Presented by: Michael Jackson Chairman Shaping Tomorrow. March

Transcription

1 1 Presented by: Michael Jackson Chairman Shaping Tomorrow March 2014

2 2 2 Scan Evaluate Filter Act Synthesize Strategize Forecast

3 3

4 4 Demographics Nutrition Education Personalization Networked World Globalization Asia Economy Well-being Energy Environment Security Surprises

5 Source: Sheila Moorcroft 5 Economic trends Demographics Values and lifestyles New technologies Key Issues/ question(s) Energy and resources Legislation World events Competitors and new approaches

6 6 Asia young populations Ageing western populations Asian populations ageing too Talent shortages Asia talent shift Migration/Reverse migration Early retirees start new ventures Younger generations bring new ethos and expectations 7bn to 9bn people by 2050

7 7 Individualised e-lessons First on-line national exam in Indonesia 2015 Augmented reality Virtual 3D classrooms Simulation Gamification Web 3.0 Learning on the move Direct foreign language translation Electronic education networks Bill Gates: In Five Years The Best Education Will Come From The Web Tech Crunch Aug 2010 The idea of young adults having to go to universities in order to get an education is going to go away relatively soon

8 8 Smart cities and infrastructure Smart homes Smart bathrooms and kitchens Smart clothes Smart advertisements and vending machines Virtual stores Enable personalisation, realtime information for services and marketing anywhere and anytime, in-situ and remotely

9 9 9 Food shortages Double food production needed by 2050 Intelligent agriculture e.g. sensors, robots, GM crops, food skyscrapers Mobile phone control Water security Water, water everywhere and not a drop to drink Freshwater technology Cloud seeding Seawater agriculture

10 10 Mobile multiplier opening up markets, economies and jobs Global working creates even greater diversity/opportunity Western companies move to Asia Asian companies invest in West Poverty reduction - global growth and environmental threat Resource supply a strategic issue Supply chains leaner, greener and more complex

11 11 Global intelligence Big data Cloud computing Markets and supply chains ever more complex and vulnerable World-sourcing of markets and teams Crowdsourcing solutions in government too Open innovation Partnerships with customers and suppliers for competitive advantage

12 12 Precise Panoramic Predictive Preventive Patient centred Price competitive Point of care Personalised Participatory Printed

13 15 Traditional fuels Rising demand (Asia) Fracking changing the energy balance More risky, costly oil reserves / exploration Energy supply concentration Climate change (CO 2 ) Terror threats Wars Renewables (Low carbon economy) Solar ready for lift off - economic bounce, distributed power Wind, Solar, Geothermal, Algae, Biofuels, Hydrogen, Clean coal? Kinetic energy Clever transport/cities Teleconferencing Energy storage Carbon sequestration

14 16 Living beyond the planet s means (1.3 planets) Climate change business - worth $2 trillion by 2020 Resource efficiency strategic necessity and market opportunity Sustainability will be central to business by Pollution becoming a health risk, a cross border issue Green technologies high on national agendas

15 17 Smart everything Robots, drones & self driving cars Mobile payments AR and VR 3D printing New materials, new capabilities Brain computer interfaces Predictive intelligence Pervasive sensory networks Hyper local Super-computing on your phone

16 18 Cyber threats Brain wiping Re-programming reality Invisibility cloaks Early cyborgs RFID human implantation Power of one New forms of warfare Eco-terrorism

17 19 Political Protests and tensions Slower growth and debt bubbles New measures and models for success? Open government, new rules Environment Smart technologies enabling sustainability Resource efficiency = competitive necessity Pollution health and economic impacts Technology capabilities rising

18 20 Health support Bio, nano and brain science Clean energies Robotics Security Games Education and training Entrepreneurship Design Environment/sustainability Crime Personal exercise: think about what careers/industries will likely be lost in your lifetime and avoid them!

19 21 Agricultural worker Shoe maker Appliance repairer Block newspaper printing Hardware manufacturing DVD/game/video rental Shop assistants Typists Money market and banking Recordable media manufacturing Photofinishing Personal exercise: think about what careers/ industries will likely be lost in your lifetime and avoid them!

20 22

21 23 Trend assessment Pattern recognition Systems analysis Anticipatory planning Instinct and logic Web analysis News analysis Blog analysis Patent analysis Paper analysis Citation analysis Source analysis Signal strength Narrative analysis Timeline analysis Cross-impact analysis Stakeholder assessments Delphi surveys Scenario planning Futures wheel Roadmapping Investment planning Modeling Gaming Simulation Surveys Interviews Meetings Brainstorming Forums Quantitative Qualitative Horizon scanning Strategic thinking Action planning Networking Insights Trends Action plans Networks Analysis Analysis Analysis Analysis Groups

22 24

23 Source: Adapted from Accenture s Reappraising the Future Scenarios for Collaboration Common ground Polarization Worlds Apart Sustainable Strategy Survival of the Fittest Globalization Tempestuous Times Emnity

24 28 Required future skill sets Further Information Dr. Michael Jackson, Chairman Shaping Tomorrow The Habit, Blackladies Kiddemore Green Road Bishops Wood Staffordshire ST19 9BQ England (H)ome: +44 (0) (O)ffice: +44 (0) (M)obile: +44 (0) (E)mail: (S)kype: shapingtomorrow (T)witter: shapingtomorrow Shaping Tomorrow