Commercialising stranded oilfields in the Outer Moray Firth

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1 Commercialising stranded oilfields in the Outer Moray Firth he Perth Dolphin Lowlander Development DEVEX 2015 AECC hursday, 21 May :20-12:45hrs Mike Cooper 1 st Subsurface Oilfield Management Limited

2 Outer Moray Firth Area Plan Area Maximise Economic Recovery of Hydrocarbons Best economic outcome for UKCS. Licensees, DECC/OGA & HM reasury cooperate. ICOP principles apply. OGA/OGUK compile sensitive data. NNS, CNS & SNS Area Plans underway.

3 he ever-steepening curve

4 he Evolving Production History of the OMF Area

5 Outer Moray Firth Basin Piper Hub artan Hub Claymore Hub

6 Outer Moray Firth Basin IVRRH Buchan Hannay

7 Outer Moray Firth Basin 1993 Scott Hub

8 Outer Moray Firth Basin Captain Blake Ross

9 Outer Moray Firth Basin Buzzard Why secondary humps?: Stratigraphic traps: Future: Scapa, Blake, Buzzard Golden Eagle hub, PDL & exploration

10 OMF Annual Oil Production by Hub Strat trap & fault seal, Palaeozoic around flanks Many fields are mature and demonstrate low but steady decline Modern fields demonstrate higher decline rates. (Note cumulative effect) Emphasises the importance of major finds (Exploration!!) Input Model database arranged in hubs, LOF production-to-date, needs forecast

11 Annual Oil Production Is there another hump to come?: PDL, Golden Eagle & future exploration. OMF has produced 400, ,000 BOPD over majority of last 40 years

12 Average: 4 wells per year Average: <2 wells per year 4 E&A wells per year to <2 E&A wells per year in Q14 & Q15 How many deep exploration wells or testing new plays?

13 OMF Area Field Size Distribution Dolphin Lowlander Developed, Producing or Abandoned Perth

14 INFRASRUCURE Western Outer Moray Firth Captain 1997 Scott Dolphin Hamish Rob Roy Ivanhoe Blake Ross 2001 Cromarty Atlantic Golden Eagle 2014 Buzzard 2007 Ettrick 2009 Blackbird Goldeneye (CCS) Hannay Buchan Fixed Platforms FPSO (FPV) Subsea ieback ( 1-8 years old) ( 5-18 years old) ( ceased production) Only major pipelines shown. No differentiation on service (oil/gas/both)

15 INFRASRUCURE Western Outer Moray Firth Blake 2001 Goldeneye (CCS) Peregrine Golden Eagle 2014 Buzzard 2007 Fixed Platforms FPSO (FPV) Subsea ieback ( 1-8 years old) ( 5-18 years old) ( ceased production) Woodmac Jan 15 projections

16 INFRASRUCURE Eastern Outer Moray Firth Athena 2011 Scapa Claymore 1977 Highlander Petronella Duart Perth Lowlander Dolphin artan 1981 Hamish Rob Roy Ivanhoe Iona Scott 1993 Piper 1976/1992 Chanter Saltire 1993 Galley Donan Lochranza Dumbarton 1997 MacCulloch 1997 Nicol Blenheim Balmoral Brenda Blair BRAE-FORIES (FPS) Beauly iffany 1986 oni Burghley Goldeneye (CCS) Rochelle Renee Rubie Alba Britannia 1998 Fixed Platforms FPSO (FPV) Subsea ieback (22-37 years old) ( 3-28 years old) (ceased production) Only major pipelines shown. No differentiation on service (oil/gas/both)

17 INFRASRUCURE Eastern Outer Moray Firth Scapa Claymore 1977 Lowlander BRAE-FORIES (FPS) Perth Dolphin Alba Britannia 1998 Fixed Platforms FPSO (FPV) Subsea ieback (22-37 years old) ( 3-28 years old) (ceased production) Woodmac Jan 15 projections

18 Stratigraphy Seal R Source S R & Seal R

19 Kl Penny Azinor Fynn Ranger Claymore Lowlander Piper artan North Perth Ju artan South Key Oilfield Scapa Spaniards West Scott Key PDL Dolphin Exploration Prospect/Lead Ivanhoe elford Base Cretaceous Unconformity Structure Map Rob Roy

20 SOIIP SOIIP (mmbbls) Perth 498 Dolphin 39 Lowlander 120 OAL 657 he largest remaining undeveloped conventional SOIIP in the UK?

21 PDL Factsheet Perth Dolphin Lowlander All three fields are sour in nature 2015 Status FPSO at Perth 12 well 1 st phase Equalisation ongoing Appraise phase complete H 2 S ppm 6,500 4,600 12,000 CO 2 41% 31% 16% Wells Perth Dolphin Lowlander Producers Injectors Distance from hub (km) Parkmead Faroe Atlantic Perth Dolphin 52.03% (Op) 34.62% 13.35% Lowlander - 100% (Op) -

22 H 2 S OCCURENCES

23 PDL FPSO FPSO hub for PDL tie-backs New build ship-shaped vessel. 20yr design life Lease contract Designed for sour fluid Add third party sweet oil

24 Conclusions his? Scapa Claymore BRAE-FORIES (FPS) Alba Britannia 1998

25 Conclusions Or this? Scapa Exploration Discovery Claymore Perth Fynn Discovery Lowlander Dolphin artan Redevelopment IVRRH Redevelopment Piper Redevelopment Saltire Redevelopment Scott Redevelopment Enablers: BRAE-FORIES (FPS) 1) PDL Hub 80+ mmbbls with sour service 2) Commodity price recovery 3) Exploration 1) Missed pay 2) Stratigraphic plays 3) Palaeozoic plays 4) Fractured basement Renee/Rubie Redevelopment 4) Fiscal incentives Alba Britannia 1998

26 Acknowledgements I would like to thank Parkmead Group, Faroe Petroleum & Atlantic Petroleum for permission to publish this paper. he following personnel have made significant contributions to the understanding of the area. Dave Soutter, David Southwood, Nick Allan, Jon Ashdown, Phil Ware & Gordon Smith for the Subsurface Input im Coxe, Scott Binnie, Chris Hopper & Adrian Jones for the Facilities Input Colin Percival, Alan Walker, John Wood & Wayne Kirk for project Management and JV Support

27 1 st Subsurface Oilfield Management Limited el:

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