PU Flexible Foam Market Report Europe Ward Dupont EUROPUR President
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1 PU Flexible Foam Market Report Europe Ward Dupont EUROPUR President Europur General Assembly Vienna June
2 SLABSTOCK FLEXIBLE FOAM MARKET REVIEW I. General economic outlook II Slabstock production volumes Raw material prices III. The main markets Upholstered furniture Bedding Automotive Europur General Assembly Vienna June
3 SLABSTOCK MARKET REVIEW ECONOMIC OUTLOOK EU-28 GDP - GROWTH Source: DG ECFIN Europur General Assembly Vienna June 2014 I. General economic outlook 3
4 SLABSTOCK MARKET REVIEW I. USA- JAPAN China EU28 KEY ECONOMIC INDICATORS GDP GROWTH ( % ) Inflation (%) Unenmployment rate ( % lab.f.) ' 12 ' 13 est. 14 est. 15 ' 12 ' 13 est. 14 est. 15 ' 12 ' 13 est. 14 est. 15 U.S.A 2,8 1,9 2,8 2,9 2,1 1,5 1,4 1,6 8,0 7,4 6,4 6,2 JAPAN 1,4 1,5 1,4 1,0-0,1 0,4 2,8 1,7 4,3 4,0 3,9 3,9 CHINA 7,7 7,7 7,5 7,3 2,7 2,6 3,0 3,0 4,1 4, INDIA 4,7 4,4 5,4 6,4 10,2 9,5 8,0 7,5 n/a n/a n/a n/a EU28-0,4 0,1 1,6 2,0 2,6 1,5 1,0 1,5 10,4 10,8 10,5 10,1 Source : IMF & DG ECFIN Europur General Assembly Vienna June 2014 I. General economic outlook 4
5 SLABSTOCK MARKET REVIEW 2014 GDP GROWTH FORECAST 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% Turkey Finland Greece Italy Netherlands Slovenia Spain Austria Belgium France Germany Ireland Portugal Hungary Poland Denmark Norway Russia Estonia Slovakia UK Sweden Switzerland Romania Source : IMF Europur General Assembly Vienna June 2014 I. General economic outlook 5
6 Euro - $ exchange rate EUR / USD 1,30 June 2013 Europur General Assembly Vienna June 2014 I. General economic outlook 6
7 Brent Crude Oil Prices $ / BARREL Europur General Assembly Vienna June 2014 I. General economic outlook 7
8 Economic Outlook EU-28 GDP - forecast 2014 : + 1,6 % Relative stable / strong Euro Stable / Moderate oil prices Low inflation Unemployment = main issue Europur General Assembly Vienna June 2014 I. General economic outlook 8
9 SLABSTOCK FLEXIBLE FOAM MARKET REVIEW I. General economic outlook II Slabstock production volumes Raw material prices III. The main markets Upholstered furniture Bedding Automotive Europur General Assembly Vienna June
10 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY SLABSTOCK MARKET INDICATORS Item Source GDP-growth (EU28) DG ECFIN 1,5% -0,3% 0,2% Raw Material Price Index Slabstock foam production Upholstered Furniture Production (value) ICIS Ether 3,5% 4,7% -2,3% ICIS / TECNON Ester 4,5% 7,3% -0,2% EUROPUR Ether -4,8% EUROPUR Ester 16,7% CSIL 2,8% -2,4% -1,6% Bedding Market (volume) EBIA -5,5% -3,2% -4,9% Total W-EU vehicle assembly (volume) Total E-EU vehicle assembly (volume) Total EU + EFTA commercial vehicle registrations IHS 3,5% -7,7% 0,5% IHS 11,2% 1,5% 2,3% ACEA 9,9% -12,4% 1,0% Europur General Assembly Vienna June 2014 I. General economic outlook 10
