Pulp Production World pulp output quantity reached million tons in 2017, increasing by 3.1 million tons which was equal to 2.0% growth in comparison with the year 2016 million tons World pulp output quantity, f Structure of pulp production by country, 2017e The United States has the world s highest output quantity Source: VIRAC, FAO Source: VIRAC, FAO 20

21 Table of contents 2. The world pulp and paper industry 2.1 Pulp Production Consumption Pulp trade 2.2 Paper Production Consumption Paper trade 2.3 The pulp and paper industry in some countries 21

22 2. The world pulp and paper industry 2.1 Pulp Consumption The number of pulp consumption over the world in 2017 was 178 million tons, decreasing by 1 million ton which was equal to 0.6% decline in comparison with the year 2016 million tons World pulp consumption by type, e Source: VIRAC, CEPI Structure of world consumption by region, 2016e Asia is the world s largest consumer of pulp with the consumption of 60.8 million tons (2016) Source: VIRAC, CEPI 22

23 Table of contents 2. The world pulp and paper industry 2.1 Pulp Production Consumption Pulp trade 2.2 Paper Production Consumption Paper trade 2.3 The pulp and paper industry in some countries 23

24 2. The world pulp and paper industry 2.1 Pulp Pulp trade World pulp export - import, Top 10 countries that have the highest pulp import, Unit: million tons Growth Content is intentionally Source: VIRAC, Trademap removed for demo purpose Source: VIRAC, Uncomtrade The world pulp import value in 2017 experienced fairly marked growth main reasons: The world pulp import and export increased in 2017 thanks to 2 24

25 Table of contents 2. The world pulp and paper industry 2.1 Pulp Production Consumption Pulp trade 2.2 Paper Production Consumption Paper trade 2.3 The pulp and paper industry in some countries 25

26 2. The world pulp and paper industry 2.2 Paper Production World paper output quantity experienced a continuous increase with CAGR of 1.6% from 2012 to 2017 million tons World paper output quantity, e Top 10 leading countries in paper production output, 2016e Source: VIRAC, RISI, CEPI The world s largest paper manufacturer is China with paper output of million tons, followed by the United States with 77.7 million tons, and next by Japan with 26.1 million tons (2016) Source: VIRAC collects 26

27 2. The world pulp and paper industry 2.2 Paper Production Paperboard and packaging paper World output quantity of paperboard and packaging paper, e Source: VIRAC, RISI Structure of world production of paperboard and packaging paper, 2016e Source: VIRAC collects 27

28 2. The world pulp and paper industry 2.2 Paper Production Tissue paper Global tissue paper output quantity, e Global output quantity of tissue papers, by type, e Source: VIRAC collects Source: VIRAC collects 28

29 2. The world pulp and paper industry 2.2 Paper Production Market shares of the world supplies of tissue papers, 2016e Source: VIRAC, Papnews 29

30 2. The world pulp and paper industry 2.2 Paper Production Newspaper and printing paper 30

31 Table of contents 2. The world pulp and paper industry 2.1 Pulp Production Consumption Pulp trade 2.2 Paper Production Consumption Paper trade 2.3 The pulp and paper industry in some countries 31

32 2. The world pulp and paper industry 2.2 Paper Consumption The 5-year period between 2012 and 2016 witnessed a gradual growth of the global paper consumption. Global paper consumption by region, e Paper consumption was nearly 414 million tons in 2016, increasing 3 million tons in comparison with the year 2015 Global revenue from paper consumption, f Source: VIRAC, CEPI Source: VIRAC, Statistic 32

33 2. The world pulp and paper industry 2.2 Paper Consumption Some trends in 2018 impact the world paper: Retails: The development of the Internet: Health consciousness: Environmentally friendly products 33

34 Table of contents 2. The world pulp and paper industry 2.1 Pulp Production Consumption Pulp trade 2.2 Paper Production Consumption Paper trade 2.3 The pulp and paper industry in some countries 34

35 2. The world pulp and paper industry 2.2 Paper Paper trade billion USD World export value of paper, e in 2017, total export value of paper in the world increased to billion USD, by 5.3% compared to 2016 Structure of global paper export by type, 2017e Source: VIRAC, Trademap In 2017, paperboard and packaging paper were the most exported products, accounting for 52.5% of total paper export value over the world. Source: VIRAC, Trademap 35

36 2. The world pulp and paper industry 2.2 Paper Paper trade Top 10 countries that have the highest paper export value, 2017e Top 10 countries that have the highest paper import value, 2017e 2016 (billion USD) 2017 (billion USD) Growth 2016 (billion USD) 2017 (billion USD) Growth Source: VIRAC, Uncomtrade Source: VIRAC, Uncomtrade 36

