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2 Produced by the BPDA Research Division: Alvaro Lima Director Jonathan Lee Deputy Director Christina Kim Research Manager Phillip Granberry Senior Researcher/Demographer Matthew Resseger Senior Researcher/Economist Kevin Kang Research Associate Kevin Wandrei Research Assistant Avanti Krovi Research Assistant Interns: Jing Chen, Cyan O Garro, Alissa Zimmer, Zhehui Zheng The BPDA Research Division strives to understand the current environment of the city to produce quality research and targeted information that will inform and benefit the residents and businesses of Boston. The Division conducts research on Boston s economy, population, and commercial markets for all departments of the BPDA, the City of Boston, and related organizations. The information provided in this report is the best available at the time of its publication. All or partial use of this report must be cited. Our preferred citation is as follows: Boston Planning and Development Agency Research Division, December, 2017 More research produced by the Boston Planning and Development Agency can be found on the BPDA Research Website: Research Publications Research requests can be made through the BPDA Research Division s Research Inquiries. 2

3 Population Housing Age Distribution Race/Ethnicity Nativity Educational Attainment Labor Force 3

4 This report uses the Decennial Censuses for historical data. In recent data, population and housing counts come from the 2010 Decennial Census while the distribution of demographic attributes come from the and year American Community Surveys. This report applies 2010 Census tract-approximations of neighborhood boundaries to Census data from 1950 to 2015 in order to compare consistent geographies over time. Note that some smaller neighborhoods are not distinguishable in tract-level data. Chinatown and the Leather District are included here with Downtown. Bay Village is included with the South End. The Harbor Islands are not included in the graphs, but are described in a table in the last section of the report. For a full description of the methodology, please see Historical Boston in Context: Neighborhoods available on the BPDA website.

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6 Boston s population reached its peak in 1950, with just over 800,000 residents Like many major U.S. cities, Boston experienced significant decline in the post-world War II era. By 1980, Boston s population fell to under 563,000 residents Since 1980, Boston s population grew by 18%, with the 2010 Census marking the first time since 1970 that Boston s population exceeded 600,000 people 850, ,000 Boston's Population ( ) 801, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Census, 2015 American Community Survey, BPDA Research Division Analysis 6

7 Boston s population declined by 238,450 people from 1950 to Roxbury, Dorchester, South End, South Boston, and East Boston accounted for 75% of the city s population loss. Dorchester remained the largest neighborhood, but Brighton became second largest after Roxbury s population loss. Boston Population by Neighborhood 1950 & 1980 Dorchester Roxbury South Boston Jamaica Plain Brighton East Boston South End Charlestown Roslindale West Roxbury Hyde Park Fenway Mattapan Mission Hill Back Bay North End Allston Beacon Hill West End Downtown/Chinatown Longwood South Boston Waterfront 31,332 28,801 27,066 26,128 25,804 23,840 22,219 21,228 16,087 15,719 14,277 12,806 7,174 2,592 2,183 53,463 52,753 51,458 51,152 49, , ,139-20,000 40,000 60,000 80, , , , , ,000 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 1950 & 1980 Decennial Censuses, BPDA Research Division Analysis

8 Roxbury lost 50,000 people and Dorchester lost almost 38,000 people from 1950 to West Roxbury, Hyde Park, Downtown, Fenway, Longwood, and Allston gained population 1950 to Change in Population 1950 to 1980 Downtown/Chinatown Hyde Park Fenway West Roxbury Allston Longwood South Boston Waterfront Mattapan Roslindale Back Bay Brighton Beacon Hill Mission Hill East Boston West End North End Charlestown Jamaica Plain South Boston South End Dorchester Roxbury -50,074-37,650 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 1950 & 1980 Decennial Censuses, BPDA Research Division Analysis -13,513-17,803-18,152 9,729 9,457 6,406 5,729 4,042-60,000-50,000-40,000-30,000-20,000-10, ,000 20,000 8

9 The small neighborhoods of Longwood and Downtown/Chinatown had large percentage gains 1950 to 1980, while the West End and South Boston Waterfront had even larger percentage losses. The larger neighborhoods of Charlestown, Roxbury, and the South End also lost over 50% of their population to 1980 Percentage Changes in Population Longwood Downtown/Chinatown Hyde Park West Roxbury Fenway Allston Brighton Roslindale Mattapan Back Bay Beacon Hill Boston Jamaica Plain Dorchester Mission Hill East Boston South Boston North End South End Roxbury Charlestown West End South Boston Waterfront -66.8% -67.3% -44.6% -47.1% -51.6% -57.0% -57.3% -25.5% -29.8% -30.0% -32.5% -36.4% -37.1% -13.6% -3.8% -4.2% -4.2% 3.1% 0.3% 19.8% 16.3% 16.2% 15.8% -80% -70% -60% -50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 1950 & 1980 Decennial Censuses, BPDA Research Division Analysis 9

