Scenario Planning edition 2
|
|
- Cory Chandler
- 6 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 1
2 Scenario Planning Managing for the Future 2 nd edition first published in 2006 Gill Ringland Electronic version (c) Gill Ringland: gill.ringland@samiconsulting.co.uk.: this has kept to the original text of 2006, as requested by readers. Parts II, III and IV are published as separate pdf s. 2
3 Drivers analysis - sources of external data We found that the main problem was identifying the relevant data from the mass available. In the Vision 2000 and Software 2000 projects we had identified good sources for a wide range of IT industry data, telecoms research and on technology in general. For economic data, the Economist Intelligence Unit and the OECD provided good background. The key to relevance is having a mental model of the factors which will be important, and populating the model with values for these. In our case, we understood that our future would be in a restructured information industry. So information - about consumer electronics, telecoms, publishing, media and professional services - was important, in addition to data on the traditional computer industry. We also knew that, although the business is global, being based in Europe is different from being based in the US. So data relating to the development of Europe, and its social model, was key to our scenarios. Thus, populating the model with data should be straightforward. But, the problem is spotting which factors change radically when a paradigm changes, and which new dimensions or concerns may turn out to dominate a scenario. For instance, when do the changes in behaviour of individuals as the Information Society takes shape change the value chain for our customers? Are there other new developments which could change the rules? The areas we found difficult were those relating to the wider information industry and to new developments like digital cash. For these consumer related sectors, we found that often the financial analysts were the best source of both data and opinion. 3
4 Developing the list of relevant factors We added to the 60 factors that the interviewees had identified a number from our researches, e.g. the effect of 2 billion teenagers. We categorized the factors as either trends or uncertainties. A view of the trends is derived from the best available sources, and from wide agreement. "Uncertainties" in the jargon, are `factors over which there are major question marks". So, for instance, the continuing increase in processing power at a given price is a trend. However, it is uncertain whether consumers will switch from TV to PCs as a result. The trends were collated from a number of sources and reflected "best educated guesses" about directions. These would be common to all the scenarios. A judgement was taken on which trends were already incorporated in ICL's thinking and processes. For instance, the decreasing role of national governments in Europe and the increasing reliability of hardware are all significant, but perhaps no longer needed spelling out. Even with a well-understood trend, there could be surprises in the pace at which the trends would develop. So that forecasting, even based on trends, is a fraught exercise Figure 3.9 Forecasts miss the bulls-eye Forecasts are over-precise Today Trends Range of Uncertainties Timing? 4
5 TABLE 3.6 SCOPING THE DATA We found that it was easy to get carried away in researching interesting trends, and following up ideas from futurists and newspaper or journal articles. We needed a discipline to constrain this: but we felt that to confine ourselves to issues explicitly identified in the interviews would have run the risk of missing major forces for change. So we decided to range fairly wide in our searches but, in developing the storyline of the scenarios, use examples which our target audience would recognize. Two examples We read Samuel Huntington's -The Clash of Civilizations and the Remaking of World Order, (Huntington, 1989) with its argument that, following the end of the Cold War, the balance of power will change to one in which cultural communities are replacing the Cold War blocs, and the fault lines and conflicts are becoming those between civilizations rather than national states. The implication of this for our scenarios was expressed in terms like The US and China continue trade hostilities over Chinese non-recognition of IPR, and the denial of US markets to China" and "On the other hand the distinction between countries is blurred, with many sharing similar employment and inflation indicators. Fragmentation of regions along ethnic and cultural boundaries has been a feature". We could see changes in social attitudes arising from the changing role of women and the disappearance of much traditional "heavy' man's work. We expressed the effect of this in the scenarios in ways which were directly relevant to ICL s markets e.g. "Low economic growth has increased the gap between the unemployed and those in Mac jobs and those in stable long-term employment. Unemployment, especially among the young, who may be third generation unemployed, is increasingly a problem for governments; both as a financial burden and in terms of social unrest" and "The level of economic growth and pace of change have eventually created a more mobile work force. More people are working but often less hours and in more flexible, less secure jobs. In some industries such retailing and increasingly in financial services the majority of the workforce is made up of contract staff with no guaranteed income. The gap between the haves and have-nots has increased. The bottom 10% of the population who are unskilled have found it increasingly difficult get out of the poverty trap, and the social security safety net is weak." On the other hand we tried to include in full the topics raised the interviews, and to expand on them. 5
