CareerSource Florida Board Meeting October 25, 2017

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1 CareerSource Florida Board Meeting October 25, 2017

2 Welcome and Remarks Kevin Doyle Chairman, Strategic Policy & Performance Council

3

4

5 Chairman s Remarks Kevin Doyle Chairman, Strategic Policy & Performance Council

6 Mission Moment

7 Consent Agenda 1. Approval of Aug Board Meeting Minutes 2. Approval of CareerSource Okaloosa Walton One-Stop Operator Request Needed Action Approve the Consent Agenda as presented to include any modifications or changes noted by the board.

8 Strategic Policy & Performance Council Kevin Doyle Chairman

9 President s Report Michelle Dennard President and CEO

10 Corporate Goals Communicate the CareerSource Florida Network Vision Leverage Strategic Partnerships Keep Florida s Workforce System Accountable

11 Strategic Initiatives CareerSource Florida Grant Opportunities Skills Gap Analysis Hurricane Recovery

12 Florida 2030 Project: A Blueprint for Florida s Future John Kaliski

13 Planning from the Future: Florida2030.org John Kaliski Cambridge Systematics, Inc. October 25, 2017

14 Today s Agenda Project overview Town Hall input Initial research findings Preliminary recommendations Next steps

15 Blueprint for Florida s Future 2017 Florida Jobs From Excuses to Excellence 2016 Strategic Look at Medical Tourism 2013 Florida Trade and Logistics Study Immigration and Florida s Economy 2010 Florida Trade and Logistics Study 2010 Closing the Talent Gap 2007 New Cornerstone Revisited 2006 Florida Summit on Affordable Living 2003 New Cornerstone: Foundations for Florida s 21 st Century Economy 1999 Transportation Cornerstone Florida 1997 International Cornerstone Florida 1994 No More Excuses: What Business Must Do To Improve Florida s Schools 1991 Enterprise Florida: Partnership for a Competitive Economy 1990 Crossroads: Designing Florida s Tax Structure 1989 Enterprise Florida: Growing the Future 1989 Cornerstone: Foundations for Economic Leadership 1986 The Role of Privatization in Florida s Growth

16 Prosperity & High Paying Jobs Global Competitiveness Vibrant & Sustainable Communities We must plan better for the next 6 million Floridians than we did for the last 6 million

17 Florida 2030 Town Halls

18 Florida 2030 Townhalls 67 counties 10,000+ engaged 20,000+ miles traveled 150 hours of recorded conversation about Florida s Future 200+ business, chamber, and foundation partners >> Florida2030.org <<

19 Question: Optimistic or Pessimistic About Florida s Future? Key Reasons: Growth Diversity Natural Resources Weather No Income Tax Preliminary as of September 2017

20 Question: Positioned for Global Competitiveness, Prosperity AND Vibrant & Sustainable Communities? Preliminary as of September 2017

21 Strength and Improving Strength but Weakening Weakness but Improving Weakness and Getting Worse Preliminary as of September 2017

22 Strength and Improving Strength but Weakening Weakness but Improving Weakness and Getting Worse Preliminary as of September 2017

23 Strength and Improving Strength but Weakening Weakness but Improving Weakness and Getting Worse Preliminary as of September 2017

24 Strength and Improving Strength but Weakening Weakness but Improving Weakness and Getting Worse Preliminary as of September 2017

25 Strength and Improving Strength but Weakening Weakness but Improving Weakness and Getting Worse Preliminary as of September 2017

26 Strength and Improving Strength but Weakening Weakness but Improving Weakness and Getting Worse Preliminary as of September 2017

27 Strength and Improving Strength but Weakening Weakness but Improving Weakness and Getting Worse Preliminary as of September 2017

28 Strength and Improving Strength but Weakening Weakness but Improving Weakness and Getting Worse Preliminary as of September 2017

29 Strength and Improving Strength but Weakening Weakness but Improving Weakness and Getting Worse Preliminary as of September 2017

30 Research Approach Where Are We? Where Are We Going? Where Do We Want To Go? How Do We Get There? How does FL compare to other state/nations? How do we compare to 15 years ago? What are key drivers of change? What are potential risks and disruptions? Where do we want to be in 2030? How do we measure success? What strategies are needed to prepare for 2030?

31 Strong Jobs Recovery from Recession Florida Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics. Index, 2000:1-1.0

32 But Limited Wage and Income Gains $50,000 $45,000 $40,000 $40,939 $44,429 $35,000 $30,000 Florida Personal Income Per Capita, $2015 $25,000 $20,000 $15,000 $24,127 $23,928 $10,000 $5,000 $0 Florida Net Earnings Per Capita, $ Source: US Bureau of Economic Analysis. $2015 constant dollars

33 Drivers of Change Growth Innovation Risks Diversity Nature of Work Resources Urbanization Globalization Social Capital

34 More Diverse Population 49% of Florida s population will be minority race or ethnicity in 2030 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. University of Florida Bureau of Economic and Business Research.