10 Boston s population began to grow again after Dorchester grew to 114,000 people by 2010, still below the 162,000 population of Roxbury grew to 51,000 people to resume its place as Boston s second largest neighborhood. Boston Population by Neighborhood, 1980 & 2010 Dorchester Brighton Roxbury East Boston Jamaica Plain Fenway Hyde Park South Boston West Roxbury South End Roslindale Mattapan Allston Mission Hill Back Bay Charlestown Downtown/Chinatown Beacon Hill North End West End Longwood South Boston Waterfront 9,023 8,608 5,423 4,861 2,564 40,508 35,541 33,895 32,317 31,110 30,445 29,612 26,368 22,500 22,312 16,874 16,622 16,439 15,992 52,685 49, ,249-20,000 40,000 60,000 80, , ,000 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 1980 & 2010 Decennial Censuses, BPDA Research Division Analysis Census 10

11 East Boston, Downtown/Chinatown, and Fenway had the largest absolute gains in population from 1980 to Back Bay, Beacon Hill, and Jamaica Plain had the largest losses in population Population Change East Boston Downtown/Chinatown Fenway Allston Roxbury South End Dorchester Brighton Charlestown Mission Hill Hyde Park South Boston Waterfront Longwood South Boston West End North End Mattapan West Roxbury Roslindale Jamaica Plain Beacon Hill Back Bay ,232-1,382-1,614-1, ,968 1,851 1,756 1,503 1,166 3,182 3,075 2,739 4,779 5,528 5,511 6,551 7,650 7,281-4,000-2, ,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 1980 & 2010 Decennial Censuses, BPDA Research Division Analysis 8,330 11

12 The South Boston Waterfront and Downtown had small residential populations that have grown rapidly since Longwood, Allston, the West End, and Fenway also had large percentage gains in population. South Boston Waterfront Downtown/Chinatown Longwood Allston West End Fenway East Boston Charlestown South End Mission Hill Roxbury Boston Hyde Park Brighton South Boston Dorchester North End Mattapan West Roxbury Jamaica Plain Roslindale Back Bay Beacon Hill -1% -3% -4% -4% -9% -15% 1980 to 2010 Percentage Change in Population 27% 27% 26% 23% 23% 19% 13% 10% 6% 6% 5% 4% 1% 42% 57% 92% -50% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% 300% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 1980 & 2010 Decennial Censuses, BPDA Research Division Analysis 260% 12

13 In 2010, Boston as a whole was at 80% of its 1950 population. Downtown is at almost two and a half times its 1950 residential population. Roxbury and the West End are at about half of their 1950 populations Neighborhood Population as Ratio of 1950 Population Boston Downtown/Chinatown Fenway/Longwood Roxbury Hyde Park West End Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses, BPDA Research Division Analysis 13

14 By 2010, Boston had rebounded to 110% of its 1980 population. The South Boston Waterfront is almost four times as populous as in 1980, and Downtown/Chinatown is almost twice as populous. Beacon Hill has lost population and is only at 85% of its 1980 level Neighborhood Population as Ratio of 1980 Population Boston Beacon Hill Charlestown Downtown/Chinatown East Boston South Boston Waterfront 14 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses, BPDA Research Division Analysis

15 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 1950, 1980 & 2010 Decennial Census, BPDA Research Division Analysis 15

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17 From 1950 to 1980, the number of occupied housing units in Boston remained roughly the same, despite the decline in population. From 1980 to 2015, occupied housing units rose by 43,000 units, an increase of almost 20%. Most of the increase in housing has been in owner-occupied units which grew by almost 50% from 1980 to , , , ,456 Occupied Housing Units by Tenure, , , , ,000 50, , ,953 54,266 59, ,421 89, Total Occupied Housing Units Renter Occupied Units Owner Occupied Units Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Census, University of Minnesota, NHGIS, American Community Survey, American Fact Finder, BPDA Research Division Analysis

18 Boston s total number of housing units (including vacant units) grew from 1950 to 1980, from 222,079 in 1950 to 241,444 in The citywide increase occurred despite large declines in units in some neighborhoods, especially Roxbury. Roxbury s total housing units declined from 28,215 to 18,234. Dorchester Roxbury Brighton South Boston East Boston Jamaica Plain South End Fenway Roslindale West Roxbury Charlestown Hyde Park Back Bay Mattapan Mission Hill Allston Beacon Hill North End West End Downtown/Chinatown Longwood South Boston Waterfront ,578 3,884 6,957 12,712 14,473 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses, BPDA Research Division Analysis Total Housing Units by Neighborhood, 1950 & ,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 50, ,215 43,914

19 From 1950 to 1980, Brighton, West Roxbury, Back Bay, Hyde Park, and Downtown/Chinatown gained the most housing units. Roxbury lost the most units (9,981), followed by Dorchester, West End, South Boston, and Charlestown. Brighton West Roxbury Back Bay Hyde Park Downtown/Chinatown Roslindale Mattapan Allston Beacon Hill Fenway Jamaica Plain Mission Hill East Boston North End Longwood South End South Boston Waterfront Charlestown South Boston West End Dorchester Roxbury (9,981) Change in Total Housing Units (26) (68) (174) (294) (835) (855) (1,563) (1,914) 2,915 2,179 2,018 1,809 1,764 1,538 1, ,898 4,505 4,374 (12,000) (10,000) (8,000) (6,000) (4,000) (2,000) - 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 6,369 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses, BPDA Research Division Analysis

