Humankind 2.0: The Technologies of the Future 3. Virtual Reality
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1 Humankind 2.0: The Technologies of the Future 3. Virtual Reality Piero Scaruffi, 2016 See for the full text of this discussion
2 Virtual Reality in 2016 Zuckerberg 2
3 The Virtual Reality bubble? VC investment in VR 2015: $692 million April 2015-March 2016: VCs invest $1.7 billion in the 12 months leading to March 2016 Q1 of 2016: VC invest $1.2 billion in VR, but mostly Magic Leap May 2016: There are four AR/VR unicorns already (Magic Leap, Oculus, Blippar, MindMaze) 3
4 The Virtual Reality bubble? 4
5 The Virtual Reality bubble? 5
6 A Brief History Ivan Sutherland, Univ. of Utah (1969, funded by the CIA) Michael McGreevy (1984, NASA) Thomas Furness (1986, funded by the airforce) Jaron Lanier (VPL, 1985) 6
7 A Brief History Lucasfilm s "Habitat (1986) Nintendo s Power Glove (1989) CAVE at the University of Illinois (1992) MMORPGs 7
8 A Brief History The 1990s Sega VR (1993) Nintendo's Virtual Boy (1995) Future Vision Technologies head-mounted display Stuntmaster (1995) The Matrix (1999) 8
9 The 2000s A Brief History Online virtual worlds and avatars Habbo Hotel (Finland, 2000) Gaia Online (Silicon Valley, 2003) Second Life (Silicon Valley, 2003) There.com (Silicon Valley, 2003) IMVU (Silicon Valley, 2004) 9
10 The 2000s A Brief History Second Life: some famous avatars 10
11 A Brief History The 2000s 11
12 A Brief History The 2000s The cost of LCD screens declines thanks mainly to Hitachi's In Plane Switching design and Samsung's Multi-domain design The cost of 3D motion capture declines (Microsoft Kinect, 2010) 12
13 Digi-Capital: $30 billion market by 2020 (50% from VR games) Big picture Virtual Reality 13
14 Virtual Reality Mostly for games, partially for marketing and simulation Main target: the consumer Viewers ( ): Oculus Rift, Samsung Gear VR, Google Cardboard 14
15 Virtual Reality Tethered to computer, small range of movement: Facebook Oculus Tethered to computer, large range of movement: HTC Vive Smartphone required: Samsung Gear VR, Google Cardboard 15
16 Virtual Reality Stand-alone headset (no PC/smartphone required) Intel's Project Alloy Intel to open-source the Alloy hardware Microsoft Windows Holographic to add support for virtual- and augmented-reality headsets to all Windows 10 PCs 16
17 Virtual Reality 2016 sales 17
18 Virtual Reality Content Cameras: Jaunt VR, Matterport, Lucid VR, Google's Jump, Intel's RealSense camera Stories: NextVR, NY Times (2015) 3D Video: 8i 18
19 Virtual Reality Content End-to-end virtual reality: GoPro Six-camera Omni VR Partnerships with 100+ developers LiveVR wireless streaming tool GoPro VR video channel 19
20 Virtual Reality Competitive landscape 20
21 Virtual Reality Problem: motion sickness Solutions: Faster processors: Qualcomm Snapdragon 820 (2016) Google/Intel/Qualcomm's Project Tango 21
22 Virtual Reality The near future Near-eye light field technology: Magic Leap ($4.5 billion valuation in Jan 2016) Spatial tracking (where your head is): HTC Vive and Lighthouse Smartphone VR: enabled by Google s Project Tango 22
23 Virtual Reality Applications Gaming: Facebook Oculus Rift Education: Unimersiv Pain Relief: DeepStream Immersive Journalism: Emblematic Group Nonny_de_la_Pen a s Project Syria (2014) 23
24 Experiencing Reality The future of "distance learning Stanford/ zspace (Sunnyvale) Alchemy VR (London) Immersive VR (Ireland) Google s Pioneer Expeditions 24
25 Experiencing Reality The future of news Nonny de la Pena s "Project Syria (2014) The "reader" becomes an "observer", and therefore is much more likely to "feel" the story instead of simply "hearing" it. Chris Milk, founder of VR storytelling company Vrse (2014): "Clouds Over Sidra (2015) 25
26 Experiencing Reality Virtual reality: immersive content E.g.,: Guardians solitary confinement The Guardian (2016) 26
27 Experiencing Reality The old way to make you feel that you are there 27
28 Experiencing Reality Applications? Google Biennale 28
29 Marketing Framestore s Volvo app YouVisit s guided tours of hotels Outlyer s interactive advertisements Matterport for real estate 29
