COUNTERFEIT CURRENCY REPORT

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1 CASH DEPARTMENT COUNTERFEIT CURRENCY REPORT January March 2018 April 2018

2 Contents: 1 Expertise of dinar banknotes Expertise of foreign currency banknotes Ratio of counterfeit dinar to foreign currency banknotes

3 1 Expertise of dinar banknotes In the first quarter of this year, the expertise of suspected counterfeit banknotes showed that a total of 1,182 notes were counterfeits, which is 2.1% less than in the same period last year, when a total of 1,207 false banknotes were detected. The face value of the counterfeits detected fell by 38.4% (RSD 1,153, in the first quarter 2018 compared to RSD 1,873, in the same period of 2017). Table 1 shows the denomination structure of detected dinar counterfeits. Table 1 Dinar banknote counterfeits, January March 2018 Denomination Total Pieces ,182 Share in % In terms of the denomination structure of detected dinar counterfeits, 500-, and 2000-dinar banknotes accounted for a dominant share (Chart 1). Percentage-wise, these three denominations made up 96.6% of the overall number of dinar counterfeits. Chart 1 Denomination structure of dinar banknote counterfeits, January March % 0% 0% 0.2% 1.5% 0.3% 15.6% 42.5% 38.5% Chart 2 illustrates the trends observed over the last eight years in terms of the number of detected counterfeits of these three most frequent denominations. 2

4 Chart 2 The most frequent dinars counterfeits , ,531 2,330 2,106 2,087 1,590 1,562 1, ,729 1,382 1, , ,808 2,115 2,770 1,510 1, dinar 1000-dinar 2000-dinar In value terms, the 1000-dinar banknote accounted for the largest share of the dinar counterfeit structure, followed by 2000-, 500- and 5000-dinar banknotes (Table 2 and Chart 3). In percentage terms, these four denominations accounted for 99.7% of all dinar counterfeits. Table 2 Dinar banknote counterfeits, January March 2018 (RSD thousand) Denomination Total Pieces ,153.7 Share in % Chart 3 Denomination structure of dinar banknote counterfeits, January March 2018 (nominally) 6.5% 0% 0% 0% 0.2% 0.1% 21.7% 32.1% 39.4%

5 A comparison of the number of detected dinar counterfeits with that of genuine dinar banknotes in circulation, which at 31 March 2018 numbered million pieces or RSD bln (Table 3), reveals that 3.7 in every one million circulating banknotes were found to be counterfeit, i.e. there was RSD 6,189 worth of counterfeits in every RSD 1 billion. Table 3 Circulating banknotes as at 31/3/2018 Denomination Pieces Amount ,313,283 16,566,415, ,794,126 95,588,252, ,125,879 53,125,879, ,977,425 10,988,712, ,593,857 4,318,771, ,927,078 2,692,707, ,136,550 1,456,827, ,762, ,245, ,020, ,204,570 Total: 322,650, ,393,015,430 2 Expertise of foreign currency banknotes From January to March 2018, the expertise of suspected counterfeit foreign currency banknotes revealed 170 pieces of counterfeits, which is almost two and a half times less than in the same period of 2017, when 420 such counterfeit notes were detected. Their currency and denomination structure is presented in Table 4. Тable 4 Foreign currency banknote counterfeits, January March 2018 Currency ЕUR Total USD Denomination EUR Total USD Other Total Pieces Share in % A total of 149 counterfeit euro banknotes were detected during the period observed, which is almost twice less than in the same period last year, when 291 of such notes were detected. The ratio between the number of the most frequently detected euro counterfeits 50- and 100-euro banknotes over the last eight years is presented in Chart 4. 4

6 Chart 4 The most frequent euro counterfeits 1,200 1, ,081 1, euro 100-euro In the first three months of this year, a total of 18 counterfeit US dollar banknotes were detected, which is less than in the same period last year, when 123 dollar banknotes were established to be counterfeit. From January to March this year, almost all detected counterfeit banknotes were those of 100 dollars. Chart 5 shows movements in the number of detected 100-dollar counterfeits over the last eight years. Chart 5 The most frequent US-dollar counterfeit 1,600 1,400 1,200 1, ,572 1, dollar Item Other in Table 4 refers to forged banknotes of two currencies the pound sterling (two pieces) and Bosnian convertible mark (one piece). In nominal terms, the share of individual currencies in total detected foreign currency counterfeits and their percentage vis-à-vis the figures from a year earlier are best illustrated if expressed in euros, 1 as shown in Chart 6. 1 The middle exchange rate as at 12 April 2018 was applied to convert the value of other currencies to the euro for 2017 and

7 Chart 6 Foreign currency banknote counterfeits, January March 2017 and 2018 (EUR thousand) I-III I-III EUR USD Other EUR USD Other 3 Ratio of counterfeit dinar to foreign currency banknotes Chart 7 shows the ratio of the number of detected dinar to foreign currency counterfeit banknotes in the total detected counterfeits for the January March 2018 period. Chart 7 Currency structure of banknote counterfeits detected in January March RSD EUR USD Other 1,182 As shown, the share of counterfeit dinar banknotes (87.4%) exceeds the share of all detected foreign currency counterfeits. In nominal terms, however, the share of individual currencies in total counterfeit banknotes in the first three months of 2018 is best illustrated if expressed in euros, 2 as shown in Chart 8. 2 The middle exchange rate as at 12 April 2018 was applied to convert the value of other currencies to the euro. 6

8 Chart 8 Currency structure of banknote counterfeits detected in January March 2018 (EUR) 1, ,759 19,780 RSD EUR USD Other The dominant share in total detected counterfeits was that of the euro (64%), followed by the dinar (31.6%) and the US dollar (4.2%). 7

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