20 In percentage terms, Downtown/Chinatown gained the most housing, increasing almost 200%. Back Bay, West Roxbury, and Hyde Park gained over 50% more housing from 1950 to The South Boston Waterfront lost nearly 50% of its housing, falling to just 400 units in Downtown/Chinatown Back Bay West Roxbury Hyde Park Brighton Beacon Hill Allston Mattapan Roslindale Fenway Mission Hill Jamaica Plain Boston East Boston North End South End Dorchester South Boston Longwood Charlestown Roxbury -35.4% West End -40.2% South Boston Waterfront-42.1% -0.6% -1.4% -4.4% -5.9% -8.4% -12.0% 15.5% 14.6% 9.3% 8.7% 4.4% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses, BPDA Research Division Analysis Change in Total Housing Units 39.0% 37.1% 35.8% 32.5% 27.4% 68.4% 66.3% 64.0% -50% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 195.2%

21 Boston s housing units increased from 241,444 in 1980 to 272,481 in Dorchester s housing increased to 45,140, back to 1950 levels. Roxbury reached 19,373 units, a significant increase over 1980, but still short of the 28,215 it had in Total Housing Units by Neighborhood, 1980 & 2010 Dorchester Brighton Roxbury South End South Boston East Boston Jamaica Plain West Roxbury Fenway Hyde Park Back Bay Roslindale Mattapan Charlestown Downtown/Chinatown Allston Mission Hill Beacon Hill North End West End South Boston Waterfront Longwood 3,261 1,530 5,795 16,665 16,086 15,854 15,846 13,546 13,503 12,481 11,339 11,138 9,112 8,648 8,033 7,898 6,790 19,373 24,014 45,140-5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 50,000 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses, BPDA Research Division Analysis

22 Boston added 31,000 housing units from 1980 to The South End added the most housing since 1980, at 4,127, followed by the Downtown/Chinatown, Dorchester, Charlestown and South Boston. Longwood and Beacon Hill had a net loss in housing units. South End Downtown/Chinatown Dorchester Charlestown South Boston Fenway Brighton East Boston Hyde Park West Roxbury North End Roxbury Jamaica Plain South Boston Waterfront Allston Roslindale West End Mattapan Back Bay Mission Hill Longwood Beacon Hill (326) (507) Change in Total Housing Units 245 1,332 1,291 1,269 1,265 1,243 1,139 1,136 1,126 1, (1,000) - 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 2,011 2,526 2,468 3,140 3,625 4,127 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses, BPDA Research Division Analysis

23 After a 42% decrease in housing from 1950, the South Boston Waterfront had almost no housing in However, the South Boston Waterfront built 1,126 new units from 1980 to 2010, yielding a 279% increase in housing. After increasing almost 200% in the earlier time period, housing in Downtown/Chinatown rose another 82% from 1980 to 2015, with 3,625 additional units. South Boston Waterfront Downtown/Chinatown Charlestown West End South End North End South Boston Fenway Allston Boston Hyde Park Mattapan West Roxbury Roslindale East Boston Jamaica Plain Dorchester Roxbury Brighton Back Bay Mission Hill Beacon Hill Longwood -43.9% -7.8% 41.3% 40.5% 32.9% 27.3% 18.1% 17.5% 15.0% 12.9% 11.3% 10.7% 10.3% 9.8% 8.9% 7.7% 7.5% 6.2% 5.9% 2.2% 1.3% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses, BPDA Research Division Analysis Change in Total Housing Units 82.2% % -50.0% 0.0% 50.0% 100.0% 150.0% 200.0% 250.0% 300.0% 278.7%

24 In 2010, Downtown/Chinatown had five times as many housing units as in 1950 and the South Boston Waterfront has more than twice as many. In contrast, Roxbury and the West End had only 69 and 84 percent of the housing units that they had in Ratio of 2010 Total Housing Units to 1950 Housing Units Boston Downtown/Chinatown Hyde Park Roxbury South Boston Waterfront West End West Roxbury Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses, BPDA Research Division Analysis

25 The ratio of population to occupied housing units in Boston has fallen from 3.7 to 2.4 from 1950 to Downtown/Chinatown s ratio fell from 5.0 in 1950 to 2.3 in 1960 due to housing growth and population loss. Longwood/Fenway s ratio has risen due to the increasing share of population housed in dormitories. 6 Ratio of Population to Occupied Housing Units Boston Charlestown Downtown/Chinatown North End South End Longwood/Fenway Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses, BPDA Research Division Analysis

26 Since 1950, Boston s owner occupancy rate increased from 25% to 34%, still much lower than the U.S. rate of 64%. Owner occupancy has increased dramatically in Charlestown, South Boston, South End, Beacon Hill, and Back Bay. Owner occupancy has fallen slightly in West Roxbury, Brighton, Mission Hill, and Allston. West Roxbury Hyde Park Roslindale Charlestown Jamaica Plain South Boston Mattapan South Boston Waterfront South End Dorchester Boston Beacon Hill Back Bay Downtown/Chinatown East Boston Brighton North End West End Roxbury Longwood Mission Hill Fenway Allston Neighborhoods by Owner Occupancy Rate, 1950 and % 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 1950 & 2010 Decennial Census, BPDA Research Division Analysis