37 Table of contents 2. The world pulp and paper industry 2.1 Pulp Production Consumption Pulp trade 2.2 Paper Production Consumption Paper trade 2.3 The pulp and paper industry in some countries 37

38 2. The world pulp and paper industry 2.3 The pulp and paper market in some countries China China Area Area of woods Population (2016) GDP (2016) 38

39 2. The world pulp and paper industry 2.3 The pulp and paper market in some countries China s pulp output quantity by input materials, e Paper production and consumption in China, 2016e Source: VIRAC, VPPA Source: VIRAC, VPPA 39

40 2. The world pulp and paper industry 2.3 The pulp and paper market in some countries billion USD China s pulp import-export, e Source: VIRAC, Trademap billion USD China s paper import-export, e Structure of China s pulp import, 2017 Source: VIRAC, Trademap Source: VIRAC, Uncometrade 40

41 2. The world pulp and paper industry 2.3 The pulp and paper market in some countries The United States ranked 2 nd in terms of paper output quantity with million tons The United States Area Area of woods Population (2016) GDP (2016) 41

42 2. The world pulp and paper industry 2.3 The pulp and paper market in some countries The US pulp production, e million tons The US paper output quantity, e Source: VIRAC, FAO Source: VIRAC, FAO 42

43 2. The world pulp and paper industry 2.3 The pulp and paper market in some countries billion USD The US import-export value of pulp, e Top 10 countries that have the highest pulp export value to the US, 2017e Unit: USD Structure of the US pulp export by value, 2017e Source: VIRAC, Uncomtrade Growth Source: VIRAC, Uncomtrade Source: VIRAC, Uncomtrade 43

44 2. The world pulp and paper industry 2.3 The pulp and paper market in some countries Paper trade in the US, e Source: VIRAC collects 44

45 2. The world pulp and paper industry 2.3 The pulp and paper market in some countries Japan is the third largest paper producer and the 4 th largest wood pulp producer over the world Japan Area Area of woods Population (2016) GDP (2016) Output quantity of paper and paperboard in Japan, e Source: VIRAC, JPA 45

46 2. The world pulp and paper industry 2.3 The pulp and paper market in some countries billion USD Japan s pulp import-export, e thousand USD Japan s recycled paper export-import, e Source: VIRAC, Trademap Source: VIRAC, Uncomtrade 46

47 2. The world pulp and paper industry 2.3 The pulp and paper market in some countries Japan s trade of paper and paperboard, e Source: VIRAC, JPA Structure of Japan s paper import, 2017e Structure of Japan s paper export, 2017e Source: VIRAC, JPA Source: VIRAC, JPA 47

48 2. The world pulp and paper industry 2.3 The pulp and paper market in some countries Top 10 largest paper companies over the world, 2016 Year of Establishment Headquarter Revenue,2016 (billion USD) Logo Source: VIRAC collects 48

49 2. The world pulp and paper industry 2.3 The pulp and paper market in some countries 49

50 2. The world pulp and paper industry 2.3 The pulp and paper market in some countries 50

51 Table of contents 3 The paper and pulp in Vietnam 3.1 History of formation and development 3.3 Paper 3.2 Pulp Production Production Consumption Consumption Export Import Import 51

52 3. The paper and pulp in Vietnam 3.1 History of formation and development History of formation and development of paper industry Source: VIRAC tổng hợp 52

53 3. The paper and pulp in Vietnam 3.1 History of formation and development 53

54 Table of contents 3 The paper and pulp in Vietnam 3.1 History of formation and development 3.3 Paper 3.2 Pulp Production Production Consumption Consumption Export Import Import 54

55 3. The paper and pulp in Vietnam 3.2. Pulp Production tons Output quantity of Pulp, 2010 Q1/2018 Source: VIRAC, GSO 55

56 3. The paper and pulp in Vietnam 3.2. Pulp Consumption Pulp consumption by volume, 2010 Q1/2018 Revenue of pulp consumption, 2010 Q1/2018 tons million VND Source: VIRAC, GSO Source: VIRAC, GSO Domestic pulp consumption fluctuates depending on trend of pulp production. 56

57 3. The paper and pulp in Vietnam 3.2. Pulp Import thousand USD Pulp import, Vietnam s pulp import has continuously risen for 2 current years, increasing to151,720 thousand USD (2017), by 18.6% compared to the year Source: VIRAC, ITC, TRADEMAP Top 10 countries that have the highest volume of pulp imported by Vietnam, 2017 In 2017, the US was the major pulp supplier for Vietnam market with market share of 42.3% Growth Source: VIRAC, UNCOMTRADE 57

58 Table of contents 3 The paper and pulp in Vietnam 3.1 History of formation and development 3.3 Paper 3.2 Pulp Production Production Consumption Consumption Export Import Import 58