11 SLABSTOCK MARKET REVIEW Slabstock Production Volumes EUROPUR Members (in kt): Ether Foam Ester Foam Europur General Assembly Vienna June 2014 II. Prices & volumes 11
12 SLABSTOCK MARKET REVIEW RAW MATERIAL PRICE INDEX : Source : ICIS-LOR & TECNON Europur General Assembly Vienna June 2014 II. Prices & volumes 12
13 Formulation Cost Volatility Difference Highest / Lowest in % Ether Ester Source: ICIS / TECNON Europur General Assembly Vienna June
14 SLABSTOCK FLEXIBLE FOAM MARKET REVIEW I. General economic outlook II Slabstock production volumes Raw material prices III. The main markets Upholstered furniture Bedding Automotive Europur General Assembly Vienna June
15 Main markets 1. Upholstered furniture Europur General Assembly Vienna June
16 EUROPEAN UPHOLSTERED FURNITURE MARKET 2012 & 2013 % CHANGE EU-17 EU-New Mbs* Non-EU Mbs** Production -5,0 5,9-1,2 Export -4,0 8,3 4,6 Import -6,0-1,9-1,3 Consumption -6,0-0,5-3,0 *Bulgaria, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Malta, Poland, Romania, Slovenia, Slovakia, Croatia * * Serbia, Ukraine, Turkey, Russia Source : CSIL - Milano Europur General Assembly Vienna June 2014 III. Main Markets 16
17 EUROPEAN UPHOLSTERED FURNITURE PRODUCTION 2013 in millions of EUR EU-28 Total: 12,515 MEUR Source : CSIL - Milano Europur General Assembly Vienna June 2014 III. Main Markets 17
18 EUROPEAN UPHOLSTERED FURNITURE PRODUCTION 2013 TOP-4 COUNTRIES M EU-17 New EU Mbs Non-Mbs Prod. Value % change Prod. Value % change Prod. Value % change IT ,1 PL ,8 TR 652 2,7 DE ,9 RO ,3 RU 762-3,5 UK ,9 CZ 233-2,5 UA 148-5,1 FR 609-5,9 HU 210 4,0 Source : CSIL - Milano Europur General Assembly Vienna June 2014 III. Main Markets 18
19 EUROPEAN UPHOLSTERED FURNITURE MARKET 2013 EXPORT TOP 4 M EU-17 New EU Mbs Non-Mbs Prod. Value % change Prod. Value % change Prod. Value % change IT ,2 PL ,6 TR 232 7,4 DE 635-5,5 RO ,5 NO ,8 DK 205-0,8 HU ,6 UA 64-3,1 BELUX ,1 SK 133 0,2 SR 59-1,7 Source : CSIL - Milano Europur General Assembly Vienna June 2014 III. Main Markets 19
20 EU-17 degree of internationalisation 2013 % in value Export / Production Import / Consumption Austria Belux Denmark Finland 9 35 France Germany Greece Ireland 8 54 Italy Netherlands Portugal Spain Sweden UK 6 56 TOTAL Source : CSIL - Milano Europur General Assembly Vienna June 2014 III. Main Markets 20
21 Main markets 2. Bedding Europur General Assembly Vienna June
22 7 Countries* Europe Mattresses Consumption (in Manufacturers Prices) Mattresses Value Mio % of market Volume 000 pcs % of market Value Mio % of market Volume 000 pcs % of market PUR , , , ,8 SPRINGS , , , ,3 LATEX , , , ,9 OTHER 55 2, ,2 51 2, ,0 TOTAL , , , ,0 * Belgium, The Netherlands, France, Germany, Austria, Spain, Italy Source : EBIA Europur General Assembly Vienna June 2014 III. Main Markets 22
23 7 Countries Europe 2013 (1st sem.) 2012(1st sem.) Mattresses Consumption (in Manufacturers Prices) First Semester 2012 First Semester 2013 Mattresses Value Mio % of market Volume 000 pcs % of market Value Mio % of market Volume 000 pcs % of market PUR , , , ,5 SPRINGS , , , ,7 LATEX , , , ,0 OTHER 21 2, ,8 21 2, ,8 TOTAL , , , ,0 * Belgium, The Netherlands, France, Germany, Austria, Spain, Italy Source : EBIA Europur General Assembly Vienna June 2014 III. Main Markets 23