30 Art Museum HTC Vive Arts (2017) Partnerships with London's Royal Academy of Arts, Taipei's National Palace Museum, Paris' National Museum of Natural History, Washington's Newseum, St Petersburg's Hermitage, London's Tate Modern, etc 30
31 Teleporting to Shows Multiplication of tickets Attend the show as if it was happening now and here The "live" experience is different from being at home. 31
32 Virtual Reality Holographic Meetings, e.g. Mimesys
33 Virtual Reality Nvidia (2013) and Magic Leap (2016? - $600M in funding in 2015!): the near-eye light field display Nvidia
34 Virtual Reality Smartphone VR Google s Project Tango (2014), a phone + developer kit with advanced 3D sensors that help the phone track motion and build a visual map of rooms using 3D scanning 34
35 Virtual Reality Apple 2013: acquired PrimeSense - motion-detection technology 2015: acquired Metaio - augmented reality 2015: acquired FaceShift - animated avatars 2016: acquired FlyBy -? 35
36 A world of avatars Virtual Reality Dmitry Itskov 36
37 Augmented Reality 1990: Tom Caudell (Boeing) coins the term augmented reality" 1999:ARToolKit (Hirokazu Kato & Mark Billinghurst) 2008: augmented reality on CNN 2014: Daqri s Smart Helmet 37
38 Augmented Reality Main target: the office Meta: see-through display (2014) Microsoft Hololens (2015) Intel RealSense ZR300 (2016) Lumus (Israel): see-through display Blippar (Britain): visual discovery app 38
39 Augmented Reality Meta s workspace (2017) Mira s headset (2017) 39
40 Augmented Reality Blippar (Britain): visual discovery app MindMaze (Switzerland): stroke-rehabilitation therapy 40
41 Augmented Reality Augmented reality: immersive fun E.g.,: Evening Standard's blippable Queen selfie (2015) 41
42 Augmented Reality Augmented reality superimposes virtual objects on the physical world Has Pokémon Go Paved the Way for Adoption of Augmented Reality? 42
43 Augmented Reality Augmented reality 1. Location tracking (Pokemon Go) 2. 2d AR on smartphones (e.g. the back of a cereal box): passive experience 3. 3d AR on headsets (holograms that can be manipulated and can be explored): fully immersive/interactive room-scale experience 43
44 Augmented Reality City guide 44
45 Augmented Reality Medical applications 45
46 Augmented Reality The windshield! 46
47 Augmented Reality The landscape becomes a blank canvas AR becomes a new way to send messages that can even be 3D objects A new dimension of chatting Digital sculpture visible only with Hololens (Seattle, 2016) 47
48 Innovega/ emacula AR/VR Contact Lenses
49 AR/VR Contact Lenses Sony Patent Samsung Patent Google Patent
50 Virtual and Augmented Reality for Connecting People Gregorij Kurillo Teleimmersion UC Berkeley San Francisco LASER of 9/12/2017
51 HART Lab Human-Assistive Robotic Technologies Lab Exoskeletons Human-Robot Collaboration Soft Robotics Human Kinematic & Dynamic Modeling Smart Vehicles VR & AR for Telemedicine Gregorij Kurillo, UC Berkeley
52
53 Teleimmersion First application: Distributed Dance Collaboration with University of Illinois at Urbana- Champaign ( ) Real-time interaction of dancers across the network Gregorij Kurillo, UC Berkeley
54 Teleimmersion First application: Remote collaborative dancing Gregorij Kurillo, UC Berkeley
55 Current application: Augmented Telemedicine Platform Gregorij Kurillo, UC Berkeley
56 Collaboration with UC Davis Medical Center (2014) Use of Microsoft Kinect camera to connect patient and caregiver for assessment and physical rehabilitation. Remote assessment of function in clinical trials (reduce costs, travel etc.) Tele-rehabilitation Gregorij Kurillo, UC Berkeley
57 Tele-consultation Use of tele-immersive technology to connect remote expert and worker in the field. Goals are to improve communication, facilitate more informed decisions, and reduce errors due to miscommunications between remote teams. Technology to bridge virtual and augmented reality. Gregorij Kurillo, UC Berkeley
58 Augmented Telemedicine Model (2016) Instructions Augmented feedback Digital information from hospital Intervention Body surface imaging Vital signs Ultrasound data Digital Triage Gregorij Kurillo, UC Berkeley