6 The trends Trends are more likely to be seen in two areas: those related to demographics and those related to technology. While surprises can occur - for instance between censuses in the US, the size and pattern of Catholic immigrant families changed the predicted demographic balance significantly - these are rarer than in the political or social arenas. Economic/Geographic Trends 1. Increasingly sophisticated and demanding customers. More and more educated consumers ask for up-to-date, high performance and competitive products. The mass market will be fragmented into many niches. Competition will be fierce and based on price and quality of service. 2. Growth in South East Asia/India/China, with an expanding middle class. In 2010, the middle class in South East Asia (about 700 million) will be larger than that of Europe (about 300 million) and the Americas (about 200 million) combined. 3. Two billion teenagers In 2001, there will be two billion teenagers world-wide, most of them in Asia and Latin America. That is fifty times the number of teenagers in America in the peak years of the baby boom. Many of them will be in constant contact with each other through technology. 4. Increase in the older population in industrial countries. Medical advances and better life conditions leads to the ageing of the population, mainly in developed countries where the birth rates are low. The demographic shift to an ageing population will require adjustment in many service industries like healthcare, leisure and travel. As the costs of the elderly, particularly with health, increases, service industries and governments will look for areas of productivity through IT. 5. Continuous restructuring of corporations. The restructuring of corporations will be dominated by the following trends: globalization of markets, outsourcing of non-strategic jobs, and investments directed to the regions which offer the best profit potential. An increasing number of small companies will be linked through networks. Competition for customers will be intense and delocalized. 6. Outsourcing of IT is used by half of all Fortune 500 companies. This trend will change the structure of the IT industry: there will be large potential growth for outsourcing and technology used as a support of outsourcing businesses. 6
7 7. Increasing environmental concerns. More environmental concerns force companies on occasion to do business differently. It has positive implications in the sense of more business and some negative ones with possible increases in production costs to conform to environmental pressures. Technology Related Trends 1. Bandwidth explosion and development of the Internet. Large infrastructure investments increase cable and wireless networks. The volume of traffic increases due to price decreases in network bandwidth. The opportunities for exploiting high bandwidth networking drive traffic. The Internet continues to grow. 2. Processing power increases and processing becomes pervasive. Moore's law of the power of processing on a chip doubling every 18 months continues to apply for products shipped over the next decade. New generation of more powerful microprocessors emerge. However, the costs of developing those new chips are high. Processing will be used in more mission-critical applications. There will be an increasing use of embedded systems, and more IT devices will be available. 3. Ease of use. Computers and electronic devices will be more and more friendly, with five year-olds using mobile phones. 4. Digitalization of content and growth of multimedia. Information is held digitally, whether context is text, video or audio. Games, videos, media will be delivered either on electronic storage as an alternative to paper, or increasingly through on-line services. 5. Changes in sources of value added in the IT industry. As the industry matures, IT will be increasingly embedded in products. New sources of value added relate to ease of use, access, information security etc. 6. Litigation in IT increases. The risk for IT providers of being sued for mis-performance or non-performance increases. 7. Semiconductor content of electronics increases. 7
8 The content of electronics devices changes from 7% semiconductor to 27% semiconductor over 15 years to This changes the power and added value in the information industry. Dealing with uncertainties Scenarios are constructed from a number of trends - as above - and a number of uncertainties. For instance, while the change in processing power or bandwidth is clearly a trend, the question of whether a consumer market will open up can be treated as an uncertainty: we need to think about the effects if it does, or if it does not. Figure 3.10 represents this difference, using as an example our core uncertainty - will customers want to take advantage of the technically feasible innovations or will there be a backlash? 3.11 shows the factors that we regarded as uncertain, and how we grouped them. Some of the factors that we had initially identified were seen to be important to us, but with an unpredictable outcome in ten years' time. For each of these uncertain factors we built a correlation matrix looking to see how they related to each other. For example, did one increase, decrease or remain unaffected by another? The intellectual activity to correlate these was one of the hardest of the project. For each factor, we determined whether it was positively correlated against every other (on a scale 1 to 3), negatively, or not at all (0). Then the factors were sorted, giving the list below in Figure