59 3. The paper and pulp in Vietnam 3.3. Paper Production tons Paper production by type, 2011 Q1/2018 Source: VIRAC, VPPA Between 2011 and 2017, paper production grew at CAGR of 6.6.2% Structure of paper production by type, Q1/2018 Source: VIRAC, VPPA 59

60 3. The paper and pulp in Vietnam 3.3. Paper Production Packaging paper: Paper for printing and writing: Tissue paper: Joss paper: Paper for newspaper printing: 60

61 3. The paper and pulp in Vietnam 3.3. Paper Consumption tons Domestically produced paper consumption, 2011 Q1/2018 Paper consumption in Vietnam market rapidly increases at the rate of 7.37% per year from 2011 to 2017 Source: VIRAC, VPPA Average paper consumption per capita in Vietnam, Average paper consumption per capita in some countries, kg per capita 2016 kg per capita Source: VIRAC, VPPA Source: paperonweb 61

62 3. The paper and pulp in Vietnam 3.3. Paper Consumption million VND Revenue from paper industry, 2010 Q1/2018 Source: VIRAC, GSO Structure of paper consumption by type, Q1/2018 Source: VIRAC, VPPA 62

63 3. The paper and pulp in Vietnam 3.3. Paper Consumption Structure of tissue paper consumption by type, 2016 Source: VIRAC tổng hợp 63

64 3. The paper and pulp in Vietnam 3.3. Paper Consumption tons Inventories of some paper products, 2010 Q1/2018 Source: VIRAC, GSO As a feature of paper industry, paper products should not be stored for a long time due to the risk of fire, mold and rottenness that reduce product quality and enterprise s activities 64

65 3. The paper and pulp in Vietnam 3.3. Paper Export Paper export, 2011 Q1/2018 tons million USD Vietnam s paper export in Q1/2018 reached nearly 51 thousand tons, which valued million USD, increasing by 48.2% compared to the same period in Source: VIRAC, VPPA, TCHQ In Q1/2018, China is still Vietnam s major importer with value of 37.4 million USD Top 10 countries that are Vietnam s major paper importers, by value Q1/2018 Source: VIRAC, TCHQ 65

66 3. The paper and pulp in Vietnam 3.3. Paper Export Contribution of FDI businesses to paper export, Source: VIRAC, TCHQ 66

67 3. The paper and pulp in Vietnam 3.3. Paper Export Export of some paper products, tons Source: VIRAC, VPPA, TCHQ 67

68 3. The paper and pulp in Vietnam 3.3. Paper Import Paper import, 2011 Q1/2018 Import of paper products, 2011 Q1/2018 million USD Source: VIRAC, VPPA, TCHQ Structure of import paper and paper products by value, Q1/2018 Source: VIRAC, VPPA, TCHQ According to General Department of Vietnam Customs (GDVC), in Q1/2018, Vietnam imported 480 thousand tons of papers, which value 437 million USD Vietnam China is the largest exporter of paper and paper products to Source: VIRAC, TCHQ 68

69 3. The paper and pulp in Vietnam 3.3. Paper Import Structure of paper import by volume, 2017 Source: VIRAC, VPPA, TCHQ 69

70 3. The paper and pulp in Vietnam 3.3. Paper Import Top largest paper import enterprises in Vietnam, Q1/2018 No. Enterprise Source: VIRAC, TCHQ 70

71 Table of contents 4 Overview of the industry 4.1 Competitiveness analysis 4.2 Planning 71

72 4. Overview of the industry 4.1. Competitiveness analysis 5-force analysis 72

73 4. Overview of the industry 4.1. Competitiveness analysis 73

74 4. Overview of the industry 4.1. Competitiveness analysis Strengths: Weaknesses: Opportunities: Threats: 74

75 Table of contents 4 Overview of the industry 4.1 Competitiveness analysis 4.2 Planning 75

76 4. Overview of the industry 4.2. Planning Target of the paper industry development until 2025 Orientation of development 76

77 4. Overview of the industry 4.2. Planning Portfolio of investment projects by period No. Project s manager Region Designed capacity (tons/year) Pulp Paper Period 77

78 4. Overview of the industry 4.2. Planning Portfolio of investment projects by period No. Project s manager Region Designed capacity (tons/year) Pulp Paper Period Source: VIRAC, Development planning of Vietnam paper industry until

79 4. Overview of the industry 4.2. Planning Criteria of designed capacity Criteria of output quantity Criterion Unit Criterion Unit Source: VIRAC, Development planning of Vietnam paper industry until