27 Back Bay and South End saw large increases in owner occupancy rates. Owner occupancy in Allston fell from 14% to 11%. West Roxbury continues to have the highest owner occupancy rate, although it has fallen slightly from 69% to 64%. 80% Owner Occupancy Rate, % 60% 50% 69.4% 53.0% 63.6% 57.9% 40% 30% 20% 10% 24.9% 15.2% 13.5% 10.4% 8.2% 36.5% 33.9% 32.9% 19.9% 10.6% 0% Boston Allston Back Bay South End West Roxbury Hyde Park Roxbury Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses, BPDA Research Division Analysis

28 Only three neighborhoods had fewer housing units in 2010 than in 1950: West End, Longwood, and Roxbury. Downtown/Chinatown and South Boston Waterfront more than doubled their units in the 60 year period. Both, however, had relatively few units in Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 1950 & 2010 Decennial Censuses, BPDA Research Division Analysis

29 From 1950 to 2010, owner-occupied housing grew rapidly in the neighborhoods surrounding Downtown. Several neighborhoods saw a decline in renter-occupied housing from 1950 to Roxbury also saw a decline in owner-occupied housing. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses, BPDA Research Division Analysis

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31 The young adult (aged 20 to 34) population in Boston experienced decreases in 1960 and 2000, but has overall been on an upward trend. The aged 0-9 population has fallen, with the largest decrease happening between 1970 and The elderly population has also fallen since 1950, although at a slower rate. All three age groups shown here have seen an uptick in population from 2010 to ,000 Boston Population by Selected Age Groups, , , , , , ,000 77,634 50,000 70,871 65, Age 0-9 Age Age 65+ Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Census Count 2; University of Minnesota, NHGIS, American Community Survey, American Fact Finder, BPDA Research Division Analysis

32 The population aged 0 to 9 declined in all neighborhoods from 1950 to 2010, except in Downtown, where the child population grew by 4%. The young adult population (20 to 34) grew fastest in the college neighborhoods (Allston/Brighton, Fenway), and the urban core. Seniors grew fastest in the outer residential neighborhoods in the southern part of the City and in Downtown. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses, BPDA Research Division Analysis 22

33 Children, birth to age nine, fell from 15.6% to 9.7% of the city s population from 1950 to In South Boston, the population share of young children fell from 21% to 7.5%. Allston, Longwood, Fenway, North End, and South Boston Waterfront have almost no young children 3% or lower share. 25% Population Share Age 0 to % 20% 17.6% 15% 14.2% 10% 11.8% 10.6% 9.7% 8.7% 5% 7.5% 3.3% 0% % Charlestown Boston North End South Boston South End Allston Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses, & American Community Surveys, BPDA Research Division Analysis

34 Charlestown is currently the Boston neighborhood with the highest share of children birth to age nine at 14%. The share of young children in Charlestown declined from 1950 to 1990, but has been since rising. However, Charlestown has a small share of year olds only 7% compared to 18% in % 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Charlestown Population by Age 7% 10% 11% 12% 11% 11% 11% 9% 7% 9% 10% 10% 9% 8% 11% 11% 21% 23% 22% 21% 24% 28% 27% 26% 31% 19% 20% 29% 37% 33% 31% 32% 18% 18% 20% 17% 8% 9% 7% 7% 18% 21% 18% 11% 10% 11% 13% 14% years years years years years 65 years and over Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses, & American Community Surveys, BPDA Research Division Analysis

35 The population share of young adults aged 20 to 34 in Boston has increased since 1950, from 25 percent to 35 percent of the city as a whole. In 1950, residents aged 20 to 34 made up between 20% and 30% of residents of almost all Boston neighborhoods. In 2015, over half of the populations of Allston, the North End, Fenway, Brighton, Beacon Hill, and Longwood were between the ages of 20 and 34. Meanwhile, the young adult share of West Roxbury s population has fallen to 16.5%. 20 to 34 Year Old Population Share 70% 60% 50% 64.5% 58.9% 53.4% 44.1% 40% 30% 20% 10% 29.2% 19.9% 34.7% 21.0% 16.5% 0% Allston South Boston West Roxbury North End Hyde Park Brighton Boston Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses, & American Community Surveys, BPDA Research Division Analysis

36 Allston s age distribution has changed dramatically from a balanced mix in 1950 to a large share of young adults in % of Allston s population is between 18 and 34. Allston has very few young children or older adults children under 10, adults 55-64, and seniors 65 and over each make up only about 3% of the Allston population. 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 10.6% 11.3% 28.7% 14.2% 13.4% 23.0% Allston Population by Age Group 3.9% 3.2% 2.6% 3.1% 10.4% 7.3% 3.4% 3.0% 4.8% 3.5% 4.3% 12.8% 12.7% 10.7% 9.7% 7.9% 10.1% 12.2% 50% 40% 30% 26.5% 27.6% 45.3% 58.6% 61.6% 61.1% 63.2% 64.5% 20% 10% 0% 9.2% 9.6% 17.0% 13.8% 12.2% 15.1% 12.2% 15.2% 16.2% 16.0% 7.2% 4.7% 6.1% 4.8% 2.5% 3.3% years years years years years 65 years and over Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses, & American Community Surveys, BPDA Research Division Analysis

