GHG-TRANSPORD: REDUCING GREENHOUSE- GAS EMISSIONS OF TRANSPORT BEYOND 2020

Transcription

1 GHG-TRANSPORD: REDUCING GREENHOUSE- GAS EMISSIONS OF TRANSPORT BEYOND 2020 Linking R&D, transport policies and reduction targets Project overview Dr. Wolfgang g Schade Project coordinator Fraunhofer-ISI

2 Agenda of the presentation Project objectives Concept of the project Atiiti Activities in the six work packages Involvement of stakeholders Expected results Seite 2

3 GHG-TransPoRD: objectives Mi Main objectives: To support the EU in defining a feasible research and policy strategy for GHG reductions of transport that fits and contributes to the overall GHG reduction targets of the EU. To propose GHG reduction targets for transport as a whole as well as for each transport mode. Specific objectives: Identification of promising and feasible measures (i.e. technology pathways and policies). Techno-economic analysis of details of promising measures to estimate effectiveness of GHG reductions as well as technical feasibility and economic cost and affordability. Formulation of scenarios consisting of both selected technology pathways and transport policies that would achieve GHG reduction targets for 2020 ( -20 or -30%) and 2050 (-60 to - 80%). Linking the promising scenarios with a suggestion for an EU research strategy. Communicate with stakeholders about project findings and most recent advancements in particular of new technologies to have a platform of mutual understanding. Seite 3

4 GHG-TransPoRD: research concept Backcasting from policies/measures to an R&D strategy and GHG reduction targets of transport considering also the current R&D strategy. Synchronised consideration of transport policies and technologies, which together are called measures in the context of this project, to generate an R&D strategy. Focus on two time horizons, i.e and 2050, for the formulation of the R&D strategy and GHG reduction targets of transport. A mix of qualitative/quantitative desk research with advanced modeling approaches to assess the impacts of analysed measures. A communication strategy that enables to take into account the research strategies developed by the Technology Platforms and Joint Technology Initiatives related to transport as well as to communicate and exchange the findings of the GHG-TransPoRD project with stakeholders. Seite 4

5 GHG-TransPoRD: work flow + work packages WPs based on separate modal analyses Integrated analysis WP2 (TML) Estimation of GHG reduction potentials of transport measures WP5 (UNIVLeeds) Bridging the high level policy context with single measures WP7 (Fraunhof.-ISI) Project management WP1 (JRC) Assessment of present R&D efforts in the transport sector WP3 (Fraunhof.-ISI) Specifications of technological l and organisational measures of transport WP4 (TRT) Techno-economic analysis of transport t technology & policy scenarios WP6 (Fraunhofer-ISI) Communication with stakeholders and research community supporting and considering their findings Seite 5

6 Methodology: analysis of GHG reduction measures in the transport sector WP2 Scoping of GHG reduction measures Short listing of promising measures Estimation of potential CO2 reductions Result tco 2 saved by measure WP3 Economic impact of GHG reduction measures Linking R&D and learning curves to measures Estimation of abatement cost of measures /t CO 2 t 1, t 2, t 3 saved by measure Bundling of measures to scenarios t CO 2 saved Simulation ofscenarioswithmodels GDP change WP4 Impact assessment of scenarios Etc. by EU27 Seite 6 Fraunhofer ISI

7 Models applied for integrated scenarios and techno-economic analysis (WP4) ASTRA: integrated transport-environment-economy assessment model scenario design and quantification model. POLES: world energy e system model transport t as one of the covered ed final energy demand sectors. TREMOVE: transport fleet and environmental assessment model policy analysis model. MARS: urban simulation model including the urban transport sector. Seite 7

8 GHG-TransPoRD: timing and stakeholder involvement Start: October 1st 2009, duration 24 months Stakeholder Council of 12+ persons Interviews with stakeholders Four workshops (WS) and Final Conference WS1 (06/10): measures in road and rail transport (June 17th) WS2 (06/10): measures in air and maritime transport (June 18th) WS3 (11/10): techno-economic details of measures (e.g. costs and learning curves) WS4 (06/11): integrated scenarios of transport policies and R&D strategies Final Conference (09/11) Cluster workshops e.g. with TOSCA, REACT (7FP as well) Seite 8

9 Expected result of GHG-TransPoRD Suggestion of an integrated strategy for the EU that links R&D policy for transport with a transport policy strategy such that the European GHG reduction targets for 2020 and 2050 can be met also for transport. Integrated view to suggest consistent: Reduction targets for transport R&D strategy Transport policy strategy Seite 9

10 GHG-TransPoRD: REDUCING GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS OF TRANSPORT BEYOND 2020 Contact: Dr. Wolfgang Schade (project coordinator) Fraunhofer-ISI Institute for Systems and Innovation Research Breslauerstr. 48, Karlsruhe, Germany Phone: Seite 10