Visions of Law Enforcement Technology. Richard Silberglitt September 21, 2016

Transcription

1 Visions of Law Enforcement Technology Richard Silberglitt September 21, 2016

2 The Law Enforcement (LE) Futuring Workshop RAND DC Office July 22-25, LE Practitioners and Academics Balanced among federal, state, local agencies, experience, responsibilities Used Three Horizons method to develop LE Scenarios ( ) Identified and Prioritized Technology Needs to Enable Desirable Futures Prevent or mitigate undesirable futures Silberglitt September 2016 Slide 2

3 Definition of Visioning Horizons Figure adapted from Curry, Andrew, and Anthony Hodgson, Seeing in Multiple Horizons: Connecting Futures to Strategy, Journal of Futures Studies, Vol. 13, No. 1, Silberglitt September 2016 Slide 3

4 The LE Scenario Template Silberglitt September 2016 Slide 4

5 Consensus View of First Horizon Silberglitt September 2016 Slide 5

6 Paths to Desirable Futures Silberglitt September 2016 Slide 6

7 Paths to Undesirable Futures Silberglitt September 2016 Slide 7

8 Status Quo Future is Undesirable Silberglitt September 2016 Slide 8

9 Active Pathway to Desirable Future Silberglitt September 2016 Slide 9

10 Technology Needs Identification and Prioritization Breakout Groups Defined Technology Needs Enable pathways to desirable futures Prevent or mitigate effects of undesirable futures Full Group of Participants Prioritized Technology Needs RAND consolidated needs from breakout groups Full group consensus on scenarios and needs Two-round Delphi Prioritization Exercise Silberglitt September 2016 Slide 10

11 Top-Ranked Technology R&D Needs Description of Technology Need Research on the use of tagging and tracking technologies (small RFID, nano, dyna dots, implants) for tracking inventory, equipment, and people Improved translation technologies, including dialect, indigenous languages, and cultural factors translation Methods to create and use artificial identities for valid LE purposes Identify in the field when someone is under the influence of or impaired by future legal and custom-made drugs or biological substances Silberglitt September 2016 Slide 11

12 Top-Ranked Information Sharing Needs Description of Technology Need R&D on technologies to use information more effectively and tools to support real-time control and sharing of data from LE operations Technologies and processes to support data sharing Research on dealing with legal and policy constraints for information sharing Silberglitt September 2016 Slide 12

13 Top-Ranked Education/Training Needs Description of Technology Need Social media educational material to better engage the public and improve internal communications. Research on methods to disseminate innovative, promising practices across the large number of law enforcement agencies Improved training suitable for new technologies for people in different roles, levels, and backgrounds and take advantage of new educational technologies More R&D on ethics development for LE personnel Updated LE agency recruiting practices and updated training academy processes for future networkenabled training environments Silberglitt September 2016 Slide 13

14 Silberglitt September 2016 Slide 14

15 The LE Scenario Template Silberglitt September 2016 Slide 15

16 Which quadrant of the scenario template best characterizes 2016? A. SAFE STREETS (Effective use of technology/society supportive ) B. POLICE MILITARIZATION (Effective use of technology/society opposed) C. MEAN STREETS (Ineffective use of technology/society opposed) D. CRIMINALS ADVANTAGE (Ineffective use of technology/ society supportive) SAFE STREETS (Effective... 0% 0% 0% 0% POLICE MILITARIZATION (... MEAN STREETS (Ineffect... CRIMINALS ADVANTAGE...

17 How is September, 2016 different from July, 2014 when the Law Enforcement Futuring Workshop was held? NOTE: Consensus of the Law Enforcement Futuring Workshop participants was that the then current situation was partially in MEAN STREETS and partially in CRIMINALS ADVANTAGE, but very close to the societal axis (ineffective use of technology, but society neither strongly supportive nor strongly opposed).

18 Toward which quadrant are we currently heading? A. SAFE STREETS (Effective use of technology/society supportive ) B. POLICE MILITARIZATION (Effective use of technology/society opposed) C. MEAN STREETS (Ineffective use of technology/society opposed) D. CRIMINALS ADVANTAGE (Ineffective use of technology/ society supportive) SAFE STREETS (Effective... 0% 0% 0% 0% POLICE MILITARIZATION (... MEAN STREETS (Ineffect... CRIMINALS ADVANTAGE...

19 What are today s major driving forces and how are they shaping the future of law enforcement?

20 What can law enforcement planners do to enable motion toward desirable futures, or to mitigate the negative impacts of undesirable ones?

21 Thank you for your participation! Contact Information: Dr. Richard Silberglitt Senior Physical Scientist Professor, Pardee RAND Graduate School RAND 1200 South Hayes Street Arlington, VA (703) x5441 Fax: (703)