37 The share of Boston s population that is aged 65+ has stayed about the same since 1950, ranging from 10% to 13%. The elderly share in West Roxbury rose to a peak of 22% in 1980 before falling to 17%. The elderly share in Allston fell from a peak of 14% in 1960 to a low of 3% in % Age 65+ Population by Neighborhood 22.1% 20% 15% 11.4% 15.6% 17.4% 13.0% 10% 5% 8.2% 10.5% 4.5% 0% 3.1% Boston Allston Fenway Hyde Park Mattapan West Roxbury Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses, & American Community Surveys, BPDA Research Division Analysis

38 In contrast to Allston, West Roxbury has maintained a more balanced age distribution. West Roxbury has the highest share of population over age 65 of any neighborhood 17%. West Roxbury has the lowest share of population ages of any neighborhood also 17%. 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% West Roxbury Population by Age Group 10% 12% 16% 22% 22% 20% 16% 17% 11% 13% 13% 9% 13% 10% 12% 13% 29% 26% 22% 19% 23% 30% 30% 30% 20% 15% 17% 25% 27% 20% 21% 17% 14% 16% 16% 13% 8% 9% 8% 10% 16% 17% 15% 8% 10% 12% 13% 13% years years years years years 65 years and over Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses, & American Community Surveys, BPDA Research Division Analysis

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40 In 1950, Boston was only 5.3% non-white, but Boston s Hispanic and non-white populations have grown consistently since then. Boston s non-hispanic White population fell from 1950 to 2010, before a small increase to Boston became a majority-minority city in 2000, and by 2015, Boston was 54.5% Hispanic or non-white. 800, , ,700 Boston Population by Race, , , , , ,000 42, , , , , , White Non-White Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses, year American Community Survey, BPDA Research Division Analysis Note: For 1950 & 1960, non-white Census categories were Black/African American or Other. After 1970, non-white Census categories also include Asian and Hispanic.

41 Roxbury, the South End, and Downtown/Chinatown were 20-25% Hispanic or non-white in 1950 while other neighborhoods had virtually no Hispanic or non-white population. By 2015, the large majority of residents of Mattapan, Roxbury, Dorchester, Hyde Park, and East Boston were Hispanic or non-white. 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 25.1% 5.3% Boston s Hispanic & Non-White Population Share by Neighborhood, % 93.9% 89.1% 77.9% 68.0% 54.5% 44.9% 43.8% 0% Dorchester Downtown/Chinatown East Boston Mattapan Roxbury South End Boston Note: For 1950 & 1960, non-white Census categories were Black/African American or Other. After 1970, non-white Census categories also include Asian and Hispanic. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses, & American Community Surveys, BPDA Research Division Analysis

42 While Boston s non-white population was smaller in 1950, it was also more concentrated. In 1950, 86% of Boston s small non-white population lived in Roxbury or the South End. By 2015, the non-white population had grown significantly and spread into other neighborhoods, notably Dorchester, East Boston, Hyde Park, and Mattapan. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 1950 Decennial Census, American Community Survey, BPDA Research Division Analysis. Note: For 1950 & 1960, non-white Census categories were Black/African American or Other. After 1970, non-white Census categories also include Asian and Hispanic.

43 The Black/African-American share of Boston s population increased from 5% in 1950 to about 23% in 1990, and has remained steady since then. The Black/African-American share of Roxbury s population rose from 25% in 1950 to a peak of 79% in 1980 before falling back to 53% in The Black/African-American share of Mattapan s population rose from almost none in 1950 to 74% in % 80% 70% Black/African-American Share of Boston s Population, % 79.9% 73.7% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 24.9% 53.0% 45.1% 22.7% 10% 0% 11.8% 5.0% Boston Dorchester Hyde Park Mattapan Roxbury South End Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses, & American Community Surveys, BPDA Research Division Analysis

44 Roxbury has maintained a substantial Black/African-American population throughout the time period. Roxbury s large population loss from 1950 to 1980 was largely due to a declining White population. Since 1980 Roxbury has grown, with a growing Hispanic population. Roxbury's Population by Race/Ethnicity 100% 90% 80% 70% 24.9% 52.8% 7.2% 11.9% 18.5% 23.5% 26.6% 29.0% 60% 50% 40% 30% 74.9% 75.1% 78.9% 73.3% 62.1% 58.0% 53.0% 20% 46.5% 10% 0% 16.2% 6.2% 4.5% 5.3% 7.5% 10.9% White Black/ African American Hispanic Asian/PI Other Note: Before 1970, Hispanics and Asians are not identified separately in the Census. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses, & American Community Surveys, BPDA Research Division Analysis

