Shuzo Nishioka Secretary General, LCS RNet Secretariat, IGES Side Event at AWGKP14 AWGLCA12 8 October 2010

Transcription

1 International Research Network for Low Carbon Societies ti t i ti Set up with the initiative of G8 EMM to provide ; Platform for the LCS research Dialogues between researchers and various stakeholders Scientific input to international policy-making processes on climate change such as G8 and the UNFCCC Shuzo Nishioka Secretary General, LCS RNet Secretariat, IGES Side Event at AWGKP14 AWGLCA12 8 October 2010 Ministry of Ecology, Energy, Sustainable Development and the Sea Federal Environment Agency 15 researchers from 10 institutions of 6 Department of Energy and countries, Climate Change 7 government officials from 5 countries, and 2 IGOs UK Energy Research Centre Indonesia India Thailand continue National Institute of Environmental Research Korea Ministry of Environment ADEME IDDRI Academy of Technologies France LCS RNet Co chairs Secretariat National Institute for Environmental Studies Japan Ministry of the Environment Wuppertal Institute for Climate, Environment and Energy Germany ENEA FEEM CMCC Italy Ministry of Environment & Forests Indian Institute of Management, Ahmadabad, etc. India Ministry for the Environment, Land i th i t and Sea Supported its foundation by G8 Environment Ministers Meeting. Research network to be a platform amongst researches, policy making communities and stakeholders to realize low carbon societies. 7 countries and 15 research institutes (currently)

2 LCS RNet 5 year plan LCS RNet Activities 2008 G At present G8EMM Kobe (24 26 May) 26 Foundation 1. Sharing scientific i knowledge 2. Scientific c Policy Recommendations Development ofof LCS Researches Capacity Building of Developing Own research Countries Activity of 5. Public Relations G8EMM Siracusa G8 Huntsville (22 24 April) ( June) COP15 (7 19 Dec) Annual Meeting G8EMM France (April) G8/ G20 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change COP16 (29 Nov 10 Dec) 1st in Bologna2nd in Berlin 3rd in France (12 13 October) (20 21 September) (March?)\ Synthesis Report Synthesis Report Country Report Journal Berlin Memorandum Special Issue Development of LCS researches and finding, analyzing and proposing important policy important policy relevant issues National policy Green growth Sus. consumption Workshop, Indonesia policy dialogue (16 17 February Yokohama (15 March 2010) Thailand (November 2011) Secretariat 2010) Internship India Indonesia Thailand Newsletter Database Webpage G8/ G20 Fostering LCS researches to achieve LCS Contribution to LCS strategies of government Sustainable LCS policy and expansion to developing countries International Research Network for Low Carbon Societies Second Annual Meeting Berlin, Germany September 20th 21st 2010 Multi Level Policy for a Green Society ltil lp li i t Hosted by The Federal Ministry for Environment, Nature Conservation and Nuclear Safety, Germany The Federal Environment Agency Germany In cooperation with The Wuppertal Institute for Climate, Environment and Energy

3 States of LCS Key findings After Copenhagen : Developed countries: facing difficulties to make real changes Developing countries: start to tackle the LCS, Priority areas varied Energy demand and supply issue: (technology/ society behaviour issues) Need to address interlinkages amongst issues and actors More transparency in policy making process required, e.g. trade offs of options Stakeholder movement Roles of sub national, non governmental level entities, e.g. Cities are important Who participate will frame issues Transition and framing sustainability and sustainability Governance for Transition, and new roles for government are sought Indicator to help PM to make a right decision Role of science in transition Power and the weakness of the economic modelling Translator, change maker as change agency, process organiser Networking is important to formulate horistic research on LCS Formulation of LCS To make a real progress Scenario and roadmap Technology roadmap Costs Burden sharing Finance Hard/ soft social infrastructure policy Feedback Monitoring Implementa tion on the ground Policy & Evaluation Policy formulation phase Target setting Minimize transition friction Consumption life style Behavior Mobilize private sector Building consensus Experiment eglowcarbon e.g.low carbon cities Participatory approach

4 Multi level Governance World towards LCS Involves government s policymaking structure, science and civil societies and other stakeholders Who participate in the process, who have the power to frame the issues, set the objectives and design/operationalise these forms of governance The self Governments State Markets Governance LCS Science Civil society Changing role of the sate: from Provider Controller to Facilitator, Enabler, Encourager Role of Science is also changing Macro economic analysis on cost Need to make understood that short-temtem losses can be turned to gain by early investment for longer-term targets. Already installed capital Imperfect foresight Loss of of purchasin g power Higher carbon price Impact on GDP variation w.r.t. reference scenario (%) scenario (%) % -2% -4% Delay of investment result in; Inertia of infrastructure, i f t t Delay in the urban reforms Early investment for longer term target -6% -8% -10% -12% Higher carbon -14% price -16% Make the cost into -2% benefit -4% -6% Source: Jean Charles Hourcade, Head of CIRED, France, GDP variation w.r.t. reference io (%).r.t. reference scenar 4% Annex I non Annex I World % -14% -16% World Refer to Presentaiton titled "Issues behind the modelling of «2 nd best World». GDP variation w. 2% 0% -8% -10% -12% Annex I non Annex I

5 Scenarios to Actions Modelling and various analysis required for better coordination of top down visions and policies and bottom up actions Need to show 2 nd best world linkage with sub optimalities; such as labour market, localization of technologies, people s preferences, etc. Overall productivity Demographics Aging Migrations Growth engine Savings rate Capital flows Source: Jean Charles Hourcade, Head of CIRED, France, Presentaiton titled "Issues behind the modelling of «2 nd best World». Globalisation vs fragmentation T Consumption patterns C Technology Energy, food and housing markets L Localisation Role of Science in Transition Non-linear systemic change Societal development Stabilization Acceleration Predevelopment From: Rotmans et al, 2000 Take-off time Presentation titled Transition governance for a Sustainable Low Carbon Society Derk Loorbach from Dutch Research Institute for kl hf Transitions, Erasmus University Rotterdam

6 Thank you very much. rnet.org