POWERING AMERICA S AND NEVADA S ADVANCED INDUSTRIES

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1 POWERING AMERICA S AND NEVADA S ADVANCED INDUSTRIES Metropolitan Policy Program at BROOKINGS Las Vegas, October 2014

2 Context What, why Trends Strategy 2

3 Context 3

4 Real GDP 2005Q1-2014Q2 Index (2005 = 100) - 122,000 Jobs lost in Las Vegas + 46,500 Jobs gained in Las Vegas since Recession US Las Vegas Nevada rd Las Vegas recession, 3rd worst of all U.S. large metropolitan areas Source: Brookings Analysis of Moody s Analytics

5 Moving Nevada Forward: A Plan for Excellence in Economic Development

6 Tourism, Gaming, & Entertainment Business IT Ecosystem Aerospace & Defense Manufacturing Clean Energy Logistics & Operations Health & Med Services Mining Agriculture 7

7 What, why 8

8 Relentless pace of technological change Blurring distinction between manufacturing and services Digitization of everything

9 Advanced Industries R&D-intensive industries that concentrate the nation s science, technology, engineering, and mathematics (STEM) workforce

10 Advanced Industries Manufacturing Energy Services Pharmaceuticals Aerospace Oil & Gas Extraction Telecommunications R&D Consulting Services Motor Vehicles & Parts Medical Equipment Electricity Generation Software Computer Systems Design

11 Advanced Industries Wages $90,000 average advanced industry wage > $47,000 average wage Skills 1 out of 2 advanced industry jobs require less than a 4-year degree Source: Brookings Analysis of Moody s Analytics and BLS OES Data

12 Advanced Industries Share of US Totals 79.0% 81.2% 90.0% 57.5% 8.7% 17.9% U.S. Workers U.S. GDP Exports Engineers / Architects Patents Private Sector R&D

13 Advanced Industries Develop Technology that Transforms Lives Drive Productivity in Other Industries Support Long Supply Chains Stimulate Local Economies

14 Trends 15

15 300 Advanced Industries Trends Indexed Performance, (1980 = 100) Advanced Industries Output Advanced Industries Employment Source: Brookings Analysis of Moody s Analytics

16 110 Advanced Industries Trends Indexed Performance, (2010 = 100) Advanced industries output Rest of economy output 105 Advanced industries employment Rest of economy employment Source: Brookings Analysis of Moody s Analytics

17 20% 15% Semiconductor Manufacturing Advanced Industries Real Annual Output Growth, Communications Equipment Petroleum and Coal Products Metal Ore Mining Software Publishing Medical Diagnostic Labs 10% 5% Commercial and Service Industry Machinery Manufacturing 0% Manufacturing Energy Services Basic Chemicals -5% Annualized Growth in GDP Annualized Growth in Source: GDP Annualized Brookings Analysis Growth of in Moody s GDP Analytics

18 8% Advanced Industries Annual Employment Growth, Audio and Video Equipment Manufacturing Computer Systems Design Satellite Telecommunications 4% Pharmaceutical Manufacturing Motor Vehicle Body and Trailer Oil and Gas Extraction 0% Aerospace and Products Manufacturing -4% Manufacturing Energy Services Growth in jobs Growth in jobs Source: Brookings Growth Analysis in jobs of Moody s Analytics

19 Advanced Industries Share of Total Metro Area Employment in Advanced Industries 2.0 to 5.8 percent 5.8 to 8.3 percent 8.3 to 11.3 percent 11.3 to 16.0 percent 16.0 to 29.9 percent

20 Advanced Industries Manufacturing Specialized Metro Areas Detroit, MI Motor vehicles Motor vehicle parts Iron & steel mills Boise City, ID Computers and peripherals Semiconductors Commercial & service ind. machinery Palm Bay, FL Audio & video equipment Semiconductors

21 Advanced Industries Energy Specialized Metro Areas Oklahoma City, OK Oil & gas extraction Electric power generation Salt Lake City, UT Metal ore mining Birmingham, AL Electric power generation

22 Advanced Industries Services Specialized Metro Areas Boston, MA Software publishing Scientific R&D Web services Denver, CO Satellite telecommunications Cable subscription programming Data processing and hosting Washington, DC Satellite Telecommunications Scientific R&D Mgmt., Scientific, & Tech. Consulting

23 Advanced Industries Balanced Metro Areas Seattle, WA Aerospace products & parts Software publishing Wireless telecommunications San Jose, CA Computer & peripheral equipment Web services Semiconductors Austin, TX Computer & peripheral equipment Semiconductors Software publishers

24 Advanced Industries Nevada 61,000 Advanced Industry Jobs $16 billion Advanced Industry Output 10.0% job growth since % output growth since 2010 Data processing and hosting Top growth industries Pharmaceutical and medicine manufacturing Computer systems design Software publishers Metal ore mining

25 Advanced Industries Las Vegas 30,800 Advanced Industry Jobs $6.0 billion Advanced Industry Output Stronger image 9.0% job growth since % output growth since 2010 Data processing and hosting Top growth industries Computer systems design Medical and diagnostic laboratories Other miscellaneous manufacturing Software publishers

26 Global Challenges Slow Productivity Growth Annual average growth in output per worker ( ) Hungary 12.5% Denmark Sweden Austria Germany 2007 Average United States Belgium 8.0% 7.9% 7.9% 7.8% 7.0% 6.9% 10.5% Spain Italy 5.7% 6.6%

27 Global Challenges Falling Contribution of AIs to Output Advanced industries share of total GDP ( ) 50% % KOR DEU JPN FIN SWE AUT ITA DNK POL BEL USA GBR ESP KOR DEU JPN FIN SWE AUT ITA DNK POL BEL USA GBR ESP

28 $90,000 $0 -$100,000 -$210,000 Aerospace products and parts manufacturing Global Challenges Negative Trade Balance Trade Surplus / Deficit in Advanced Industries (2012, thousands) Rubber and related products manufacturing Semiconductor manufacturing Computer equipment manufacturing Motor vehicle manufacturing Oil and gas extraction Royalties Management consulting Computer and information services

29 Global Challenges Deteriorating Innovation Advantage 400 Triadic patents per million workers average Japan Switzerland Sweden Finland Germany Netherlands United States Denmark Israel Korea France Belgium Austria United Kingdom Luxembourg Ireland Norway Canada Singapore

30 Global Challenges Skills Share of population with a STEM degree Percentage of graduates majoring in STEM fields RANK VALUE RANK VALUE 24 Slovenia 0.86% 30 Norway 22.0% 25 Estonia 0.84% 31 Australia 21.9% 26 Canada 0.82% 32 Poland 21.8% 27 United States 0.77% 33 United States 19.3% 28 Netherlands 0.76% 34 Chile 19.2% 29 Hungary 0.75% 35 Japan 18.7%

31 Global Challenges Metro Hollowing Out Major metropolitan areas with at least 10 percent of total employment in advanced industries

32 Strategy 33

33 Commit to innovation Expand basic and applied research Build research specializations aligned with industry needs Continue pursuit of Tier 1 research status

34 Develop the STEM pipeline ICON Set a strong vision of STEM s importance Invest in industry aligned regional skills initiatives Address the state s basic proficiency crisis

35 Embrace the ecosystem ICON Focus on bottom-up regional economic development Aid and abet the emergence of local clusters Create greater networking and collaboration hubs

36

37 Contact Mark Co-Director Brookings Mountain West 38

38 Metropolitan Policy Program at BROOKINGS Las Vegas, NV / October 2014

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