9 Some of the factors were inherently unknowable and not causally linked to any of the others - for instance, the occurrence of a major earthquake in the USA was not caused by any of the other factors - though it could contribute to a factor like "more terrorist actions". The factors which were not linked were called "wild cards". We found that the best way of treating these was to identify where in the organization the policy for dealing with these should rest, and discussing them, exploring the processes and responsibilities, and getting policies established, rather than building them into the scenarios. 9
Analysing Megatrends to Better shape the future of Tourism
Issues Paper Analysing Megatrends to Better shape the future of Tourism 2-3 October 2017 OECD, Paris 2 Background information This note is provided as background information at the High Level Meeting on
More informationPotential effect on employment in developed and developing countries
Potential effect on employment in developed and developing countries By Dr. Edmundo Molina Expert Group Meeting on Exponential Technological Change, Automation and Their Policy Implications for Sustainable
More informationEuropean Charter for Access to Research Infrastructures - DRAFT
13 May 2014 European Charter for Access to Research Infrastructures PREAMBLE - DRAFT Research Infrastructures are at the heart of the knowledge triangle of research, education and innovation and therefore
More informationScenario Development Process
Scenario Development Process 1. Identify Key Elements of Change 2. Filter uncertainties to identify key drivers 3. Develop scenario stories for the world in 2020 Key Uncertainties Text about uncertainties;
More informationInformation Societies: Towards a More Useful Concept
IV.3 Information Societies: Towards a More Useful Concept Knud Erik Skouby Information Society Plans Almost every industrialised and industrialising state has, since the mid-1990s produced one or several
More informationWhat is backcasting & why do we need it
What is backcasting & why do we need it Tools for complexity studies We need tools to find options to solve complex problems like Sustainable Development Long term Great uncertainties Great number of stakeholders
More informationSeries. InFocus. Global Folding Carton Market Outlook to
InFocus Series Global Folding Carton Market Outlook to 2021 www.commodityinside.com Contents Contents Table of Contents Chapter-1 Chapter-2 Chapter-3 Executive Summary Introduction and methodology Major
More informationThe How-to Guide for Adopting Model Based Definition (MBD) Michelle Boucher Vice President Tech-Clarity
1 The How-to Guide for Adopting Model Based Definition (MBD) Michelle Boucher Vice President Tech-Clarity 2 The Importance of Engineering Investments What strategies will your company use to improve profitability?
More informationChief consultant Henrik Noes Piester Danish Technological Institute OSHA Foresight workshop Bilbao 28th October 2008
Trends & drivers of change in the European food and beverage industry Developing scenarios for the European Foundation for the Improvement of Living and Working Conditions Chief consultant Henrik Noes
More informationWhat Information Technology is Really Needed for developing countries? Guojie Li
What Information Technology is Really Needed for developing countries? Guojie Li 2007.09.06 What Problems Should be Solved Firstly by Applying IT? May Be a Better Question by Applying IT? May Be a In developing
More informationEXECUTIVE SUMMARY. St. Louis Region Emerging Transportation Technology Strategic Plan. June East-West Gateway Council of Governments ICF
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY St. Louis Region Emerging Transportation Technology Strategic Plan June 2017 Prepared for East-West Gateway Council of Governments by ICF Introduction 1 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS This document
More information)XWXUH FKDOOHQJHV IRU WKH WRXULVP VHFWRU
63((&+ 0U(UNNL/LLNDQHQ Member of the European Commission, responsible for Enterprise and the Information Society )XWXUH FKDOOHQJHV IRU WKH WRXULVP VHFWRU ENTER 2003 Conference +HOVLQNL-DQXDU\ Ladies and
More informationSocietal megatrends and business
Societal megatrends and business Operating, innovating, and growing in a turbulent world April 2018 Introduction The World Business Council for Sustainable Development (WBCSD) has a long history of examining
More informationARTEMIS The Embedded Systems European Technology Platform
ARTEMIS The Embedded Systems European Technology Platform Technology Platforms : the concept Conditions A recipe for success Industry in the Lead Flexibility Transparency and clear rules of participation
More informationGlobal Trade & Innovation Policy Alliance Summit
Global Trade & Innovation Policy Alliance Summit Disruptive Technologies Do they Worsen the Digital Divide? Syed Munir Khasru Chairman The Institute for Policy, Advocacy and Governance (IPAG) May 17, 2018
More informationGlobalisation increasingly affects how companies in OECD countries
ISBN 978-92-64-04767-9 Open Innovation in Global Networks OECD 2008 Executive Summary Globalisation increasingly affects how companies in OECD countries operate, compete and innovate, both at home and
More informationImplications of the current technological trajectories for industrial policy New manufacturing, re-shoring and global value chains.
Implications of the current technological trajectories for industrial policy New manufacturing, re-shoring and global value chains Mario Cimoli You remember when most economists said that industrialization
More informationTechnologists and economists both think about the future sometimes, but they each have blind spots.
