LEASE RATES UP 5.5%; WAREHOUSE VACANCY 2.9%

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Irma Fowler
5 years ago
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SAN FRANCISCO INDUSTRIAL Q1 2017 MARKET SUMMARY: LEASE RATES UP 5.5%; WAREHOUSE VACANCY 2.9% The San Francisco overall industrial market ended Q1 2017 with vacancies at 3.

1 SAN FRANCISCO INDUSTRIAL Q MARKET SUMMARY: LEASE RATES UP 5.5%; WAREHOUSE VACANCY 2.9% The San Francisco overall industrial market ended Q with vacancies at 3.4% (548,790 sf negative absorption), which represents a small uptick from year end 2016 rates of 2.8%. While overall vacancy rates have increased slightly, warehouse space in San Francisco remains scarce with only a 2.9% vacancy rate. Further, according to industry data, the national industrial market has experienced 28 quarters of net occupancy gains with 1.3 billion in square feet absorbed since 2011 (Bisnow). Due to the continued lack of industrial product in San Francisco, rents continue to rise, and Q witnessed a 5.5% increase in rents over Q from $1.75 to $1.84, respectively. San Francisco Market Indicators 12-Mo Q4 16 Q1 17 Forecast Overall Vacancy 2.8% 3.4% Net Absorption SF -52K -548K Quoted Rents $1.75 $1.84 (Source: CoStar Q Market Report) Sublease vacancies also increased modestly in Q to 279,036 square feet from 217,464 square feet reported in Q Conversely, industrial sales in dollar volume increased at the close of 2016 over the previous quarter with a total volume of $51,116,000, and averaging $ per square foot, compared to $39,600,000 in revenue, and $ average per square foot in Q Yearover-year sales are were lower in 2016 than in 2015, but investors are seeing higher CAP rates averaging 6.47% in 2016 compared to the 2015 year-end average of 5.44%. While the San Francisco industrial leasing activity, as reported by CoStar, for Q decreased slightly, Calco Commercial, and other firms are reporting steady leasing activity with positive absorption rates. Calco Commercial leased several notable industrial properties in Q including: 1980 Oakdale Avenue (36,400+/- sf), 3785 Bayshore Boulevard (35,658+/- sf) and 225 Barneveld (15,576+/- sf). Calco Commercial alone leased 160,424+/- square feet in Q1 compared to 115,783+/- square feet in Q does expect to see some new industrial construction in San Francisco, but many of the larger projects (i.e. Hooper North & South) are nearly all pre-leased. Due to the continued lack of quality product, coupled with the redevelopment of industrial properties (i.e. residential and office conversions), demand for industrial space persists. For these reasons, now is the time to consider leasing, subleasing, selling or repositioning your asset. Calco Commercial is a leading industrial & commercial real estate firm. We have completed more transactions in the industrial market than any other firm in San Francisco. We have decades of experience in Landlord /Owner representation, and repositioning assets into net leased properties with in-place income streams. Calco Commercial is a full service firm that can help make the most of your real estate properties and investments. If you would like to discuss your real estate options, or would simply like more information related to current market conditions, please call our office a , or directly contact one of our professionals. Economic Indicators 12/16 3/17 SF Unemployment 3.4% 3.5% CA Unemployment 5.2% 4.9% U.S. Unemployment 4.7% 4.5%* (Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics) * February 2017 data San Francisco Sales Quick Stats 12-Mo Forecast Q3 16 Q4 16 Total Volume 39M 51M Total Transactions 5 5 Average PSF $260 $290 (Source: CoStar Q3 Market Report 2016) 12-Mo Forecast Scott Mason, President San Francisco Market Specialist (cell) / scott@calcosf.com BRE # Blake Miller, Associate Peninsula Market Specialist / blake@calcosf.com BRE # The information contained herein was obtained from multiple sources we deem reliable. However, we make no representations or warranties to the accuracy of the information.

2 1600 & 1616 Donner Avenue, SF 225 Barneveld Avenue, SF Leased - 37,596+/- SF Leased - 15,576+/- SF 1599 Custer Avenue, SF 405 Victory Avenue, SSF Leased -7,200+/- SF Leased - 13,650+/- SF 3785 Bayshore Boulevard, SF 1980 Oakdale Avenue, SF Leased - 35,658+/- SF Leased - 36,400+/- SF

3 404 Talbert Street, Daly City 81 Dorman Avenue, SF Leased - 12,800+/- SF Leased - 10,400+/- SF Littlefield Avenue,SSF 650 Potrero Avenue, SF Leased - 34,100+/- SF Leased - 21,650+/- SF Potrero Avenue, SF 40 Loomis Street, SF Sold - 6,735+/- SF Sold - 4,800+/- SF

4 375 Alabama Street, SF 2280 Shafter Avenue, SF Leased - 15,295+/- SF Leased -6,000 +/- SF 201 Toland Street, SF Industrial 17th Street, Street, SF SF Leased - 32,580+/- SF Yard Leased - 18,880+/- - 7,660+/- SF 777 Mariposa Street, SF 434 Victory Avenue, SSF Sold - 36,600+/- SF Sold - 11,200+/- SF

5 OFFICE/TECH TRANSACTIONS 375 Alabama Street, SF Valhalla Industrial Complex, SF Various Office Units Leased - 8,055+/-SF Leased - 2,870+/- SF 221 Main Street, SF 1875 S. Grant Street, San Mateo Leased - 4,949+/- SF Leased - 1,759+/- SF

VACANCY DECREASES TO 3.4%; RENTS UP 3.5%

INDUSTRIAL Q3 2017 MARKET SUMMARY San Francisco & Peninsula VACANCY DECREASES TO 3.4%; RENTS UP 3.5% Industrial space available for lease or sale remains in high demand in the San Francisco marketplace.