2016 Election Impact on Cherokee County Voter Registration

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1 2016 Election Impact on Cherokee County Voter Registration Frank Schieber, Future Campaign Manager August 14, 2017

2 Project Goals Does it matter whether Cherokee County, Georgia voter registration reflects its population demographics? Did the 2016 Presidential General Election impact voter registration in Cherokee County after November 8, 2016? How does one win a government election in Cherokee County?

3 Primary References Census Data: United States Census Bureau census.gov QuickFacts selected: Cherokee County, Georgia

4 Primary References Voting Data: Georgia Secretary of State sos.ga.gov Voter Registration Statistics

5 Cherokee County, Georgia Driving distance app miles north of Atlanta Population United States Census Bureau Estimate, July 1, 2016 = 241,689 US Population Statistics Projection, 2017 = 247,314 (approximately 2.3% growth) Located in Congressional District 11 Major cities Woodstock Canton (county seat) Holly Springs Ball Ground

6 Population Race by Census of Cherokee County Estimated July 1, , , , ,000 50, ,868 24,169 16,435 4,592 1, White Hispanic Black Asian Native American Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander There are approximately 4.1 times more white residents than any other race demographic combined in Cherokee County

7 Gender by Census of Cherokee County Estimated July 1, 2016 Gender Population Percentage Female 122, % Male 119, % Total 241,689 Close gender percentage indicates that residences are likely married or cohabiting couples in a household

8 # Registered Voters Registered Voter Race and Gender in Cherokee County as of November 8, ,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10, ,449 53,754 11,196 4,158 3,080 2,236 1, Registered female voters outnumber registered male voters in every race category except Native American

9 2016 Presidential General Election Results in Cherokee County Political Party Popular Vote, November 8, 2016 According to uselectionatlas.org Republican 80, % Democrat 25, % Libertarian 5, % Registered voters of Cherokee County who actually voted on November 8, 2016 represented 46.2% of the total county population

10 Total Registered vs. Total Voted in Cherokee County by Age Range on November 8, 2016 Only 56.84% of registered voters ages in Cherokee County actually voted Likelihood of voting in Cherokee County increases as registered voters get older until age 65

11 Total Registered Voting Trend in Cherokee County by Age Range from November 8, 2016 to July 1, 2017

12 Total Registered Voting Trend in Cherokee County by Age Range from November 8, 2016 to July 1, 2017

13 Total Registered Voting Trend in Cherokee County by Age Range from November 8, 2016 to July 1, 2017 Registered Voters Age Range November 8, 2016 July 1, 2017 Grand Total , ,859 Largest # ,397 28,292 Fewest # ,576 11,011 Cherokee County citizens of working ages less likely to register to vote than those younger or older

14 Increase in Total Registered Voters in Cherokee County by Age Range after November 8, 2016 to July 1, 2017 Non-voter remorse exceeds population growth projection Voter registration increased in every age range Voter registration for Cherokee County residents ages increased by 13.03%, more than any other age range

15 Conclusions Majority of Cherokee County residents are not voting regardless of voter registration Race has minimal impact compared to age and gender in a Cherokee County election Women outnumber men in Cherokee County voting booths Cherokee county residents of working ages 24 to 64 are less likely to register to vote than those younger or older

16 How does one win a government election in Cherokee County? White Republicans Democrats are statistically unlikely to win a general election in Cherokee County Wives and mothers Appeal to parenting goals and challenges Ages 65+ near or at retirement They actually vote in larger number than any other age range

17 For Further Exploration Analyze income effect on voter registration in Cherokee County (Georgia Secretary of State voter registration statistics do not include income) Examine census and voter registration within other three Congressional District 11 counties Cobb, Fulton, and Bartow Micro-examine Cherokee County city and precinct voter registration Macro-examine whether Cherokee County voter registration and trends representative of state of Georgia and nation as a whole Study future Cherokee County general elections

18 Thank you! Frank Schieber

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