The Economics of Brain Simulations By Robin Hanson, April 20, 2006. Introduction Technologists and economists both think about the future sometimes, but they each have blind spots. Technologists think
More informationCopyright: Conference website: Date deposited:
Coleman M, Ferguson A, Hanson G, Blythe PT. Deriving transport benefits from Big Data and the Internet of Things in Smart Cities. In: 12th Intelligent Transport Systems European Congress 2017. 2017, Strasbourg,
More informationFuture of Financing. For more information visit ifrc.org/s2030
Future of Financing The gap between humanitarian and development needs and financing is growing, yet largely we still rely on just a few traditional sources of funding. How do we mobilize alternate sources
More informationPolicy Evaluation as if sustainable development really mattered: Rethinking evaluation in light of Europe s 2050 Agenda
Policy Evaluation as if sustainable development really mattered: Rethinking evaluation in light of Europe s 2050 Agenda EEEN Forum, Helsinki, April 28-29, 2014 Dr Hans Bruyninckx Executive Director, European
More informationDisrupt or be Disrupted: Research Findings from the CDO Project & Policy Implications
Disrupt or be Disrupted: Research Findings from the CDO Project & Policy Implications David A. Wolfe, Ph.D. Co-Director, Innovation Policy Lab Munk School of Global Affairs University of Toronto Presentation
More informationEnhancing Government through the Transforming Application of Foresight
Addressing g the Future: Enhancing Government through the Transforming Application of Foresight Professor Ron Johnston Australian Centre for Innovation University of Sydney www.aciic.org.au Helsinki Institute
More informationThe World in the future: Megatrends and innovation
The World in the future: Megatrends and innovation Jesper Bo Jensen, ph.d. Futurist Centre for Future Studies http://uk.fremforsk.dk/ Cities in the future The interweaved city a mixture of functions The
More informationFramework Programme 7
Framework Programme 7 1 Joining the EU programmes as a Belarusian 1. Introduction to the Framework Programme 7 2. Focus on evaluation issues + exercise 3. Strategies for Belarusian organisations + exercise
More informationTeddington School Sixth Form
Teddington School Sixth Form AS / A level Sociology Induction and Key Course Materials AS and A level Sociology Exam Board AQA This GCE Sociology specification has been designed so that candidates will
More informationCustomising Foresight
Customising Foresight Systemic and Synergistic Foresight Approaches Systemic and Synergistic Foresight Approaches in a small country context Higher School of Economics Moscow 13.10.2011 Ozcan Saritas &
More information12 Themes of the New Economy
DIGITAL ECONOMY! In this new economy, digital networking and communication infrastructures provide a global platform over which people and organizations devise strategies, interact, communicate, collaborate
More informationGUIDE TO SPEAKING POINTS:
GUIDE TO SPEAKING POINTS: The following presentation includes a set of speaking points that directly follow the text in the slide. The deck and speaking points can be used in two ways. As a learning tool
More informationNotes from a seminar on "Tackling Public Sector Fraud" presented jointly by the UK NAO and H M Treasury in London, England in February 1998.
Tackling Public Sector Fraud Notes from a seminar on "Tackling Public Sector Fraud" presented jointly by the UK NAO and H M Treasury in London, England in February 1998. Glenis Bevan audit Manager, Audit
More informationBASED ECONOMIES. Nicholas S. Vonortas
KNOWLEDGE- BASED ECONOMIES Nicholas S. Vonortas Center for International Science and Technology Policy & Department of Economics The George Washington University CLAI June 9, 2008 Setting the Stage The
More informationEmerging Transportation Technology Strategic Plan for the St. Louis Region Project Summary June 28, 2017
Emerging Transportation Technology Strategic Plan for the St. Louis Region Project Summary June 28, 2017 Prepared for: East West Gateway Council of Governments Background. Motivation Process to Create
More informationStrategic Policy Intelligence setting priorities and evaluating impacts Ireland
Strategic Policy Intelligence setting priorities and evaluating impacts Ireland Helena Acheson Head of Division Enterprise Policy OECD 15/16 September 2008 Working to gain economic advantage from investments
More informationFrom the Conference Note: Science and Technology is believed to be a main driver of progress. It is evident in its wide spread of discourse claiming
Presentation at the International Conference to Commemorate the 20 th Anniversary of ASEAN-India Cooperation Seamless Integration into the Third Decade Building on Two Decades of ASEAN-India Partnership
More informationLEGAL TRANSFORMATION STUDY
LEGAL TRANSFORMATION STUDY EXECUTIVE SUMMARY YOUR 2020 VISION OF THE FUTURE Legal Transformation Study 1 Fast Forward The year is 2020. Imagine where you will be and what you will be doing. Perhaps in
More informationReport on the impact of the convergence of telecommunication, broadcasting and information technologies
International Telecommunication Union QUESTION 10-1/1 Impact of the convergence of telecommunication, broadcasting and information technologies ITU-D STUDY GROUP 1 3rd STUDY PERIOD (2002-2006) Report on
More informationPreparing for an Uncertain Future:
: for a Greater Baltimore Region DRAFT Maximize2040 is an initiative of the Baltimore Regional Transportation Board, the metropolitan planning organization for the Baltimore region. 1 SCENARIO THINKING:
More informationRadio Spectrum Management and Ubiquitous Network Societies
ITU Workshop on Ubiquitous Network Societies April 6-8, 2005 Radio Spectrum Management and Ubiquitous Network Societies Gérard POGOREL Professor, ENST Paris 1 Radio technologies an Integral
More informationAnnual Report 2010 COS T SME. over v i e w
Annual Report 2010 COS T SME over v i e w 1 Overview COST & SMEs This document aims to provide an overview of SME involvement in COST, and COST s vision for increasing SME participation in COST Actions.