35 Global Competition Change in Global Gross Domestic Product 2010 and 2030 Source: USDA, Economic Research Service (2012) 2005$. Percent change

36 Innovation: Shared Economy + Fundraising Listings Revenue

37 Automation +

38 Connectivity = million billion Billions of Connected Devices

39 Disruption Accomodations & food Manufacturing Retail trade Other services Wholesale trade Finance & insurance Real estate Information Management Education 46% of today s jobs could be automated by adapting currently available technologies Source: McKinsey Global Institute, January 2017

40 Rise of the Gig Economy Index, 2001=1.0 Source: Internal Revenue Service

41 Risk: Disaster Preparedness 180 Number of Declared Disasters per Year Source: Federal Emergency Management Administration. Three-year rolling average.

42 30

43 Globally Competitive? Florida s economy is 16th largest in the world today #25 in 2030? #10 in 2030? Florida #16 Source: World Bank, 2015

44 Globally Competitive? $80,000 GDP per Capita Lowest Among $70,000 Large U.S. State Economies $60,000 $50,000 $40,000 $30,000 $20,000 $10,000 $0 Florida Michigan North Carolina Georgia Ohio Pennsylvania United States Texas Virginia Illinois California NewJersey Massachusetts New York Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, 2015

45 Prosperity for All? Global Income Inequality Index Florida U.S. More Equal Less Equal Norway Finland Sweden Netherl Denmark Switzerl Ireland Britain France Luxemb Italy Greece Thailand United Russia Congo Philippi Bolivia Mexico Florida Costa Panama Brazil Colombia Haiti Source: American Community Survey World Bank Indicators

46 Prosperity for All? 44% of Florida households can not afford housing, child care, health care, transportation and basic needs 2 out of every 5 Floridians will spend more than 30% of income on housing in 2030 Source: ALICE United Way of Florida University of Florida Bureau of Economic and Business Research. 34

47 Prosperity in Every Zip Code? Lacoochee Percent with BA or Higher 4.2% Orchid Percent with BA or Higher 79.5%

48 Prosperity in Every Zip Code? Yalaha Percent in Poverty 1.8% Opa-locka City Percent in Poverty 44.8%

49 Prosperity in Every Zip Code? Homosassa Springs 2015 Median Earnings $19,212 Key Biscayne 2015 Median Earnings $60,767

50 Prosperity in Every Zip Code? Zephyrhills South Median Earnings 5 Year Change 73% West Vero Median Earnings 5 Year Change -39%

51 Emerging Themes Value-added economy Ecosystems Talent magnet Agility & resiliency Placemaking Repositioning FL 21 st century connectivity Collaboration

52 Talent Supply & Education Integrated cradle to career ecosystem emphasizing Industry needs Early learning Competency-based learning Credentialing Lifelong pathways with seamless on and off ramps Critical thinking and employability skills Entrepreneurial mindset Reducing barriers and inequities Early Learning Workforce FLORIDA'S INDUSTRY PK-12 Higher Education

53 Talent Supply & Education DRAFT Goals Workforce: Florida will provide universal access to positive- ROI education and training opportunities that enable current or potential new workers to acquire skills required to compete for high quality jobs Higher Education: Over 60% of Florida residents age will have earned, at minimum, a high quality certificate or credential with a demonstrated positive earnings-to-program cost ROI. PreK-12: Florida will rank in the top 5 and outperform other states in reading, math, science and technical skills, preparing students who are college and career ready. Early Learning: Ensure that every child in Florida, from birth to age 3, has access to safe, high quality early learning experiences as a foundation for lifelong intellectual, emotional, and social growth and development.

54 Florida 2030 Executive Steering Committee Talent Supply & Education Advisory Committee Innovation & Economic Development Advisory Committee Infrastructure & Growth Leadership Advisory Committee Business Climate & Competitiveness Advisory Committee Civic & Governance Systems Advisory Committee Quality of Life & Quality Places Advisory Committee GETTING INVOLVED IS EASY: Contact Brandi Brown,

55

56 6 Pillars 3 Years 10,000+ Floridians 1 Plan Florida2030.org 44

57 Discussion and Public Comment

58 Closing Remarks Kevin Doyle Chairman, Strategic Policy & Performance Council

59 Upcoming Meetings Finance Council Meeting November 16 Teleconference Executive Committee Meeting January 10, 2018 Teleconference Board and Related meetings February 13-14, 2018 Tallahassee careersourceflorida.com/boardroom

60 Upcoming Meetings Executive Committee Meeting April 11, 2018 Orlando Board and Related Meetings May 15-16, 2018 St. Augustine Board and Related Meetings September 24-28, 2018 Orlando Board Meeting December 12, 2018 Teleconference careersourceflorida.com/boardroom

61 Thank You!

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