8/30/2016. Preparing Students for Their Future. Bill Daggett Founder and Chairman September 7, What has changed.

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1 Preparing Students for Their Future Bill Daggett Founder and Chairman September 7, 2016 What has changed Our students 1

2 What has changed Our students How they communicate and interact What has changed Our students How they communicate and interact The workplace 2

3 What has changed Our students How they communicate and interact The workplace But. Emerging Trends 3

4 Emerging Trends Technology iphone 4

5 The Order of Things Have Changed Uber The world s largest taxi company, owns no vehicles Facebook The world s most popular media owner, creates no content Alibaba The world s most valuable retailer, has no merchandise Airbnb The world s largest accommodation provider, owns no real estate But schools are still schools! Source: Better and Faster, Jeremy Gutsche Web 3.0 5

6 Web 1.0 Informational Web 1.0 Informational Google 6

7 Web 1.0 Informational 2.0 Relational Web 1.0 Informational 2.0 Relational 3.0 Anticipatory 7

8 Web 1.0 Informational 2.0 Relational 3.0 Anticipatory Artificial Intelligence Web 1.0 Informational 2.0 Relational 3.0 Anticipatory Artificial Intelligence Deep Data Mining 8

9 Web 1.0 Informational 2.0 Relational 3.0 Anticipatory Artificial Intelligence Deep Data Mining Google > Ads Web 1.0 Informational 2.0 Relational 3.0 Anticipatory Artificial Intelligence Deep Data Mining Google > Ads Gmail > Ads 9

10 Emerging Trends Technology Social Media Technology s Influence on Communication, Relationships and the Education System Closest Relationships 10

11 Technology s Influence on Communication, Relationships and the Education System Closest Relationships Homogenization of America 11

12 Technology s Influence on Communication, Relationships and the Education System Closest Relationships Social Media Impact Closest Relationships 12

13 The Shift From Community to Networks Good2Go 13

14 Good2Go Affirmative Consent Name Phone Number Good2Go Affirmative Consent Name Phone Number They can sell information 14

15 Accountants / Auditors Instructional Implications Social Issues Sex Education Drug Addiction Social Media Education 15

16 Policy Guidelines Accountants / Auditors Emerging Trends Technology Social Media Work 16

Job Shares by Skill Group 1980-2040 100% 80% 60% Low-skill Lower-middle Upper-middle High-skill 18.9% 25.4% 33.4% 21.3% 20.7% 10.

17 Job Shares by Skill Group % 80% 60% Low-skill Lower-middle Upper-middle High-skill 18.9% 25.4% 33.4% 21.3% 20.7% 10.2% 40% 47.1% 37.7% 31.3% 20% 0% 12.7% 16.2% 25.1% Source: NY Fed Calculations, U.S. Census Bureau McDonald s Kiosk 17

18 Job Shares by Skill Group % 80% 60% Low-skill Lower-middle Upper-middle High-skill 18.9% 25.4% 33.4% 21.3% 20.7% 10.2% 40% 47.1% 37.7% 31.3% 20% 0% 12.7% 16.2% 25.1% Source: NY Fed Calculations, U.S. Census Bureau Our Changing World Auto Tech 18

19 Our Changing World Prevention vs. Intervention Auto Tech 40% of manufactured products now have embedded sensors that collect and generate data. Intervention to Prevention 19

20 Our Changing World Health Care Auto Tech Medicine as Prototype 20

21 Intervention to Prevention Population Health Management High Risk Patients Medium Risk Patients Low Risk Patients 21

22 Shift from Intervention to Prevention Affordable Care Act requires Medicare Medicaid Private Insurance Source: Frey, C. and Osborn, M. (2013). The Future of Employment. Health Care Cost RISK GROUP % of Population % of Total Health Care Cost Low Risk 50% 3% Medium Risk 45% 47% High Risk 5% 50% 22

23 From Fitbit to Chip FollowMyHealth TM 23

24 Our Changing World Health Care Auto Tech Financial Investments (Robo Advising) Our Changing World Health Care Supermarkets/ Drug Stores Auto Tech Financial Investments 24

25 Our Changing World Health Care Supermarkets/ Drug Stores Auto Tech Financial Investments Manufacturing Impact of Automation 25

26 Impact of Automation 5% of jobs can be automated Source: McKinsey Quarterly 2016 Number 1 Impact of Automation 5% of jobs can be automated 30% of tasks in 60% of jobs will be automated Source: McKinsey Quarterly 2016 Number 1 26

27 Lost Jobs Lost Jobs Telemarketers 99% Source: McKinsey Quarterly 2016 Number 1 27

28 Lost Jobs Telemarketers Secretarial / Administrative Assistants 99% 96% Economists Health Technologists Source: McKinsey Quarterly 2016 Number 1 Lost Jobs Telemarketers Secretarial / Administrative Assistants Accountants / Auditors 99% 96% 94% Source: McKinsey Quarterly 2016 Number 1 28

29 Lost Jobs Telemarketers Secretarial / Administrative Assistants Accountants / Auditors Technical Writers 99% 96% 94% 89% Source: McKinsey Quarterly 2016 Number 1 Lost Jobs Telemarketers Secretarial / Administrative Assistants Accountants / Auditors Technical Writers Machinists 99% 96% 94% 89% 65% Economists Source: McKinsey Quarterly 2016 Number 1 29