More informationClass I - Innovation. Disruptive Innovation Why Lawyers Matter
Class I - Innovation Disruptive Innovation Why Lawyers Matter 1 Introduction to innovation Definitions Dimensions Drivers Developments Innovation - What is it? Innovation - What is it? Innovation is the
More informationResearch about Technological Innovation with Deep Civil-Military Integration
International Conference on Social Science and Technology Education (ICSSTE 2015) Research about Technological Innovation with Deep Civil-Military Integration Liang JIANG 1 1 Institute of Economics Management
More informationChapter 22. Technological Forecasting
Chapter 22 Technological Forecasting Short Description Background Strategic Rationale & Implications Strengths & Advantages Weaknesses & Limitations Process for Applying Technique Summary Case Study: Bell
More informationThe role of Intellectual Property (IP) in R&D-based companies: Setting the context of the relative importance and Management of IP
The role of Intellectual Property (IP) in R&D-based companies: Setting the context of the relative importance and Management of IP Thomas Gering Ph.D. Technology Transfer & Scientific Co-operation Joint
More informationDIGITAL TECHNOLOGIES FOR A BETTER WORLD. NanoPC HPC
DIGITAL TECHNOLOGIES FOR A BETTER WORLD NanoPC HPC EMBEDDED COMPUTER MODULES A unique combination of miniaturization & processing power Nano PC MEDICAL INSTRUMENTATION > BIOMETRICS > HOME & BUILDING AUTOMATION
More information#Renew2030. Boulevard A Reyers 80 B1030 Brussels Belgium
#Renew2030 Boulevard A Reyers 80 B1030 Brussels Belgium secretariat@orgalim.eu +32 2 206 68 83 @Orgalim_EU www.orgalim.eu SHAPING A FUTURE THAT S GOOD. Orgalim is registered under the European Union Transparency
More informationCongratulatory Speech in the Graduation Ceremony of UNU/IAS
Congratulatory Speech in the Graduation Ceremony of UNU/IAS Thursday, 9 th July, 2015, at UNU President, Science Council of Japan President, Toyohashi University of Technology Professor Takashi Onishi
More informationConnected Communities. Notes from the LARCI/RCUK consultation meeting, held on 1 June 2009 at Thinktank, Birmingham
Connected Communities Notes from the LARCI/RCUK consultation meeting, held on 1 June 2009 at Thinktank, Birmingham These notes were generated partly from the presentations and partly from the facilitated
More informationSMU Convocation Address by Victor K. Fung 12 August Preparing for an Era of Great Global Transformations
SMU Convocation Address by Victor K. Fung 12 August 2016 Preparing for an Era of Great Global Transformations Good evening everyone. Mr. President (De Meyer), Mr. Chancellor (Pillay), Chairman of the Board
More informationMobile Content & Advertising Perspective
Mobile Content & Advertising Perspective V O L. 1 I S S U E 8 S E P T E M B E R 2008 Not So Virtual: Enhancing Telcos Role in the MMORPG Value Chain Analyst: Guillaume TOUCHARD Email: gtouchard@pyr.com
More informationPotential areas of industrial interest relevant for cross-cutting KETs in the Electronics and Communication Systems domain
This fiche is part of the wider roadmap for cross-cutting KETs activities Potential areas of industrial interest relevant for cross-cutting KETs in the Electronics and Communication Systems domain Cross-cutting
More informationSustainable Development Education, Research and Innovation
Sustainable Development Education, Research and Innovation Vision for Knowledge Economy Professor Maged Al-Sherbiny Assistant Minister for Scientific Research Towards Science, Technology and Innovation
More informationCultivating Entrepreneurial Spirit in Asia
Dr. Dumrong Kasemset, Ph.D. Chairman of the Executive Committee, Shin Satellite Public Co., Ltd., and Shinawatra International Public Co., Ltd. Group- Vice Chairman, Shin Corporation Public Co., Ltd.,
More informationEuropean Rail Research Advisory Council
MARKET IMPACT EVALUATION ERRAC was set up in 2001 and is the single European body with the competence and capability to help revitalise the European rail sector : To make it more competitive To foster
More informationThe Future is Now: Are you ready? Brian David
The Future is Now: Are you ready? Brian David Johnson @BDJFuturist Age 13 Who am I? Age 13 Who am I? Who am I? Nerd! Age 13 In the next 10 years 2020 and Beyond Desktops Laptops Large Tablets Smartphone
More informationSoftware Production in Kyrgyzstan: Potential Source of Economic Growth
400 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON EURASIAN ECONOMIES 2011 Software Production in Kyrgyzstan: Potential Source of Economic Growth Rahat Sabyrbekov (American University of Central Asia, Kyrgyzstan) Abstract
More informationClick to add title. ASAE ForesightWorks 11/16/2017
Click to add title ASAE ForesightWorks Introducing the ASAE Foundation s new initiative identifying, analyzing, and planning for the drivers of change in associations 1 ASAE ForesightWorks is a new program