59 Expert Side 3D Reconstruction and Visualization Data Capture with 3D camera Texture + Depth Encoding Internet 4G/Wifi Texture + Depth Decoding 3D Mesh Model Reconstruction Texture Mapped Model Gregorij Kurillo, UC Berkeley
60 Expert Side VR Interaction - Annotations Gregorij Kurillo, UC Berkeley
61 Expert Side VR Interactions - Measurements Gregorij Kurillo, UC Berkeley
62 Patient Side Patient Side Expert Side AR Feedback Digital annotations created by the expert are transmitted over the network and projected onto the body area in real time. Gregorij Kurillo, UC Berkeley
63 Expert Side Streaming of Ultrasound Video Gregorij Kurillo, UC Berkeley
64 Technological Barriers Gregorij Kurillo, UC Berkeley
65 Artificial Friendliness Gesture-based control of devices (Source: Hashem AL-Ghaili 65
66 Artificial Friendliness Gesture recognition Pebbles (Israel, acquired by Oculus) Google s Project Soli (2015): based on the principle of the radar 66
67 Artificial Friendliness Simulation 67
68 Artificial Friendliness Optical touch Any surface becomes a keyboard (Lumio) Any surface becomes a touch-screen (Touchjet) 68
69 Artificial Friendliness Brainwave sensors: SOSO (South Korea) ElMindA (Israel) ElMindA 69
70 Experiencing Reality The experience of "watching" content can be completely different. We live in a world in which the "attention span" has been constantly reduced. Virtual reality can be the perfect antidote to the trend towards multi-tasking Virtual reality is a medium that "forces" absolute focus on the content 70
71 Experiencing Reality A new dimension in human-machine interaction, one in which the machine is not a distraction but an aid to concentration Virtual reality enables interaction based on everything that we do: gazes, gestures, body movement, and some day maybe even breathing and thinking. Not watching or listening but "experiencing 71
72 Experiencing Reality The future of "distance learning Stanford/ zspace (Sunnyvale) Alchemy VR (London) Immersive VR (Ireland) Google s Pioneer Expeditions 72
73 Experiencing Reality What is missing from virtual reality: the other senses Multi-sensory reality Adrian Cheok, Mixed Reality Lab 73
74 Experiencing Reality: Touch SubPac Delivers low frequencies to body UltraHaptics Soundwaves create touch sensation Leap Motion Controller Computer vision brings hands in VR Melissa Merencillo
75 Vaqso Experiencing Reality: Smell
76 Social or Anti-social? (1972): death of the handwritten letter, but it allows people to keep in touch much more frequently Videogames (1970s) turn computers into an antisocial medium Facebook and Wechat (2000s): shallow "social" life Facebook has a Like button but not a Dislike button Friendship became a commodity Worse: Facebook makes money out of your friendships Your social life is someone else's business model 76
77 Social or Anti-social? "Second Life (2003): the future of social media? Socializing in a virtual world (in a world that doesn't exist) 77
78 Social or Anti-social? "Second Life (2003): a place for business meetings and brainstorming 78
79 Social or Anti-social? "Second Life (2003): classes, conferences and lectures 79
80 Social or Anti-social? VR documentaries Nonny de la Pena s "Project Syria (2014) The "reader" becomes an "observer", and therefore is much more likely to "feel" the story instead of simply "hearing" it. Chris Milk, founder of VR storytelling company Vrse (2014): "Clouds Over Sidra (2015) 80
81 Virtual Reality The Virtual World Creators Unreal Engine 4 Razer OSVR or Open Source Virtual Reality EON Reality Worldviz Unity 5 Unity EditorVR (2016) 81
82 Virtual Reality The Virtual World Creators Improbable (London, 2012) Autodesk's Stingray (2015) 82
83 Virtual Reality The Virtual World Creators OpenSim (2007), an open-source, multi-platform, multi-user 3D application server (compatible with Second Life) 83
84 Virtual Reality The Virtual World Creators VR business today: mostly devices to "consume" virtual reality, not the tools to create virtual world Penrose Studios virtual-reality film, "The Rose And I (2016) 84