45 The Hispanic share of Boston s population has grown from 3% in 1970 to 19% in The growth in the Hispanic population has been especially strong in East Boston where it has risen to 58% of the neighborhood population. Jamaica Plain s Hispanic population share peaked in 2000 at 29% and has since fallen slightly to 25%. Hispanic Share of Boston s Population, % 57.9% 50% 40% 30% 20% 27.9% 28.6% 29.0% 22.6% 18.8% 10% 7.2% 0% Boston East Boston Hyde Park Jamaica Plain Roslindale Roxbury Note: Before 1970 Hispanics are not identified separately in the Census. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses, & American Community Surveys, BPDA Research Division Analysis

46 East Boston s non-hispanic White population has been steadily declining since East Boston s population growth since 1980 is predominantly due to the growing Hispanic population. 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% East Boston Population by Race/Ethnicity 1.3% 2.9% 3.8% 4.2% 2.8% 4.1% 4.0% 3.9% 3.6% 17.6% 2.1% 39.0% 51.1% 57.9% 50% 99.9% 99.8% 97.6% 95.8% 3.1% 40% 30% 20% 10% 75.8% 49.7% 3.0% 39.2% 2.4% 32.0% 0% White Black/ African American Hispanic Asian/PI Other Note: Before 1970, Hispanics and Asians are not identified separately in the Census. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses, & American Community Surveys, BPDA Research Division Analysis

47 Boston s Asian population has grown from 1% to 9% of the city population since The growth in the Asian population growth has been especially strong in Fenway where it has risen to 19% of the neighborhood population. Downtown/Chinatown s population share peaked in 1990 at 42% and has since fallen slightly to 31%. Asian Share of Boston s Population, % 40% 41.6% 33.7% 35% 30% 25% 20% 19.6% 30.7% 18.7% 15% 13.3% 16.4% 10.6% 10% 5% 3.2% 9.3% 0% Boston Allston Dorchester Downtown/Chinatown Fenway South End Note: Before 1970, Hispanics and Asians are not identified separately in the Census. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses, & American Community Surveys, BPDA Research Division Analysis

48 The White population share in Fenway has fallen from 98% in 1950 to 61% in The Asian population share has increased from 2% in 1970 to 19% in % 90% 80% 70% 60% 1.7% 2.7% Fenway Population by Race/Ethnicity 2.2% 2.2% 1.3% 3.4% 2.6% 3.4% 4.4% 4.1% 9.9% 5.1% 14.1% 16.2% 18.7% 9.1% 7.7% 8.9% 7.5% 6.4% 5.7% 4.6% 11.5% 5.0% 50% 40% 30% 97.6% 95.5% 91.7% 79.5% 72.2% 69.2% 70.1% 61.4% 20% 10% 0% White Black/ African American Hispanic Asian/PI Other Note: Before 1970, Hispanics and Asians are not identified separately in the Census. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses, & American Community Surveys, BPDA Research Division Analysis

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50 Boston s native-born population was in continual decline from 1950 through The foreign-born population fell from 1950 to 1970, but has more than doubled since , , ,608 Boston Population by Nativity, , , , , , , , , ,000 83, Native Foreign Born Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses, & year American Community Survey, BPDA Research Division Analysis 50

51 Boston s foreign born population share fell slightly to 13.1% from 1960 to 1970, then rose steadily to 27.3% in Downtown/Chinatown maintained a high foreign born share throughout the period - between 28% and 42%. East Boston, Mattapan, and Dorchester greatly increased their foreign born share since Foreign Born Share of Population 60% 50.5% 50% 40% 31.9% 33.2% 41.9% 35.3% 30% 18.8% 20% 26.2% 12.6% 10% 0% 12.9% 8.1% Boston Dorchester Downtown/Chinatown East Boston Mattapan North End Roxbury Note: Accurate nativity data are not available from the 1950 Census. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses, & American Community Surveys, BPDA Research Division Analysis

52 In 1960, the North End s population of 12,000 was 32% foreign born. In 2015, only 13% of the North End s 9,000 residents were foreign born. However, in 2015, 35% of North End residents reported Italian ancestry, a legacy of earlier immigration. 100% North End Population by Nativity 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 68.1% 67.0% 78.5% 82.7% 88.3% 89.3% 87.4% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 31.9% 33.0% 21.5% 17.3% 11.7% 10.7% 12.6% Foreign Born Native Born Note: Accurate nativity data are not available from the 1950 Census. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses, & American Community Surveys, BPDA Research Division Analysis

53 East Boston s foreign-born share reached a low point of 15% in In 2015, over half of East Boston s population was foreign born and 54% spoke Spanish at home. 100% East Boston's Population by Nativity 90% 80% 70% 58.2% 49.6% 49.5% 60% 50% 40% 81.8% 83.7% 84.6% 76.6% 30% 20% 41.8% 50.4% 50.5% 10% 18.2% 16.3% 15.4% 23.4% 0% Foreign Born Native Born Note: Accurate nativity data are not available from the 1950 Census. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses, & American Community Surveys, BPDA Research Division Analysis

54 The foreign-born share of Mattapan s population has increased partly due to an increasing number of Haitian immigrants beginning in the 1980s. More than 35% of Mattapan residents are foreign born. In 2015, 20% of the Mattapan population spoke French or Haitian Creole at home. 100% Mattapan Population by Nativity 90% 80% 70% 60% 81.2% 82.8% 82.7% 71.2% 68.4% 64.5% 64.7% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 18.8% 17.2% 17.3% 28.8% 31.6% 35.5% 35.3% 0% Note: Accurate nativity data are not available from the 1950 Census. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses, & American Community Surveys, BPDA Research Division Analysis

55 The foreign-born population increased in most of the city from 1960 to It grew fastest in East Boston, the West End, Downtown, the South Boston Waterfront, and Longwood. The foreign-born population declined in the North End, Beacon Hill, and South Boston. Note: Accurate nativity data are not available from the 1950 Census. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses, & American Community Surveys, BPDA Research Division Analysis

56 6.