More informationComics as Contracts 2016/04/05 1
Comics as Contracts MINDFUL CONTRACTS 2016/04/05 1 Comic Contracts o o o Characters represent the parties Interaction and dialogue represent the terms Parties sign the comic as their Contract 2016/04/05
More information2010 IRI Annual Meeting R&D in Transition
2010 IRI Annual Meeting R&D in Transition U.S. Semiconductor R&D in Transition Dr. Peter J. Zdebel Senior VP and CTO ON Semiconductor May 4, 2010 Some Semiconductor Industry Facts Founded in the U.S. approximately
More informationTransportation Education in the New Millennium
Transportation Education in the New Millennium As the world enters the 21 st Century, the quality of education continues to be a major factor in the success of a nation's ability to succeed and to excel.
More informationThe Implications of 21st Century Transitions for Government Policy
Riel Miller University of Toronto November 29, 2002 OECD International Futures Programme The Implications of 21st Century Transitions for Government Policy Presentation Outline A. What is future studies?
More informationTOURISM VISIONING & SCENARIO PLANNING EVENT
TUES, OCT 10 WED, OCT 11 TUES, NOV 14 TUES, NOV 14 WED, NOV 15 TUES, DEC 5 WED, DEC 6 WED, DEC 6 TOURISM VISIONING & SCENARIO PLANNING EVENT TOURISM PLANNING WORKSHOP CULTURAL HERITAGE & AGRITOURISM WORKSHOP
More informationThe Evolution of Science and Technology: The Need for a New Policy Model. Jerald Hage, Director Center for Innovation,
The Evolution of Science and Technology: The Need for a New Policy Model Jerald Hage, Director Center for Innovation, The Present Policy Model Characteristics: 1.Societal level; 2.Inputs of funding and
More informationMid/Long-Term Management Policy
Mid/Long-Term Management Policy Grand Design & Mid-Term Plan FY2018~FY2020 Yoshiaki Yoshida Representative Director & CEO Advantest Corporation April 26 th, 2018 Objectives of Grand Design and Mid-Term
More informationStrategic Assessment of Worldwide esports Market Forecast Till 2021
Report Information More information from: https://www.wiseguyreports.com/reports/402152-strategic-assessment-of-worldwide-esports-marketforecast-till-2021 Strategic Assessment of Worldwide esports Market
More information2014 PRODUCTION FORECASTS FOR THE GLOBAL ELECTRONICS AND INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY INDUSTRIES
PRODUCTION FORECASTS FOR THE GLOBAL ELECTRONICS AND INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY INDUSTRIES December 24, JAPAN ELECTRONICS AND INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY INDUSTRIES ASSOCIATION FOREWORD For the Japanese economy,
More informationChallenges and Opportunities in the Changing Science & Technology Landscape
Challenges and Opportunities in the Changing Science & Technology Landscape (Capability Gap Changing Surprises Avoidance and Exploitation) Dr. Don Wyma Director for Scientific & Technical Intelligence
More informationFrom megatrends to opportunities: a fast and shared exploration of the future
From megatrends to opportunities: a fast and shared exploration of the future António Alvarenga 30/09/2016, IST DRIVERS OF CHANGE/DRIVING FORCES - DEFINITION DRIVERS (or DRIVERS OF CHANGE) are any factors
More informationRoadmapping. Break-out Groups: Policy Planning Methods and How They Can Be Used in Policy-making. Ondřej Valenta Technology Centre CAS
Roadmapping Break-out Groups: Policy Planning Methods and How They Can Be Used in Policy-making Ondřej Valenta Technology Centre CAS ESDN Conference Prague, 22-23 June 2017 Roadmapping Contents of this
More informationFuture Networks and Spectrum Management
4th Scandinavian Workshop on Wireless Ad-hoc Networks (ADHOC 04) May 4-5, 2004 Stockholm Future Networks and Spectrum Management Gérard POGOREL Professor at ENST, Paris 1 1-Premises of
More informationMr. Alain Schoenenberger
TRADE AND DEVELOPMENT BOARD COMMISSION ON ENTERPRISE, BUSINESS FACILITATION AND DEVELOPMENT EXPERT MEETING ON BEST PRACTICES AND POLICY OPTIONS IN THE PROMOTION OF SME-TNC LINKAGES GENEVA, 6-8 NOVEMBER
More informationExecutive Summary. The process. Intended use
ASIS Scouting the Future Summary: Terror attacks, data breaches, ransomware there is constant need for security, but the form it takes is evolving in the face of new technological capabilities and social
More informationForesight and Scenario Development
Foresight and Scenario Development Anita Pirc Velkavrh Head of Foresight and Sustainability group European Environment Agency ESDN Annual conference, 22-23 June 2017, Prague EEA, environmental messages
More informationLesson Learned from the 2010 Indonesia Population and Housing Census Dudy S. Sulaiman, BPS-Statistics Indonesia
Lesson Learned from the 2010 Indonesia Population and Housing Census Dudy S. Sulaiman, BPS-Statistics Indonesia I. Introduction As widely known that census has been a world heritage of the civilized nation.
