HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE ON ENERGY CRISES AND U.S. POLICY RESPONSES

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1 Working Document of the NPC Global Oil & Gas Study Made Available July 18, 2007 TOPIC PAPER #30 HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE ON ENERGY CRISES AND U.S. POLICY RESPONSES This paper consists of Section I excerpted in its entirety from the 1987 NPC Report, Factors Affecting U.S. Oil & Gas Outlook The attached Topic Paper is one of 38 such working document used in the study analyses. Also included is a roster of the Subgroup that developed or submitted this paper. Appendix E of the final NPC report provides a complete list of the 38 Topic Papers and an abstract for each. The printed final report volume contains a CD that includes pdf files of all papers. These papers also can be viewed and downloaded from the report section of the NPC website (

2 Working Document of the NPC Global Oil & Gas Study Made Available July 18, 2007 NATIONAL PETROLEUM COUNCIL GEOPOLITICS SUBGROUP OF THE GEOPOLITICS & POLICY TASK GROUP OF THE NPC COMMITTEE ON GLOBAL OIL AND GAS LEADER Edward C. Chow Senior Fellow Energy Program Center for Strategic & International Studies ASSISTANT TO THE LEADER Jennifer L. Bovair Program Coordinator, Energy Program Center for Strategic & International Studies GOVERNMENT COLEADER David L. Pumphrey Deputy Assistant Secretary International Energy Cooperation Policy and International Affairs U.S. Department of Energy SECRETARY Marshall W. Nichols Executive Director National Petroleum Council * * * David P. Bailey International Government Relations and Planning Manager Exxon Mobil Corporation M. Reginald Dale Senior Fellow, Europe Program Center for Strategic & International Studies Samuel C. Beatty International Trade Specialist Office of Energy and Environment International Trade Agency U.S. Department of Commerce Ann A. Bordetsky Policy Analyst Natural Resources Defense Council DeAnn Craig Consultant, Business Planning Chevron North America Exploration and Production Company J. Robert Garverick Economic/Energy Officer Bureau of Economic and Business Affairs U.S. Department of State Robert L. Grenier Managing Director Kroll Inc. Rachel E. Halpern International Trade Specialist Office of Energy and Environment International Trade Agency U.S. Department of Commerce

3 Working Document of the NPC Global Oil & Gas Study Made Available July 18, 2007 GEOPOLITICS SUBGROUP MEMBERS (continued) Bryan J. Hannegan Vice President, Environment Electric Power Research Institute Alexander L. Iannaccone Intern 2006 Center for Strategic & International Studies Sarah O. Ladislaw Fellow, Energy Program Center for Strategic & International Studies Regis W. Matlak CIA Chair National War College Kevin M. O'Donovan Director Policy and State Government Relations Government Affairs Shell Oil Company William C. Ramsay Deputy Executive Director International Energy Agency D. Tate Rich Policy Advisor Office of the Deputy Assistant Secretary for Fossil Energy U.S. Department of Energy Richard G. Newell Gendell Associate Professor of Energy and Environmental Economics Nicholas School of the Environment & Earth Sciences Duke University Mark E. Rodekohr Director Energy Markets and Contingency Information Division Energy Information Administration U.S. Department of Energy

4 Working Document of the NPC Global Oil & Gas Study Made Available July 18, 2007 POLICY SUBGROUP OF THE GEOPOLITICS & POLICY TASK GROUP OF THE NPC COMMITTEE ON GLOBAL OIL AND GAS LEADER Frank A. Verrastro Director and Senior Fellow Energy Program Center for Strategic & International Studies ASSISTANT TO THE LEADER John H. Schaus Executive Officer to the President Center for Strategic & International Studies GOVERNMENT COLEADER David L. Pumphrey Deputy Assistant Secretary International Energy Cooperation Policy and International Affairs U.S. Department of Energy ASSISTANT TO THE LEADER Jennifer L. Bovair Program Coordinator Energy Program Center for Strategic & International Studies SECRETARY Marshall W. Nichols Executive Director National Petroleum Council Douglas J. Arent Principal Analyst National Renewable Energy Laboratory David K. Bellman Director of Fundamental Analysis Corporate Planning & Budgeting America Electric Power Co., Inc. James R. Burkhard Managing Director Global Oil Group Cambridge Energy Research Associates Kateri A. Callahan President Alliance to Save Energy Charles B. Curtis President and Chief Operating Officer Nuclear Threat Initiative Bruce M. Everett Adjunct Assistant Professor Edmund A. Walsh School of Foreign Service Georgetown University Jason S. Grumet Executive Director National Commission on Energy Policy Alan J. Kelly Former General Manager, Corporate Planning Exxon Mobil Corporation William L. Kovacs Vice President Environment, Technology and Regulatory Affairs U.S. Chamber of Commerce Deron W. Lovaas Vehicles Campaign Director Natural Resources Defense Council

5 Working Document of the NPC Global Oil & Gas Study Made Available July 18, 2007 POLICY SUBGROUP MEMBERS (continued) Shirley J. Neff President Association of Oil Pipe Lines Rodney F. Nelson Vice President Innovation and Collaboration Schlumberger Limited Donald L. Paul Vice President and Chief Technology Officer Chevron Corporation Erik R. Peterson Senior Vice President Center for Strategic & International Studies Mervyn T. Sambles Vice President Strategic Development Fluor Corporation Philip R. Sharp President Resources For the Future Adam E. Sieminski Chief Energy Economist Global Markets/Commodities Deutsche Bank AG Linda G. Stuntz Partner Stuntz, Davis & Staffier, P.C.

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