80 4. Overview of the industry 4.2. Planning Regions of growing material trees for paper production Regions (Unit: ha) Period Northwest Northeast Central Northern Central Central Coast Northern Central Highlands Southern Central Highlands Southwest Source: VIRAC, Development planning of Vietnam paper industry until

81 Table of contents 5. Enterprise analysis 5.1 Introduction of enterprises 5.2 Indicators of business results 5.3 Indicators of finance 5.4 Indicators of performance efficiency 81

82 5. Enterprise analysis 5.1 Introduction of enterprises Typical enterprises in paper and pulp industry, 2016 Enterprise Address Tax code Net revenue (million VND) Total assets (million VND) 82

83 5. Enterprise analysis 5.1 Introduction of enterprises Diana Unicharm Joint Stock Company 83

84 5. Enterprise analysis 5.1 Introduction of enterprises An Hoa Paper Joint Stock Company 84

85 5. Enterprise analysis 5.1 Introduction of enterprises Viet Hung Packaging Ltd. 85

86 5. Enterprise analysis 5.1 Introduction of enterprises Bien Hoa Packaging JSC 86

87 5. Enterprise analysis 5.1 Introduction of enterprises Sabeco Song Lam Packaging JSC 87

88 5. Enterprise analysis 5.1 Introduction of enterprises Viet Tri Paper JSC 88

89 5. Enterprise analysis 5.1 Introduction of enterprises An Binh Paper JSC 89

90 5. Enterprise analysis 5.1 Introduction of enterprises Hai Phong Stationery & Packaging Corporation 90

91 5. Enterprise analysis 5.1 Introduction of enterprises Dong Hai JSC of Ben Tre 91

92 5. Enterprise analysis 5.1 Introduction of enterprises Khatoco Printing and Packaging JSC 92

93 Table of contents 5. Enterprise analysis 5.1 Introduction of enterprises 5.2 Indicators of business results 5.3 Indicators of finance 5.4 Indicators of performance efficiency 93

94 5. Enterprise analysis 5.2 Indicators of business results billion VND Growth of net revenue, Source: VIRAC collects 94

95 5. Enterprise analysis 5.2 Indicators of business results 95

96 5. Enterprise analysis 5.2 Indicators of business results Gross profit margin, Source: VIRAC collects 96

97 5. Enterprise analysis 5.2 Indicators of business results 97

98 5. Enterprise analysis 5.2 Indicators of business results Sales expenses/ Net revenue, Source: VIRAC collects 98

99 5. Enterprise analysis 5.2 Indicators of business results Enterprise management expenses/ Net revenue, Source: VIRAC collects Financial expenses /Net revenue, Source: VIRAC collects 99

100 Table of contents 5. Enterprise analysis 5.1 Introduction of enterprises 5.2 Indicators of business results 5.3 Indicators of finance 5.4 Indicators of performance efficiency 100

101 5. Enterprise analysis 5.3 Indicators of finance Days of sales outstanding, days Source: VIRAC collects 101

102 5. Enterprise analysis 5.3 Indicators of finance Liquidity, 2016 Source: VIRAC collects Days' sales in inventory, 2016 days Source: VIRAC collects 102

103 5. Enterprise analysis 5.3 Indicators of finance Structure of Assets and Total assets turnover, 2016 Source: VIRAC collects Structure of debts and Debt/Equity ratio2016 Source: VIRAC collects 103

104 Table of contents 5. Enterprise analysis 5.1 Introduction of enterprises 5.2 Indicators of business results 5.3 Indicators of finance 5.4 Indicators of performance efficiency 104

105 5. Enterprise analysis 5.2 Indicators of performance efficiency Ratios of profitability on assets and equity, 2016 Source: VIRAC collects 105

106 REPORT DISCLAIMER Report disclaimer This document has been prepared in good faith on the basis of information available at the date of publication without any independent verification. VIRAC has produced this report for private circulation to professional clients only. All information and statistical data herein have been obtained from sources we believe to be reliable and made to ensure the accuracy of the contents of the pages of the report at the time of preparation. Such information has not been independently verified and VIRAC makes no representation or warranty, whether express or implied, of any kind with respect to the document and its contents, information and materials. The content found in this report is proprietary to VIRAC and is provided solely for your personal and non-commercial use. You agree that you will not use this report for any purpose that is unlawful and that you will not reproduce the report or redistribute it outside your organization, or place it on a website for public access without the express written permission of VIRAC. SHOULD YOU NEED ANY ASSISTANCE, PLEASE CONTACT US: VIETNAM INDUSTRY RESEARCH AND CONSULTANCY (VIRAC JSC.,) 6M h Floor, Anh Minh Building, 36 Hoang Cau, O Cho Dua, Dong Da, Hanoi, Vietnam Website: Tel:

107 Thank you!

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