57 The share of the Boston population age 25+ with a bachelor s degree or higher has grown at the same time that the share of the population with less than a high school diploma has declined. The share of the population with a BA or higher grew from 7% in 1950 to 45% in % Educational Attainment of Boston Population Age % 40% 30% 56% 30% 45% 20% 10% 7% 24% 15% 0% Less Than High School Bachelor's Degree or Higher Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Census Count 2; University of Minnesota, NHGIS, American Community Survey, American Fact Finder, BPDA Research Division Analysis

58 Since 1950, all Boston neighborhoods have increased their share of the adult population with a Bachelor s degree. However, shares range from 90% in Beacon Hill to 16% in Mattapan. Beacon Hill Back Bay North End South Boston Waterfront West End Fenway Longwood South End Allston Jamaica Plain Charlestown Brighton Downtown/Chinatown South Boston West Roxbury Mission Hill Boston Roslindale Hyde Park Dorchester Roxbury East Boston Mattapan Share of Population age 25+ with Bachelor's Degree or Higher 25.9% 24.6% 20.6% 20.5% 16.0% 79.4% 78.5% 75.3% 73.6% 69.3% 64.8% 64.3% 63.2% 62.0% 61.5% 57.6% 56.2% 51.9% 47.2% 45.3% 42.1% 89.6% 85.7% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 1950 Decennial Census & American Community Survey, BPDA Research Division Analysis

59 The share of the adult population with a Bachelor s degree or higher has risen steadily in Boston from 7% to 45%. Mattapan, East Boston, and Roxbury have low college-educated shares compared with the rest of the city. 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% Share of Population age 25+ with BA+ 89.6% 79.4% 62.0% 45.3% 30% 20% 10% 20.1% 6.7% 20.5% 16.0% 0% Boston Beacon Hill East Boston North End Mattapan Charlestown Roxbury Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses, & American Community Surveys, BPDA Research Division Analysis

60 The college-educated share has always been relatively high in Beacon Hill, and is now the highest in the city. Very few adult residents of Beacon Hill have no college education. The distribution of educational attainment in East Boston in 2015 is similar to that of Beacon Hill in % Beacon Hill Population age 25+ by Educational Attainment 90% 80% 70% 20.1% 12.8% 30.6% 43.3% 61.2% 60% 50% 40% 27.9% 15.1% 19.7% 16.8% 77.1% 79.0% 89.3% 89.6% 30% 20% 10% 0% 21.4% 20.6% 39.3% 34.6% 13.7% 12.6% 12.6% 18.5% 5.7% 5.4% 6.7% 6.9% 5.6% less than High School High School or GED Some College or Associate's Degree Bachelor's Degree or Higher Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses, NHGIS, & American Community Surveys, BPDA Research Division Analysis

61 The North End has changed dramatically since 1950 in terms of educational attainment. In 1950, 84% of adult residents had less than a high school diploma; now only 5% do. In 1950, only 2% of adult residents had a Bachelor s degree; now 79% do. 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% North End Population age 25+ by Educational Attainment 2% 3% 4% 12% 16% 22% 17% 39% 8% 62% 75% 79% 24% 17% 84% 79% 75% 18% 13% 45% 13% 11% 8% 26% 13% 7% 12% 2% 5% less than High School High School or GED Some College or Associate's Degree Bachelor's Degree or Higher Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses, NHGIS, & American Community Surveys, BPDA Research Division Analysis

62 Boston s share of the adult population with less than high school education has fallen from 56% to 15% from 1950 to Every neighborhood improved high school graduation rates. South Boston Waterfront Beacon Hill Back Bay West End Fenway North End West Roxbury Longwood Jamaica Plain Allston Charlestown Brighton South Boston Roslindale Hyde Park South End Boston Mission Hill Downtown/Chinatown Dorchester Mattapan Roxbury East Boston Share of Population 25+ with Less than High School Education 32.9% 33.3% 39.3% 40.3% 36.4% 43.4% 42.5% 47.8% 54.4% 49.8% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 1950 Decennial Census & American Community Survey, BPDA Research Division Analysis 52.7% 54.0% 56.3% 56.5% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% % 66.2% 64.4% 71.9% 72.9% 72.1% 75.5% 73.8% 84.3%