30 Lost Jobs Telemarketers Secretarial / Administrative Assistants Accountants / Auditors Technical Writers Machinists Economists 99% 96% 94% 89% 65% 43% Source: McKinsey Quarterly 2016 Number 1 Lost Jobs Telemarketers Secretarial / Administrative Assistants Accountants / Auditors Technical Writers Machinists Economists Health Technologists 99% 96% 94% 89% 65% 43% 40% Source: McKinsey Quarterly 2016 Number 1 30

31 Emerging Trends Technology Social Media Work Demographic 45 Million Growing to 80 Million by

32 Demographics of people 65+ and <1 65+ <1 Caucasian 78.3% 38.0% Foreign Born 6.0% 19.8% In Poverty 9.5% 26.9% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2014 Retirement Savings Less than $10,000 50% White households Sources: Time, May 18, 2015 National Institute on Retirement Security 32

33 Retirement Savings Less than $10,000 50% 75% White households Black households Sources: Time, May 18, 2015 National Institute on Retirement Security Retirement Savings Less than $10,000 50% 75% 80% White households Black households Hispanic households Sources: Time, May 18, 2015 National Institute on Retirement Security 33

34 Children born to single parents 41% 3.8% U.S. Census Bureau, 2014 Emerging Trends Technology Social Media Work Demographic Higher Education 34

35 New York 4 Year Public College 37.8% New York 2 Year Public College 10.9% 35

36 The question is not whether you should go to college. The question is: What should you major in? Bachelor s Degrees 1. Business 6. Education 2. General Studies 7. Visual and Performing Arts 3. Social Science and History 8. Engineering and Technology 4. Psychology 5. Health Professions 9. Communications and Journalism 10. Computer and Information Science Source: National Center for Education Statistics 36

37 Bachelor s Degrees 1. Business 2. General Studies Education 7. Visual and Performing Arts Social Science and History 8. Engineering and Technology 2 4. Psychology 5. Health Professions Communications and Journalism 10. Computer and Information Science 7 3 Source: National Center for Education Statistics 2-Year College Graduates OCCUPATION STARTING AVERAGE Management Info Systems $45,100 $72,100 Electrical and Chemical Engineers $45,100 $69,800 Occ. Health and Safety $50,300 $68,200 Diagnostic Medical Specialist $50,200 $66,800 Computer Programmer $42,300 $65,300 Payscale.com 37

38 4-Year College Graduates OCCUPATION STARTING AVERAGE Human Development $35,900 $48,000 Athletic Trainer $34,800 $46,900 Social Worker $33,000 $46,600 Recreation and Leisure $32,200 $45,300 Child and Family Studies $30,300 $37,200 Payscale.com 4-Year College Graduates OCCUPATION STARTING AVERAGE Petroleum Engineer $103,000 $160,000 Actuarial Math $58,700 $120,000 Nuclear Engineer $67,600 $117,000 Chemical Engineer $68,200 $117,000 Aerospace Engineer $62,800 $109,000 Payscale.com 38

39 WHAT Application Model 1. Knowledge in one discipline 2. Application within discipline 3. Application across disciplines 4. Application to real-world predictable situations 5. Application to real-world unpredictable situations 39

40 Knowledge Taxonomy 1. Remembering 2. Understanding 3. Applying 4. Analyzing 5. Evaluating 6. Creating Rigor/Relevance Framework Rigor C A Relevance D B

41 Levels Rigor C D A B Relevance 4 5 College Ready (College Prep) Rigor C A Relevance D B

42 Job Ready (CTE) Rigor C A Relevance D B 4 5 Career Ready Rigor C A Relevance D B

43 Levels Rigor C D A B Relevance 4 5 A and C were Needed Pre-Internet Rigor C A Relevance

44 B and D are Required in the Internet Age Rigor Relevance D B 4 5 Regulated, Certified, Tenured and Contracted Rigor C D A B Relevance

45 Reading Study Summary 1600 Interquartile Ranges Shown (25% - 75%) Text Lexile Measure (L) High School Literature College Literature High School Textbooks College Textbooks Military Personal Use Entry-Level Occupations SAT 1, ACT, AP* Source: National Test Data, MetaMetrics HOW 45

46 Fundamental Shift in Instruction Fundamental Shift in Instruction Open Educational Resources 46

47 Open Educational Resources Teachers Pay Teachers Scope and Sequence 47

48 Fundamental Shift in Instruction Open Educational Resources Text to Digital Fundamental Shift in Instruction Open Educational Resources Text to Digital Virtual to Augmented Reality 48

49 Google Cardboard Fundamental Shift in Instruction Open Educational Resources Text to Digital Virtual to Augmented Reality Gamification 49

50 Gamification Engaging Gaming By 21 years old 10,000 hours More time than in school 50

51 Gamification Engaging Personalized Gamification Engaging Personalized Built on Growth Model 51

52 Gamification Engaging Personalized Built on Growth Model Tied to Standards Fundamental Shift in Instruction Open Educational Resources Online Text to Digital Virtual to Augmented Reality Gamification 52

53 Florida, Michigan, Virginia and Alabama require one online course as a graduation requirement. Idaho requires two. Question and Answers 53

54 54

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56 20-Day Plan #ModelSchools 56

National Network Model Lessons and Assessments Driven by School

57 Successful Practices Network Supporting Future-Focused Schools School Coaches, Virtual Professional Learning, Connections with National Network Model Lessons and Assessments Driven by School Network Plans #ModelSchools #ModelSchools 57

58 #ModelSchools Stride #ModelSchools 58

59 Envision #ModelSchools 59

Bill Daggett: Creating Future- Focused Schools. Part 1

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