More informationThree Work/Technology Global Scenarios for 2050
Three Work/Technology Global Scenarios for 2050 World Strategy Forum 2016 Seoul, Korea Jerome C. Glenn, CEO The Millennium Project Artificial General Intelligence and/or Super Intelligence that can autonomously
More informationRevista Economică 68:5 (2016) PUBLIC PERCEPTION OF THE ROLE OF SCIENCE AND INNOVATION IN SOLVING THE PROBLEMS EXPERIENCED BY CONTEMPORARY ECONOMY
PUBLIC PERCEPTION OF THE ROLE OF SCIENCE AND INNOVATION IN SOLVING THE PROBLEMS EXPERIENCED BY CONTEMPORARY ECONOMY DURALIA Oana 1 Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu Abstract: In the context of contemporary
More informationRaw Materials: Study on Innovative Technologies and Possible Pilot Plants
Raw Materials: Study on Innovative Technologies and Possible Pilot Plants Ton Bastein, TNO Brussels 26 th November, 2013 Contents Project goals Development and logic of the study Development of criteria
More informationAn overview of foresight methods. Maree Conway Thinking Futures/ Centre for Australian Foresight August 2013
An overview of foresight methods Maree Conway Thinking Futures/ Centre for Australian Foresight August 2013 Overview Context: why foresight? Methods Framework the Generic Foresight Process Input Methods
More informationGLOBAL ICT REGULATORY OUTLOOK EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
GLOBAL ICT REGULATORY OUTLOOK 2017 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Over past decades the world has witnessed a digital revolution that is ushering in huge change. The rate of that change continues
More informationLeading the way through. Innovation. Dr. G. Wayne Clough President, Georgia Institute of Technology. GE Energy Sales Executives January 28, 2005
Leading the way through Innovation Dr. G. Wayne Clough President, Georgia Institute of Technology GE Energy Sales Executives January 28, 2005 Powerful trends reshape the world High-speed communications
More informationGas Technology Review. Reach over 30,000 gas professionals worldwide
M E D I A I N F O R M A T I O N Reach over 30,000 gas professionals worldwide The resurgence of natural gas as the fuel offering an economical and environmentally sound option to power the global economy
More informationExecutive Summary World Robotics 2018 Industrial Robots
Executive Summary World Robotics 2018 Industrial Robots 13 Executive Summary World Robotics 2018 Industrial Robots Robot Sales 2017: Impressive growth In 2017, robot sales increased by 30% to 381,335 units,
More information2018 IIF ANNUAL MEMBERSHIP MEETING
2018 IIF ANNUAL MEMBERSHIP MEETING October 12-13, 2018 Grand Hyatt Nusa Dua, Bali, Indonesia PRELIMINARY AGENDA *Subject to change* FRIDAY, OCTOBER 12 7:30 am 8:30 am REGISTRATION AND REFRESHMENTS 8:30
More informationEnabling a Smarter World. Dr. Joao Schwarz da Silva DG INFSO European Commission
Enabling a Smarter World Dr. Joao Schwarz da Silva DG INFSO European Commission How were the successive technology revolutions unleashed? Technological Revolutions Technological Revolutions The Industrial
More informationOECD s Innovation Strategy: Key Findings and Policy Messages
OECD s Innovation Strategy: Key Findings and Policy Messages 2010 MIT Europe Conference, Brussels, 12 October Dirk Pilat, OECD dirk.pilat@oecd.org Outline 1. Why innovation matters today 2. Why policies
More informationEnd of the Census. Why does the Census need reforming? Seminar Series POPULATION PATTERNS. seeing retirement differently
Seminar Series End of the Census The UK population is undergoing drastic movement, with seachanges in mortality rates, life expectancy and how long individuals can hope to live in good health. In order
More informationShare Information Resources To Bridge the Digital Divide
Share Information Resources To Bridge the Digital Divide By Yan Baoping, Director of the CNNIC, Chinese Academy of Sciences Shanghai, May the 25 th, 2001 Distinguished guests, ladies and gentlemen, Good
More informationA European Perspective for Electronic Industry in Latin America