63 Dramatic increases in high school education: South Boston Waterfront, West End, North End, Charlestown, South End. High school education rates remain below city average: East Boston, Roxbury, Mission Hill, Downtown/Chinatown. Fall in high school education rates relative to city: Mattapan & Dorchester. Share of Population age 25+ with less than High School Education 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 84.3% 72.9% 66.2% 56.3% 49.8% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 21.3% 14.8% 5.5% Boston Charlestown Dorchester Mattapan North End South Boston South End Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses, NHGIS, & American Community Surveys, BPDA Research Division Analysis

64 East Boston has the highest share of the adult population without a high school education, almost one-third of those age 25 and over. However, the share of the adult population with at least some college education has been increasing, from only 5% in 1950 to 37% in % 90% 80% 70% East Boston Population age 25+ by Educational Attainment 2.1% 2.1% 2.6% 3.0% 2.8% 4.8% 4.6% 9.0% 10.4% 6.8% 19.2% 20.5% 21.1% 23.7% 15.4% 15.9% 28.4% 10.0% 36.8% 16.4% 60% 34.9% 33.3% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 73.8% 71.3% 64.4% 51.6% 40.8% 40.3% 47.9% 31.0% 22.9% 32.2% 0% less than High School High School or GED Some College or Associate's Degree Bachelor's Degree or Higher Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses, NHGIS, & American Community Surveys, BPDA Research Division Analysis

65 About 45% of Boston residents age 25+ held a BA or higher in Some neighborhoods met this 45% citywide figure faster than others. As early as 1980, at least 45% of residents in Back Bay, Beacon Hill and the West End had a BA or higher. Other neighborhoods slowly caught up, reaching Boston s current 45% figure in different decades. Some neighborhoods are still below the citywide average and have not yet reached the 45% threshold. These include Hyde Park, Roslindale, Mattapan, Dorchester, Roxbury, and East Boston. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses, NHGIS, & American Community Surveys, BPDA Research Division Analysis

66 7.

67 Women s participation in the Boston labor force has increase between 1950 and In 2015, women and men were separated by only 6 percentage points in labor force participation rates. In 1950, women trailed men by 40 percentage points. Men s labor force participation has declined slightly between 1950 and % 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 75% 35% Boston Labor Force Participation Rate by Sex, % 66% 0% Male Female Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Census Count 2; University of Minnesota, NHGIS, & American Community Survey, American Fact Finder, BPDA Research Division Analysis

68 Every neighborhood saw increasing labor force participation rates from 1950 to 2015, primarily due to increasing participation by women. In 2015, the South Boston Waterfront had the highest labor force participation rate, at over 84%. The student-heavy neighborhoods of Longwood and Fenway had the lowest rates. South Boston Waterfront Beacon Hill North End Charlestown South Boston East Boston Jamaica Plain Roslindale South End Back Bay Mattapan Dorchester Hyde Park Boston West Roxbury Brighton West End Downtown/Chinatown Allston Mission Hill Roxbury Fenway Longwood Labor Force Participation by Neighborhood, 1950 & % Source: U.S. Census Bureau, U.S. Census, and American Community Surveys, BPDA Research Division Analysis. 84.4% 82.0% 80.8% 76.5% 75.5% 75.4% 75.0% 74.5% 71.6% 69.4% 68.9% 68.8% 68.8% 68.4% 68.3% 65.8% 65.5% 62.6% 60.9% 59.8% 58.4% 56.2% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%

69 From 1950 to 2015, the labor force participation rate for male Boston residents ages 16+ fell from 75% to 72%. Beacon Hill has seen an increase in male labor force participation from 69% to 86%. Roxbury s male labor force participation has fallen from 75% to 58%. Fenway s male labor force participation was relatively low in 1950, but fell further to 54% in % Male Labor Force Participation Rate 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 75.2% 69.2% 63.3% 86.0% 71.5% 58.1% 54.3% Fenway Beacon Hill Roxbury Boston Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses, NHGIS, & American Community Surveys, BPDA Research Division Analysis 69

70 The labor force participation rate for females ages 16+ has risen from 35% in 1950 to 66% in Female labor force participation rose particularly strongly in the North End, from 35% in 1950 to 80% in Beacon Hill has consistently had one of the highest female labor force participation rates in the city. 90% Female Labor Force Participation Rate 80% 70% 60% 53.3% 50% 49.5% 79.8% 65.6% 58.7% 40% 35.3% 30% 20% 10% 0% North End Fenway Beacon Hill Roxbury Boston Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses, NHGIS, & American Community Surveys, BPDA Research Division Analysis 70

71 In 1950 most neighborhoods had a male labor force participation rate that was more than 2 times greater than women s. In 2015, the labor force participation rate of women was only slightly less than men s. In a few neighborhoods (Roxbury, Longwood, Fenway and the West End), women s labor force participation rates are actually higher than men s. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Censuses, NHGIS, & American Community Surveys, BPDA Research Division Analysis 71

72 8.

73 Most neighborhoods... Lost population from 1950 to 1980 and grew from 1980 to 2010 Added owner-occupied housing units Increased foreign-born population Improved educational attainment Increased labor force participation

74 Increased diversity among neighborhoods in Age distribution of population Racial/Ethnic composition of population Foreign-born population Share of adult population with a Bachelor s degree 74

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