24 7 Countries Europe st Semester Mattresses Consumption Preliminary market data Mattresses Value Volume Market Growth -3,9% -4,9 Pricing Market Average 1,6 PUR 0,9 Latex 2,4 Spring 1,4 Market Share (Volume) PUR 50,0 50,5 Latex 7,7 7,0 Spring 40,6 40,7 Source : EBIA Europur General Assembly Vienna June 2014 III. Main Markets 24
25 Main markets 3. Automotive Europur General Assembly Vienna June
26 MARKET SIZE DEVELOPMENT West-European assembly Index - all car types base 100 in 2004 * LTR : MPV s/suv s/pick-up/chassis-cabs Volume (000) (est) % change % change Cars ,4-1,5 LTR ,2 6,1 TOTAL ,5 1,3 Source : IHS (ex CSM) Europur General Assembly Vienna June 2014 III. Main Markets 26
27 CAR & LTR ASSEMBLY BY COUNTRY West-Europe 2013 : 12,666,539 cars & LTR s Source : IHS (ex CSM) Europur General Assembly Vienna June 2014 III. Main Markets 27
28 MARKET SIZE DEVELOPMENT East-European market Index - all car types base 100 in * LTR : MPV s/suv s/pick-up/chassis-cabs Volume (000) (est) % change % change Cars ,8 LTR ,5-9,2 TOTAL ,3-1,7 Source : IHS (ex CSM) Europur General Assembly Vienna June 2014 III. Main Markets 28
29 CAR & LTR ASSEMBLY BY COUNTRY East-Europe 2013: 6,837,849 cars & LTR s Source : IHS (ex CSM) Europur General Assembly Vienna June 2014 III. Main Markets 29
30 New Commercial Vehicle Registrations EU + EFTA Countries 2013 YTD April 2014 Volume (T units) % change (2013/2012) Volume (T units) % change (2014/2013) Light commercial vehicles (up to 3,5 T) Heavy commercial vehicles > 3,5 T , , , ,7 Trucks > 16 T 231 8, ,2 Buses and Coaches 33 2, ,6 TOTAL , ,7 Europur General Assembly Vienna June
31 Global Vehicle Production Forecast Cars + LTSs (Index base 100 in 2012) Global Index Europe Index Market Share ,8 106,5 110, ,6 106,2 23, ,6 22,6 Source : IHS Europur General Assembly Vienna June 2014 III. Main Markets 31
32 Global Vehicle Production Forecast Cars + LTSs (Mio Units) BRIC* 25,8 30,1 31,7 34,3 36,8 Mature** 34,6 34,9 35,1 35,3 35,2 ROW 21,1 19,6 20,1 20,8 22,0 * Brazil, Russia, India, China ** USA, Canada, Western Europe, Japan Source : IHS Europur General Assembly Vienna June 2014 III. Main Markets 32
33 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 2014 FORECAST Item Source (est) GDP-growth (EU28) DG ECFIN -0,3 0,2 1,6 Raw Material Price Index Upholstered Furniture Production (value) ICIS Ether 4,7% -3,9% 0% ICIS / TECNON Ester 7,3% -0,2% 0% CSIL -2,4% -3,2% -2,1% Bedding Market (volume) EBIA -3,2% -4,9% n/a Total W-EU vehicle assembly (volume) Total E-EU vehicle assembly (volume) IHS -7,7% 0,5% 1,3% IHS 1,5% 2,3% -1,7% Europur General Assembly Vienna June
34 Thank You For Your Attention Europur General Assembly Vienna June
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