85 Virtual Reality The Virtual World Creators The future of "writers : create a world and escort the viewer I will escort you into my world and we will socialize in it. "Life" will not be about going to a place that preexists but about going to the places that we design. 85
86 Virtual Reality The Virtual World Creators The future of urban planners: simulate the city 86
87 Social Virtual Reality Hang out with real people in virtual reality Altspace (Redwood City, 2013) High Fidelity (San Francisco, 2013) 87
88 Social Virtual Reality Facebook Spaces BigScreen 88
89 When AI meets VR Artificial Intelligence creates "artificial beings", and Virtual Reality creates an "artificial world The beings that inhabit a virtual world are avatars of real people but could also be independent beings that exist only in that world (self-creating avatars) You will not know who are avatars of real people and who are artificial avatars 89
90 When AI meets VR Artificial Intelligence can be used to "power" your own avatar. My avatar in Second Life disappears when i am not playing. A.I. could keep it awake and playing even when i am not in Second Life. Eternalize yourself! Lifenaut Botanic Oben 90
91 When AI meets VR The new generation of avatars could be "autonomous" avatars that (who?) learn your personality and then continue living in Second Life even when you "switch off" 91
92 Reality Check In 2007 Gartner Group predicted that 80% of Internet users would have an avatar in a virtual world by 2011 In 2013 Kzero forecasted 2014 sales of virtual reality headsets "to exceed 200,000". Statista predicted that in 2016 Samsung would sell 5 million Gear VR. In 2015 not even 1% of Internet users had an avatar in a virtual world. There was no virtual-reality headset available in 2014 for the mass market Samsung shipped 4.5 million units worldwide in 2016 (competitors Sony, HTC and Oculus shipped a combined 1.4m units) 92
93 2010s: A Roadmap 3D modeling and 3D display Motion sensors Devices to experience VR with smartphones (mobile VR) Videogames Marketing applications Business presentations (Microsoft HoloLens) 3D CAD/CAM/Printing Avatars for health care Avatars for investment 93
94 A Roadmap : Driven by the headsets : VR goes social : Driven by the market Desktop VR 94
95 2020: A Roadmap From passive 3D 360-degree video to true active VR Active VR, not just passive: you "control" the real world, not just "experience" it. A new generation of motion sensors Total immersion media: Journalism Cinema Training/education/simulation 95
96 2025: Brainwave sensors A Roadmap 96
97 Mis-information Dangers A realistic movie can convince a lot of people that its story is true You are even more likely to believe what is "happening" in the virtual world The danger is that virtual reality will be used to spread all sorts of false information in a very effective way. Capricorn 1 97
98 Hyper-Reality Live streaming 2015: Periscope in the top 10 most popular social-networking apps on both Google Play and the App Store YouNow Meerkat Facebook Live In virtual reality you hide yourself, you become someone else, while in live streaming you are "naked in front of everybody Maybe they complement each other? 98
99 Neuro-Reality Virtual reality is "vulnerable" to neuroscience. E.g., Matthew Phillips (HRL) trains people by transferring the brain waves of an expert into the brain of a novice 99
100 Philosophy Zhuang Zhou/ Chuang-Tzu (4th c. BC): "I did not know whether it was Zhou dreaming that he was a butterfly, or it was now a butterfly dreaming that it was Zhou" Nick Bostrom: Are we living in a simulation? (2003) 100
101 Art Myron Krueger Jeffrey Shaw Lynn Hershman Nicole Stenger: Angels (1992), the first immersive movie 101
102 Art Peter d'agostino Michael Naimark Charlotte Davies Kazuhiko Hachiya Osmose (1995) 102
103 Art Rachel Rossin Chris Milk 103
104 Art Studio Drift: 104
105 Art Hayoun Kwon 105
106 Art HTC Vive Arts (2017) Partnerships with London's Royal Academy of Arts, Taipei's National Palace Museum, Paris' National Museum of Natural History, Washington's Newseum, St Petersburg's Hermitage, London's Tate Modern, etc 106
107 Bibliography 1990s 2010s 107
108 Contact See for the full text of this discussion 108
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