A European Perspective for Electronic Industry in Latin America François Guibert Corporate Vice President, Emerging Markets Region General Manager Electronic, a Global World Security Networking Consumer
More informationR&D and innovation activities in companies across Global Value Chains
R&D and innovation activities in companies across Global Value Chains 8th IRIMA workshop Corporate R&D & Innovation Value Chains: Implications for EU territorial policies Brussels, 8 March 2017 Objectives
More informationInnovations in fuel cells and related hydrogen technology in Norway
OECD Case Study in the Energy Sector: Innovations in fuel cells and related hydrogen technology in Norway Helge Godoe Senior research scientist, Ph.D. Norwegian Institute for Studies NIFU in Research and
More informationHalf-Year Press Conference
Half-Year Press Conference 11 May 2017 Prof. Dr. Michael Kaschke President & CEO ZEISS Group, Half-Year Press Conference 2016/17 Thomas Spitzenpfeil Chief Financial Officer 11 May 2017 Prof. Dr. Michael
More informationTHE INTELLIGENT REFINERY
THE INTELLIGENT REFINERY DIGITAL. DISTILLED. DIGITAL REFINING SURVEY 2018 THE INTELLIGENT REFINERY SURVEY explained This deck provides highlights from the second annual Accenture Digital Refining Survey,
More informationPotential areas of industrial interest relevant for cross-cutting KETs in the Electronics and Communication Systems domain
This fiche is part of the wider roadmap for cross-cutting KETs activities Potential areas of industrial interest relevant for cross-cutting KETs in the Electronics and Communication Systems domain Cross-cutting
More informationThe Construction Market in Europe: A Supplier s Point of View
The Construction Market in Europe: A Supplier s Point of View Dr. Walter Nussbaumer Abstract After the 2009 recession and the 2010 stagnation, recovery took place in 2011 when the World Construction Industry
More informationNIS Transformation and Recombination Learning in China
NIS Transformation and Recombination Learning in China Shulin Gu TsingHua University, China shulin008@hotmail.com 06/11/2003 Rio Globelics Conference 1 NIS Transformation and Recombination Learning in
More informationINTEL INNOVATION GENERATION
INTEL INNOVATION GENERATION Overview Intel was founded by inventors, and the company s continued existence depends on innovation. We recognize that the health of local economies including those where our
More informationfree library of philadelphia STRATEGIC PLAN
free library of philadelphia STRATEGIC PLAN 2012 2017 Building on the Past, Changing for the Future The Free Library has been a haven and a launching pad for the people of Philadelphia from school-age
More informationParticipatory backcasting: A tool for involving stakeholders in long term local development planning
Erasmus Intensive Programme Equi Agry June 29 July 11, Foggia Participatory backcasting: A tool for involving stakeholders in long term local development planning Dr. Maurizio PROSPERI ( maurizio.prosperi@unifg.it
More informationINTELLECTUAL PROPERY RIGHTS: ECONOMY Vs SCIENCE &TECHNOLOGY. Sankar Narayanan.S System Analyst, Anna University Coimbatore
Volume 1 Issue 1 May 2010 pp. 6-10 http://www.iaeme.com/ijipr.html I J I P R I A E M E INTELLECTUAL PROPERY RIGHTS: ECONOMY Vs SCIENCE &TECHNOLOGY ABSTRACT Sankar Narayanan.S System Analyst, Anna University
More informationBackground. White Paper THE DESTINY OF INTELLIGENT INFRASTRUCTURE. Mark Gabriel R. W. Beck, Inc.
White Paper THE DESTINY OF INTELLIGENT INFRASTRUCTURE Mark Gabriel R. W. Beck, Inc. Background The implementation of distribution and substation automation, outage management, advanced metering infrastructure
More informationShared Investment. Shared Success. ReMAP Call for Proposals by Expression of Interest
Shared Investment. Shared Success. ReMAP 2.0 2018 Call for Proposals by Expression of Interest What s a BL-NCE? Refined Manufacturing Acceleration Process (ReMAP) is an innovation accelerator focused on
More information