Capability in Complexity SHOAL-REPORT J590

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1 Capability in Complexity SHOAL-REPORT J590

2 From Aerospace Futures to Employed (and back again) Nikita Sardesai & John Furness 13 July 2017 SHOAL-REPORT J590

3 Overview Introductions and our experience Who is Shoal & what we do Systems Engineering Life Advice Model-Based Systems Engineering Modelling, Simulation and Analysis Research and Development Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT J590 3

4 Company Overview SHOAL-REPORT J590

5 Our people Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT J590 5

6 Aerospace Futures alums Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT J590 6

7 Our culture Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT J590 7

8 What we do Shoal is a systems engineering firm, based in Australia and USA. Capability Design Modelling Simulation & Analysis Model-Based Systems Engineering Research & Development Systems Engineering Training Conceptual Design Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT J590 8

9 Systems Engineering Capability SHOAL-REPORT J590

10 Holistic system view The ideal missile design from the viewpoint of various specialists Source: Systems Engineering Principles and Practice, Kossiakoff et al Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT J590 10

11 Concept development focus Our area of focus Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT J590 11

12 Conceptual design examples at Shoal Ground Based Air and Missile Defence Fire and Emergency Services Future Submarine & Frigate Counter Improvised- Explosive Devices Land Combat Vehicle System Defensive cyber operations Future joint space/cyber concepts Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT J590 12

13 influences Legislation / Regulation Capability Viewpoint generates Public Perception influences shapes shapes Enterprise Strategy documents documents guides Strategic Guidance Mandate guides guides Fire Department Business Requirements Database defines Project Management Module manages manages Projects Viewpoint Fire & Emergency Events responds to guides guides responsible for develops accomplished by Project Fire Capability Project Activity achieved by Operational Viewpoint defines supplied by Integrated Systems Viewpoint Enterprise Strategy Scenario decomposed by Operational Activity inputs / outputs Operational Item transfers performs Operational Interface Role results in Limitation (Constraint) results in responsible for constrains Critical Operational Issue refines Organization Operational / End-user Need refines enabled by basis of Measure of Effectiveness Functionality specified by performs Requirement specified by Capability Element connected to Interface People Assets Information Technology Knowledge Governance & Accountability guides refines guides refines guides refines guides refines guides refines guides refines People Plan Capital Asset Plan Capital Works Plan IT Plan Operating Procedures Governance Plan refined by Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT J590 13

14 Modelling, Simulation and Analysis SHOAL-REPORT J590

15 Range Safety Template Toolkit ARAAM air-to-air missile JASSM cruise missile JAXA Hyabusa spacecraft return HIFiRE hypersonic test flights DT893 space launches FZ-90 70mm rocket Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT J590 15

16 Model development Engine performance - Thrust profile - Mass profile Failure modes - Reliability / Failure probabilities - Vehicle response to failure - Breakup characteristics Mission concept - Event sequence & timing - Launch azimuth, elevation & altitude Aerodynamics - Aerodynamic coefficients Geometry & mass properties - Masses - Center of graviities - Moments of Inertia Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT J590 16

17 17 Two-stage ballistic rocket Monte Carlo simulation Typical computational statistics: 16 million simulation runs 80 million debris impacts Three calendar days for computer runs, plus post-processing SHOAL-REPORT J590

18 Weapon fly-out: no failure Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT J590 18

19 Weapon fly-out: fin failure, mid-flight Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT J590 19

20 Weapon fly-out: fin failure, end-flight Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT J590 20

21 Ground impact points to PDF Kernel Density Estimation Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT J590 21

22 Safety Products Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT J590 22

23 Target(s) Flight vehicle modelling Roll Law Trajectory Shaping Airframe Characteristics Wind Motor Seeker and Filter Homing Law Autopilot Control Surfaces Aerodynamics Thrust Vector Control Force Summer Vertical Launch Uplink Decoder Inertial Navigation System Accelerometer Rate Gyroscopes Dynamics Fuze Umbilical Decoder Weapon / Air Vehicle Warhead & Lethality Fire Control System Launch Rail/Tube Observers Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT J590 23

24 Research & Development SHOAL-REPORT J590

25 Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT J590 25

26 Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT J590 26

27 Design Visualisation Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT J590 27

28 Systems Engineering Life Advice SHOAL-REPORT J590

29 Practical systems engineering Take a holistic approach Define the problem first Develop your solution Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT J590 29

30 Practical systems engineering Take a holistic approach Define the problem first Develop your solution context requirements interfaces continuous V&V Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT J590 30

31 Practical systems engineering Take a holistic approach Define the problem first Develop your solution determine project scope verification & validation requirements expected system behaviour develop system architecture to support behaviour Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT J590 31

32 Practical systems engineering Take a holistic approach Define the problem first Develop your solution Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT J590 32

33 Shoal Engineering Aerospace Futures 2017 SHOAL-REPORT J590 33

34 Questions and Comments Nikita Sardesai John Furness SHOAL-REPORT J590

35 309 Angas Street Adelaide SA 5000 Tel: support@shoalgroup.com Adelaide Canberra New York Sydney SHOAL-REPORT J590

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